Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #MI03
Most recents (24)
NEW from me @TheSpectator:
#MI03's Hillary Scholten is hiring a Senior Comms Director with odd stipulations about gender identity and gender fluidity.
"We strongly encourage women (and all individuals who do not identify as male)...to apply."
thespectator.com/topic/hillary-…
(1/xx)
#MI03's Hillary Scholten is hiring a Senior Comms Director with odd stipulations about gender identity and gender fluidity.
"We strongly encourage women (and all individuals who do not identify as male)...to apply."
thespectator.com/topic/hillary-…
(1/xx)
Are you a man? Need a job? Well, former labor lawyer and current Michigan congresswoman Hillary Scholten would really rather you didn’t apply to be her new senior comms director in DC, according to a job posting obtained by @TheSpectator.
thespectator.com/topic/hillary-…
(2/xx)
thespectator.com/topic/hillary-…
(2/xx)
The #MI03 job posting stipulates that “our office deeply values staff diversity (both because we recognize we are a better office for it and because we know that it is objectively the right thing to do!)”
thespectator.com/topic/hillary-…
(3/xx)
thespectator.com/topic/hillary-…
(3/xx)
So, here's how redistricting and, in some cases, gerrymandering, helped the Republicans take the House:
Again, Republicans had full control over redistricting in 17 states (AL, AR, FL, GA, IN, KS, KY, MS, MO, NE, NH, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX and WV).
Again, Republicans had full control over redistricting in 17 states (AL, AR, FL, GA, IN, KS, KY, MS, MO, NE, NH, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX and WV).
Democrats had full control over redistricting in 7 states (IL, MD, MA, NV, NM, OR and RI).
There were 3 states in which an Independent Commission drew the lines but Republicans could override them (IA, OH and UT).
There were 3 states in which an Independent Commission drew the lines but Republicans could override them (IA, OH and UT).
And there was 1 state in which an Independent Commission drew the lines but Democrats could override them (NY).
Because of the 2020 Census, CA, IL, MI, NY, OH, PA and WV all lost House seats.
Because of the 2020 Census, CA, IL, MI, NY, OH, PA and WV all lost House seats.
And here's the climactic burst of spending from the Democratic House Majority PAC, putting up...
$45.9 million in 57 House races...
adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73
$45.9 million in 57 House races...
adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73
Whoa...House Majority PAC off the top rope with $30 million distributed across 45 races.
*strike that, 47 races. The largest buy goes to the Biden +12% #NJ05, making its debut on the chart as targeted seat #65.
The Democratic House Majority PAC goes up with $17.47 million in ads across 40 districts, including the first spending by any of the big four committees in Josh Harder's #CA09, bringing the number of targeted House seats to an even 60.
Friday night's filing dump from the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes after a $23.15 million torrent of spending spread across 43 targeted House races.
CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
Congressional Leadership Fund continues to run well ahead of their pace from past cycles and is running laps around the Democratic House Majority PAC, outspending their counterpart $120.9M to $40.7M.
The Democratic House Majority PAC's weekly independent expenditure dump adds another $9.08 million in 34 House races.
HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.
HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.
As Russia continues its aggression in Ukraine, they seem to be finding support among the GOP. Here are some examples of House Republicans siding with Putin. 🧵
Less than a month ago, nearly every House Republican opposed $12.3 billion in funding to help Ukraine fight back against Russian aggression. nytimes.com/2022/09/30/us/…
In May, 57 House Republicans sided with Russia and voted against Ukraine aid. congress.gov/bill/117th-con…
The House GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund SuperPAC wraps up its Friday spending dump, finishing up at $22 million deployed across 42 House races.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
32 days out, @CLFSuperPAC's general election spending is running ~$60 million ahead of their breakneck 2020 pace.
hey folk, yest was a slow news day amirite? but at @ClimateHawkVote we endorsed @HillaryScholten in #MI03. Short thread why! but 1st the all important ActBlue link if you already know why bit.ly/3ChNEeN
@ClimateHawkVote @HillaryScholten Things you need to know about Hillary.
1. She votes and she wants women to vote
2. She's had a respectable career at the DOJ and she wants other women to have career choices
3. She's female
4. She's sane
Her new #MI03 opponent... not so much.
1. She votes and she wants women to vote
2. She's had a respectable career at the DOJ and she wants other women to have career choices
3. She's female
4. She's sane
Her new #MI03 opponent... not so much.
Hillary's MAGA opponent, who ousted a moderate-ish GOPer in a primary:
1. Doesn't want women to vote
2. Doesn't want women to work
3. Is male, duh
4. Sanity, nvm.
Remember that guy who @KFILE got the receipts on his "musing" on women working and voting and wrecking America?
1. Doesn't want women to vote
2. Doesn't want women to work
3. Is male, duh
4. Sanity, nvm.
Remember that guy who @KFILE got the receipts on his "musing" on women working and voting and wrecking America?
A pair of major filings from the @dccc and @NRCC within seconds of one another...the DCCC dropping $16.8 million in 33 races and the NRCC still holding back and deploying $5.59M in 9 races.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
Check out this MAGA misogynist...
Republican John Gibbs, candidate for Congress in #MI03, argued in the early 2000s that "women did not 'posess (sic) the characteristics necessary to govern,' and said men were smarter than women...
#TruBlue #wtpBLUE
cnn.com/2022/09/21/pol…
Republican John Gibbs, candidate for Congress in #MI03, argued in the early 2000s that "women did not 'posess (sic) the characteristics necessary to govern,' and said men were smarter than women...
#TruBlue #wtpBLUE
cnn.com/2022/09/21/pol…
...because they are more likely to 'think logically about broad and abstract ideas in order to deduce a suitable conclusion, without relying upon emotional reasoning.'”
Men who carry these beliefs such as these should not be allowed in the halls of Congress.
#TruBlue #wtpBLUE
Men who carry these beliefs such as these should not be allowed in the halls of Congress.
#TruBlue #wtpBLUE
Hillary Scholten knows the assault on women's rights is in full force by the GOP. Her response:
"Not on my watch."
Let's help Hillary defeat this extremist.
Support @HillaryScholten for Congress #MI03
▪️ HillaryScholten.com
#TruBlue #wtpBLUE
"Not on my watch."
Let's help Hillary defeat this extremist.
Support @HillaryScholten for Congress #MI03
▪️ HillaryScholten.com
#TruBlue #wtpBLUE
🚨2022 FLIPPABLE HOUSE SEATS🚨
The magic numbers: 5⃣ and 3⃣0⃣
5⃣: Average point swing improvement for Dem candidates in House Special Elections Dem over 2020 Presidential margins.
3⃣0⃣: Number of GOP-held House seats Trump won by five points or less, or that Biden won.
🧵👇
The magic numbers: 5⃣ and 3⃣0⃣
5⃣: Average point swing improvement for Dem candidates in House Special Elections Dem over 2020 Presidential margins.
3⃣0⃣: Number of GOP-held House seats Trump won by five points or less, or that Biden won.
🧵👇
Race: #TX34
Democrat: Vicente Gonzalez (@VoteVicente)
Republican: Rep. Mayra Flores
2020 Margin: Biden +15.7
Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/vicente…
Democrat: Vicente Gonzalez (@VoteVicente)
Republican: Rep. Mayra Flores
2020 Margin: Biden +15.7
Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/vicente…
Race: #CA22
Democrat: Rudy Salas (@RudySalasCA)
Republican: Rep. David Valadao
2020 Margin: Biden +13.1
Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/salaswe…
Democrat: Rudy Salas (@RudySalasCA)
Republican: Rep. David Valadao
2020 Margin: Biden +13.1
Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/salaswe…
#AZ06: Juan Ciscomani takes 48-20 lead with 53% of estimated GOP vote in. For Dems, former state Sen. Kirsten Engel leads state Rep. Daniel Hernandez 61-34 with 65% of estimated vote in. Biden would have won new seat just 49.3-49.2
57% of estimated vote in for #WA03 top-two. Dem Marie Perez at 32%, pro-impeachment Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler leads Trump-backed Joe Kent 25-20.
Over in #WA04 top-two, pro-impeachment Rep. Dan Newhouse at 27. Dem Doug White leads Trump's guy, Loren Culp 26-22 for second.
Meijer takes a 50.5-49.5 lead with 55% of estimated vote in thanks to more votes out of his Kent County base. Again, not getting a winner for a while. #MI03
We're minutes from a LOT of results out of Arizona and Washington, though more votes will be tallied in both states over the coming days.
AP calls GOP primary for red #MO04 for Mark Alford, a former TV anchor in Kansas City.
More Kent County votes coming in for #MI03, Gibbs margin over Meijer looks like it's down to 391 votes and a 50.8%/49.2% margin
electionreporting.com/county/b51c67f…
electionreporting.com/county/b51c67f…
Gibbs leading Meijer 50.4%/49.6% with a 198-vote margin after latest updates from Ottawa & Muskegon Counties
elections.miottawa.org/ElectionResult…
co.muskegon.mi.us/DocumentCenter…
elections.miottawa.org/ElectionResult…
co.muskegon.mi.us/DocumentCenter…
Kent County update in #MI03 cuts John Gibbs' margin over Peter Meijer down to 77 votes...race is now 50.1%/49.9%.
NO side leads in Kansas 66-34 with 45% of AP's estimated vote in. Much of populous Johnson County; no side up 72-28 with 70% reporting there; Laura Kelly got 55% there in 2018.
The AP has called #MIGOV GOP primary for Tudor Dixon. The conservative commentator was an also-ran until 5 opponents thrown off ballot, now GOP's nominee in huge race against Dem Gretchen Whitmer.
Latest votes were bad for Kobach. With 34% of estimated vote in, state Sen. Kellie Warren leads him 40-37 in GOP #KSAG primary.
20% of estimated vote in for #KSAG GOP primary, Kobach's lead has widened a bit to 40-35. Winner will go up against
In #MI03 primary, Trump-backed John Gibbs leads freshman Rep. Peter Meijer 53-47 with 11% of estimated vote in. Winner faces 2020 Dem nominee Hillary Scholten in seat that redistricting transformed from 51-47 Trump to 53-45 BIDEN.
Meijer voted for impeachment and only represents half of new #MI03. He enjoyed a massive spending edge over Gibbs even with DCCC meddling against him in primary.
Polls have closed in Missouri and most of Kansas and Michigan for a huge election night. We'll be liveblogging the results and tweeting here dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
While we wait for our first results, check out our preview of what to watch here dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
We've also put together our cheat-sheet of the night's big races, which we'll be updating as contests are called docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
It’s “Super” Tuesday in 5 states today with Arizona, Michigan, Missouri, Kansas and Washington holding Congressional primaries ahead of the fall elections. c-span.org/campaign/?2022… @cspan.org
In Michigan, 2 Democratic incumbents Reps. Andy Levin & Haley Stevens face off today in a primary for same district due to redistricting. And #MI03 Rep. Peter Meijer,one of 10Rs to vote to impeach Trump over Jan. 6th attack,faces GOP primary challenge from Trump pick John Gibbs.
In Washington state, House GOP Reps. Jaime Herrera Beutler and Dan Newhouse, both who voted for Trump’s impeachment in 2021 after the January 6th attack, face Trump-endorsed challengers in today’s open primary elections.
Is the "red wave" ebbing? Probably not much. But as Dems show more signs of life and Rs nominate several problematic candidates, we're downgrading our @CookPolitical House outlook from a GOP gain of 20-35 seats to 15-30 seats. Full analysis: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
Exhibit A: in #MI03, Trump-endorsed former HUD official John Gibbs (R) is the favorite to defeat pro-impeachment Rep. Peter Meijer (R) on 8/2.
Gibbs recently told the Detroit News, "There are many great Americans all around the country who were actually conceived from rape."
Gibbs recently told the Detroit News, "There are many great Americans all around the country who were actually conceived from rape."
We haven't hesitated to move vulnerable House Dems into @CookPolitical's Toss Up column. Still, if the 34 seats in Toss Up were to split evenly between the parties, Republicans would net just 18 seats - at the lower end of our 15-30 seat range. cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-…
Big shakeup in DCCC's House battlefield this AM. The committee named 12 challengers to its "Red to Blue" program, added 3 members to its "Frontline" program, added 8 new GOP/Dem districts to its "In Play" list, and removed 6 GOP-held districts from its target list.
Red to Blue challengers:
#CA22: @RudySalasCA
#CA45: @jfchen
#CO07: @pettersen4co
#IA01: @BohannanIowa
#IA02: @LizMathis1
#IL13: @Nikki4Congress
#MI03: @HillaryScholten
#NM02: @Gabe_NM
#NY01: @VoteJackie4NY
#NY11: @MaxRose4NY
#OH01: @votelandsman
#OH13: @EmiliaSykesOH
#CA22: @RudySalasCA
#CA45: @jfchen
#CO07: @pettersen4co
#IA01: @BohannanIowa
#IA02: @LizMathis1
#IL13: @Nikki4Congress
#MI03: @HillaryScholten
#NM02: @Gabe_NM
#NY01: @VoteJackie4NY
#NY11: @MaxRose4NY
#OH01: @votelandsman
#OH13: @EmiliaSykesOH
Thread: which party is "ahead" in redistricting? In my view, it's close to a wash. But the truth is, it depends which metric you use.
As @Nate_Cohn has alluded, tracking by district partisanship (slight Dem gain) differs from tracking by seat control (neutral/slight GOP gain).
As @Nate_Cohn has alluded, tracking by district partisanship (slight Dem gain) differs from tracking by seat control (neutral/slight GOP gain).
New Jersey's new map is a perfect illustration. By @CookPolitical PVI (a measure of districts' 16/20 prez performance vs. national result), three seats have gone from R-leaning to D-leaning: #NJ03, #NJ05 and #NJ11.
Meanwhile, one seat moves from D-leaning to R-leaning: #NJ07.
Meanwhile, one seat moves from D-leaning to R-leaning: #NJ07.
By district partisanship metrics, that sounds like a great deal for Dems. And it mostly is!
However, Dems currently hold *all four* of these seats. That means the new map's most likely practical outcome in 2022 is still a Dem loss of one seat (9D-3R, down from 10D-2R in 2020).
However, Dems currently hold *all four* of these seats. That means the new map's most likely practical outcome in 2022 is still a Dem loss of one seat (9D-3R, down from 10D-2R in 2020).
NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
