Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #OR04
Most recents (17)
The #TopMinion phone bank is the unsung hero of 2022
We made over 1,OOO,OOO calls for Republicans around the country, helping our friends win primaries and general elections
While some of them came up short, I'm confident we'll see them soon
Here's who we called for...
(1/xx)
We made over 1,OOO,OOO calls for Republicans around the country, helping our friends win primaries and general elections
While some of them came up short, I'm confident we'll see them soon
Here's who we called for...
(1/xx)
The #TopMinion Phone Bank called all over New York, starting with @claudiatenney in her primary in the new #NY24 district, which she resoundingly won en route to a landslide victory in November
(2/x)
(2/x)
If at first you don't succeed...
@EliseStefanik is a huge supporter of @marcmolinaro, and when her team asked if the #TopMinion Phone Bank could call for him, we did over 5O,OOO calls for him in the #NY19 special
While he came up just short then, he won in November!
(3/xx)
@EliseStefanik is a huge supporter of @marcmolinaro, and when her team asked if the #TopMinion Phone Bank could call for him, we did over 5O,OOO calls for him in the #NY19 special
While he came up just short then, he won in November!
(3/xx)
This is wild: Democrats are currently leading in every House district touching the Pacific Ocean.
Uncalled races are #AKAL, #CA26, #CA47, #CA49, & #WA03. Those first four seem very likely to stay blue, while #WA03 still has many ballots left.
Doubt this has ever happened before
Uncalled races are #AKAL, #CA26, #CA47, #CA49, & #WA03. Those first four seem very likely to stay blue, while #WA03 still has many ballots left.
Doubt this has ever happened before
Note that the USA Today/AP map above still has #OR04 as uncalled, but other media outlets have called it for Dem Val Hoyle, who leads by over 8 points dailykos.com/stories/2022/1β¦
Apparently, the last time Democrats won every congressional district touching the Pacific Ocean was in the 1870s, when there were far fewer districts & states bordering it
NEW RRH Polls of 3 districts:
#VA07
π΄ @yestoyesli (R) 47%
π΅ @RepSpanberger (D) 47%
#OR04
π΄ @alekskarlatos (R) 45%
π΅ @ValHoyle (D) 45%
#OH13
π΄ @madisongesiotto (R) 44%
π΅ @EmiliaSykesOH (D) 46%
rrhelections.com/?p=104100
#VA07
π΄ @yestoyesli (R) 47%
π΅ @RepSpanberger (D) 47%
#OR04
π΄ @alekskarlatos (R) 45%
π΅ @ValHoyle (D) 45%
#OH13
π΄ @madisongesiotto (R) 44%
π΅ @EmiliaSykesOH (D) 46%
rrhelections.com/?p=104100
In #VA07 we found Youngkin very popular (+17) and Biden not (-11). Spanberger leads with those who have already voted; Vega will be relying on strong Election Day turnout. Spanberger leads in Stafford County, Vega in Spotsylvania.
In #OR04, Biden is underwater (-9) despite carrying our sample 50-41 in 2020. Undecideds lean young, blue collar, and rural in this tied race. Hoyle does not have as large a lead in Lane County (Eugene) as one may expect.
And here's the climactic burst of spending from the Democratic House Majority PAC, putting up...
$45.9 million in 57 House races...
adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73
$45.9 million in 57 House races...
adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73
Whoa...House Majority PAC off the top rope with $30 million distributed across 45 races.
*strike that, 47 races. The largest buy goes to the Biden +12% #NJ05, making its debut on the chart as targeted seat #65.
Friday night's filing dump from the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes after a $23.15 million torrent of spending spread across 43 targeted House races.
CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/β¦
CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/β¦
Congressional Leadership Fund continues to run well ahead of their pace from past cycles and is running laps around the Democratic House Majority PAC, outspending their counterpart $120.9M to $40.7M.
The House GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund SuperPAC wraps up its Friday spending dump, finishing up at $22 million deployed across 42 House races.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/β¦
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/β¦
32 days out, @CLFSuperPAC's general election spending is running ~$60 million ahead of their breakneck 2020 pace.
A pair of major filings from the @dccc and @NRCC within seconds of one another...the DCCC dropping $16.8 million in 33 races and the NRCC still holding back and deploying $5.59M in 9 races.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
π§΅π»π―πΉπ¬π¨π«: The Supreme Court lit 49 years of precedent on fire, creating the nightmare reality the Republican Party has worked so damn hard for.
Let's take a look at where we are and where the GOP will drag our country, kicking & screaming, if given more of an opportunity.
Let's take a look at where we are and where the GOP will drag our country, kicking & screaming, if given more of an opportunity.
At least three vulnerable House Republicans & three @NRCC-endorsed challengers support πππππππ ππππ‘πππ π€βπ πππππππ πππππ‘ππππ (including @BlackmanForAZ in #AZ02 who also π π’πππππ‘π πππππππ π€ππππ π€βπ πππ‘ πππππ‘ππππ ).
#PASen is extremely unlikely to resolve tonight. Let's do a thread on the races you may have missed in the meantime!
#NC1: Sandy Smith (R) vs. Don Davis (D); D's get preferred matchup in D+3, R-trending seat.
#NC4: Valerie Foushee (D) wins Safe D open seat
#NC1: Sandy Smith (R) vs. Don Davis (D); D's get preferred matchup in D+3, R-trending seat.
#NC4: Valerie Foushee (D) wins Safe D open seat
Democratsβ Infrastructure Deal will provide a massive fix for our nationβs roads, bridges, ports, and so much more.
These are real, substantial wins for our communities β so hereβs a snapshot on how a few will benefit: π§΅
These are real, substantial wins for our communities β so hereβs a snapshot on how a few will benefit: π§΅
ππ’π‘π‘πππ§πππ¨π§: Did you know 1 in 10 Connecticut households currently do not have internet?
Rep. @JahanaHayesCT helped deliver Demsβ Infrastructure deal to fix this. #CT05
courant.com/politics/hc-poβ¦
Rep. @JahanaHayesCT helped deliver Demsβ Infrastructure deal to fix this. #CT05
courant.com/politics/hc-poβ¦
π‘ππͺ πππ π£π¦πππ₯π: Rep. @ChrisPappasNH helped secure $2,000,000,000 for NH to fix the 250 bridges and nearly 700 miles of highway in poor condition, providing safer commutes for NH communities. #NH01
thecentersquare.com/new_hampshire/β¦
thecentersquare.com/new_hampshire/β¦
OREGON: is gaining a sixth district in 2022, which means all five current districts below will need to shed 117k+ residents to make way for #OR06. A quick thread...
Dems have held a 4-1 seat lead since 1996, and control the redistricting trifecta. But, they also have a geography problem: Oregon's Dems are so clustered in Portland that if you were to draw a map based on compactness alone (below), Rs might have a shot at winning 3/6 seats.
In addition, Oregon has a rare tradition of bipartisan cooperation on maps. Earlier this year, Speaker Tina Kotek (D) struck a deal to give Rs equal power on the state house redistricting committee, though many Ds insist they can still ultimately pass a map w/o GOP support.
Oregon is poised to gain a House seat for the first time since 1982. Dems face a dilemma: with so many of their votes concentrated in Portland, how can they safely stretch their 4D-1R lead into 5D-1R? Well, here's one creative way they might try:
In the hypothetical above, all districts except #OR02 voted for Biden by 10%+. But, the new #OR06 extends from southeast Portland to Umatilla. And, #OR04 crosses the Cascades from Eugene to Bend. I'm not so sure courts would look fondly on this map?
The crazy thing about Oregon: if you were drawing a map w/ compactness principles as your only goal, you might end up with a map where 4/6 districts voted for Trump in '16, as shown below:
There's a House district here in Oregon that the Republicans have been desperate to flip for years. This year, they're getting really close to making that happen!! π¬
Here's why it's close, and why we can't let them win. #VoteBlue // thread
Here's why it's close, and why we can't let them win. #VoteBlue // thread
Our Congressman in #OR04 is Peter DeFazio. He became the Chair of the Transportation & Infrastructure Committee when we flipped the House in 2018.
He has 100% scores from the Human Rights Campaign & Planned Parenthood & a 97% rating from the League of Conservation Voters.
He has 100% scores from the Human Rights Campaign & Planned Parenthood & a 97% rating from the League of Conservation Voters.
Our congressional district is the only competitive one in the state. We're the district in green on the bottom left. (By the way, #Portland is split between the yellow and dark red districts at the top left. This will be important later.)
βΌοΈPROGRESSIVESβΌοΈ
We must remember down-ballot candidates.
This is a list of progressive/leftist congressional candidates endorsed by at least one of these groups:
@BrandNew535
@BoldProgressive
@justicedems
@pdamerica
@RoseCaucus
#UniteLeft
#Progress2020
We must remember down-ballot candidates.
This is a list of progressive/leftist congressional candidates endorsed by at least one of these groups:
@BrandNew535
@BoldProgressive
@justicedems
@pdamerica
@RoseCaucus
#UniteLeft
#Progress2020
Please remember:
β οΈSTATE CANDIDATE PRIMARIES MAY BE ON DIFFERENT DATES THAN THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARYβ οΈ
Double check your registration at least 1 MONTH π before any election you plant to vote in.
Also, endorsements are an ongoing process
β οΈSTATE CANDIDATE PRIMARIES MAY BE ON DIFFERENT DATES THAN THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARYβ οΈ
Double check your registration at least 1 MONTH π before any election you plant to vote in.
Also, endorsements are an ongoing process
Some races have 2 different candidates endorsed by different groups, so theyβre both listed.
Legend:
πβ‘οΈ platform/issues link
π΅β‘οΈ donation link
If the pinned tweet is related to their campaign, I included it.
Now, onto the (long) list.
Legend:
πβ‘οΈ platform/issues link
π΅β‘οΈ donation link
If the pinned tweet is related to their campaign, I included it.
Now, onto the (long) list.
Hey #Oregon
Hereβs a THREAD of all (#PrimaryElection winners) Democratic Candidates
#Midterms2018
For Congress, Governor, District Attorneys
Register here: secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/vr/regβ¦
Overseas or Military? sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/mβ¦
Find Dropbox Locations here: sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/dβ¦
Hereβs a THREAD of all (#PrimaryElection winners) Democratic Candidates
#Midterms2018
For Congress, Governor, District Attorneys
Register here: secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/vr/regβ¦
Overseas or Military? sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/mβ¦
Find Dropbox Locations here: sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/dβ¦
VOTER REGISTRATION
Deadline October 6 for NOVEMBER 6th #Midterms2018
Ballot Dropbox Locations: sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/dβ¦
Check Registration or Track Ballot here secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/vr/shoβ¦
Printable Registration sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docuβ¦
County Clerks addresses: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pageβ¦
Deadline October 6 for NOVEMBER 6th #Midterms2018
Ballot Dropbox Locations: sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/dβ¦
Check Registration or Track Ballot here secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/vr/shoβ¦
Printable Registration sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docuβ¦
County Clerks addresses: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pageβ¦
ABSENTEE BALLOT
Request Absentee Ballot by November 6
Absentee Ballot return by November 6
Absentee request form: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docuβ¦
Submit to County Elections Office Addresses here: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pageβ¦
#OR01 #OR02 #OR03 #OR04 #OR05
Request Absentee Ballot by November 6
Absentee Ballot return by November 6
Absentee request form: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docuβ¦
Submit to County Elections Office Addresses here: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pageβ¦
#OR01 #OR02 #OR03 #OR04 #OR05
Hey #Oregon, you get to vote in Primaries on MAY 15, 2018
THREAD of ALL Democratic Candidates
For Congress, Governor, District Attorneys
Register by Apr 24 here: secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/vr/regβ¦
Overseas or Military? sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/mβ¦
Find Dropbox Locations: sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/dβ¦
THREAD of ALL Democratic Candidates
For Congress, Governor, District Attorneys
Register by Apr 24 here: secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/vr/regβ¦
Overseas or Military? sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/mβ¦
Find Dropbox Locations: sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/dβ¦
VOTER REGISTRATION
Deadline April 24 for May 15 primaries
Ballot Dropbox Locations here: sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/dβ¦
Check Registration or Track Ballot here: secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/vr/shoβ¦
Printable Registration here sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docuβ¦
County Clerks addresses: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pageβ¦
Deadline April 24 for May 15 primaries
Ballot Dropbox Locations here: sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/dβ¦
Check Registration or Track Ballot here: secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/vr/shoβ¦
Printable Registration here sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docuβ¦
County Clerks addresses: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pageβ¦
ABSENTEE BALLOT
Request Absentee Ballot by May 10, 2018
Absentee Ballot return by May 15, 2018
Absentee request form: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docuβ¦
Submit to County Elections Office Addresses here: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pageβ¦
Request Absentee Ballot by May 10, 2018
Absentee Ballot return by May 15, 2018
Absentee request form: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docuβ¦
Submit to County Elections Office Addresses here: sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pageβ¦
