Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Rates
Most recents (24)
In webcast “Dust in the Crevices,” Jeffrey Gundlach shares his macro and market views and makes the case for an imminent dust-up, “in the next few years,” in Washington’s decades-long use of debt finance to skirt hard fiscal decisions.
#macro #markets #Fed #inflation #rates
#macro #markets #Fed #inflation #rates
“Here we are in an economy that is supposedly growing, and yet we have 7.3% budget deficit as a % of GDP,” DoubleLine CEO and founder Jeffrey Gundlach says.
That figure is probably headed much higher, especially if the U.S. enters recession.
That figure is probably headed much higher, especially if the U.S. enters recession.
In the wake of hikes of 525 bps in the fed funds rate and 400 bps along many parts of the Treasury curve, DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach notes the burden of federal debt service has surged higher in dollar terms and as a percentage of GDP.
Watch:
Watch:
#ES close almost 4,149 resistance, $RSP $IWM improvements are key bullish achievements, but I doubt would be confirmed by rising #bonds.
Bit of a daily rotation into #cyclicals say that would be hard.
Key today - #retailsales
Quote from Sunday:
THREAD 👇
Bit of a daily rotation into #cyclicals say that would be hard.
Key today - #retailsales
Quote from Sunday:
THREAD 👇
2. "I'm ooking for a meaningful undershoot on Tuesday, especially in core #retailsales turning even slightly negative".
Look at China's uneven recovery (18% vs 21% expected retail sales YoY), and compare then to situations when fiscal and monetary policy work in opposite ways.
Look at China's uneven recovery (18% vs 21% expected retail sales YoY), and compare then to situations when fiscal and monetary policy work in opposite ways.
3. Looking at the relative $XLY direction, I'm afraid #discretionaries are starting to lose their leading shine.
It's rather $XLC $XLV $XLU that are either leading or improving while $XLK deteriorates under the surface (also in terms of #NDX market breadth) just like $XLY.
It's rather $XLC $XLV $XLU that are either leading or improving while $XLK deteriorates under the surface (also in terms of #NDX market breadth) just like $XLY.
A better solution doesn't exist, but here is a short 🧵on why looking at "Average Mortgage Rates" can be misleading in today's world.
#HomeBuyers or wanna-be #HomeSellers - pay close attention! Don't get discouraged running payments on your computer...talk to a professional!
#HomeBuyers or wanna-be #HomeSellers - pay close attention! Don't get discouraged running payments on your computer...talk to a professional!
Conventional Loans are tough to price out these days. The #FHFA has a complicated pricing grid that requires points (upfront $$ - one point = 1% of your loan amount in a cash fee) to be collected based on certain loan parameters, LTV, Credit Score, etc
singlefamily.fanniemae.com/media/9391/dis…
singlefamily.fanniemae.com/media/9391/dis…
These fees are historically absorbed in modestly higher rates. However, the mortgage bond market is not trading well these days so the profit in higher rates to absorb those fees doesn't exist. As a result, "Zero Point" loans can be quite high!
#Oil poised for weekly dip as #recession fears, rates cloud outlook | Apr 28
- #US economic growth slowed more than expected in the first quarter, although jobless claims fell in the week ending April 22, data showed.
financialpost.com/pmn/business-p…
- #US economic growth slowed more than expected in the first quarter, although jobless claims fell in the week ending April 22, data showed.
financialpost.com/pmn/business-p…
#Stock market today: #Asia shares gain, tracking Wall St #rally | Apr 28
- Shares advanced in Asia on Friday after Wall Street rallied to its best day since January.
courant.com/2023/04/28/sto…
- Shares advanced in Asia on Friday after Wall Street rallied to its best day since January.
courant.com/2023/04/28/sto…
#BOJ keeps #rate ultra-#low as it still cools #inflation | Oct 28
- The Bank of Japan stood by its ultra-low interest rates, pushing back against market speculation it would adjust policy as it continues to predict inflation will fall below 2% next year.
biz.crast.net/boj-keeps-rate…
- The Bank of Japan stood by its ultra-low interest rates, pushing back against market speculation it would adjust policy as it continues to predict inflation will fall below 2% next year.
biz.crast.net/boj-keeps-rate…
With regional banks on their back foot, yield curve suggesting imminent recession and a Fed facing both a fragilized financial system and inflation, DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach shares his views with @ScottWapnerCNBC 12 pm PT/3 pm ET today on CNBC.
#rates #banks #Powell
#rates #banks #Powell
Gundlach: All of us have experienced nothing but systematically declining interest rates over the last 40 years. We all think we know things based on our past experience. But we've no experience for a climate of rapidly rising interest rates.
Jeffrey Gundlach: This regional bank crisis may portend problems down in the riskier areas of credit, including high yield corporate bonds.
These companies may experience trouble refinancing and rolling over their debt.
These companies may experience trouble refinancing and rolling over their debt.
🚨False hope sell off ahead of key data 👀
• Silvergate $SI & SVB Financial $SIVB hurt banks $XLF $FAS $KBE $KRE
• Higher-than-expected initial jobless claims
• S&P 500 $SPY $SPX breaks its 200-day moving average
• Looking ahead to Friday
#marketstoday #marketnews #stocks
• Silvergate $SI & SVB Financial $SIVB hurt banks $XLF $FAS $KBE $KRE
• Higher-than-expected initial jobless claims
• S&P 500 $SPY $SPX breaks its 200-day moving average
• Looking ahead to Friday
#marketstoday #marketnews #stocks
📉 Bank stocks sold off sharply amid concerns of rising rates, higher deposit costs, & weaker loan demand that collided
- Silvergate Capital $SI is voluntarily liquidating Silvergate Bank
- SVB Financial $SIVB seeking to raise capital due to elevated cash burn from its clients
- Silvergate Capital $SI is voluntarily liquidating Silvergate Bank
- SVB Financial $SIVB seeking to raise capital due to elevated cash burn from its clients
📊 Initial jobless claims for the week were the highest claims levels since December
That teased the prospect of some softening in the labor market, as it marked the first initial claims reading above 200,000 in eight weeks 🤔
#jobs #joblessclaims
That teased the prospect of some softening in the labor market, as it marked the first initial claims reading above 200,000 in eight weeks 🤔
#jobs #joblessclaims
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Below is a MEGA thread containing the 100 greatest winners from 1880-2009 📈
LIKE 👍 & RETWEET 🔄 to spread the wealth of knowledge💸
Charts are sourced from none other than the GOAT William O'Neil's "How to Make Money in Stocks"
But first, why do these charts matter?
👇
LIKE 👍 & RETWEET 🔄 to spread the wealth of knowledge💸
Charts are sourced from none other than the GOAT William O'Neil's "How to Make Money in Stocks"
But first, why do these charts matter?
👇
They go back to 1880. This shows the timeless principles that we are using here. It is the law of supply and demand. These patterns work because they are the effect of institutional demand, not the cause.
This strategy is RESILIENT
This strategy is RESILIENT
If your goal is to identify stocks with big potential, you need to know what will drive prices up. Institutional demand is what moves prices. They are are the biggest buyers (and sellers) in the market. They want growth in earnings, sales and margins.
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14A Winthrop St Marlborough, MA 01752 1-508-258-7195
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Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St Marlborough, MA 01752 1-508-258-7195
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Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St Marlborough, MA 01752 1-508-258-7195
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Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St Marlborough, MA 01752 1-508-258-7195
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Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St
Marlborough, MA 01752
1-508-258-7195
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Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St
Marlborough, MA 01752
1-508-258-7195
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Learn more:
Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St
Marlborough, MA 01752
1-508-258-7195
lunovainsurance.com
Learn more:
Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St
Marlborough, MA 01752
1-508-258-7195
lunovainsurance.com
Find #Personalinsurance information in Marlborough for "Auto, Home, Umbrella, Motorcycle, Flood, & Landlord Insurance", online & local #NEAR "LUNOVA INSURANCE" in #MarlboroughMass01752:
Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St
Marlborough, MA 01752
1-508-258-7195
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Lunova Insurance
14A Winthrop St
Marlborough, MA 01752
1-508-258-7195
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