Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #risk
Most recents (24)
As was widely expected, the @federalreserve today halted the most aggressive policy rate #HikingCycle since 1980, leaving the Fed Funds range unchanged at 5.0% to 5.25%, a level that appears clear to us to be finally having an impact on the #economy.
We think today’s actions represent a “Hawkish skip,” which implies that #policy makers are seeking more #data before potentially hiking rates again in July, or September.
For our part, we think #ChairPowell’s comments at the press conference made it clear that the #FOMC is seeking to balance increasingly restrictive monetary policy with the high degree of uncertainty around the tightening of #CreditConditions…
Thread:-
Why Investing in Companies with Peak Profit Margins Requires Caution 📉⛔️
👇👇👇
Why Investing in Companies with Peak Profit Margins Requires Caution 📉⛔️
👇👇👇
1/7: #Investing in companies at peak profit margins can be risky. As #companies reach their maximum profitability, a phenomenon known as mean reversion often occurs. This means that profit margins tend to revert back to their long-term average levels over time.
2/7: Mean reversion suggests that high profit margins may not be sustainable in the long run. As margins normalize or decrease, it can lead to potential declines in the company's stock price. So, exercise caution when considering such #investment’s
An #Excel #error in the Austrian social democrats leadership election occurred when aggregating results together into a spreadsheet. #Doskozil was leader from the 3rd to the 5th of June. Following the correction #Babler leads the party. #risk #Excelgate
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
We have countless examples of spreadsheet errors in political organisation. The mistakes made are elementary and often occur when passing information from system A to system B manually. A basic lack of checking, corroboration and validation has derailed democracy once again
These errors are great examples of how little thought is put into the use of spreadsheets for critical decision making. So much confidence was bestowed on #Excel, no one bothered to check if it was correct. Its a mistake we repeat time and again.
1) Welcome to a 🆕accredited tweetorial from @cardiomet_CE! We welcome back expert faculty @ChristosArgyrop to discuss screening for #CKD in pts w/ #T2D & the role of routine assessment for #microalbuminuria as an effective diagnostic, risk stratification, & patient ed tool.
2) Christos Argyropoulos MD, PhD @ChristosArgyrop is Division Chief, Nephrology @UNMHSC. #CKD is chronic #kidneydisease, #ESKD is end-stage kidney disease.
#FOAMed #nephtwitter #cardiotwitter @MedTweetorials @NephUCommunity @ISNkidneycare @KidneyDiseaseFm
#FOAMed #nephtwitter #cardiotwitter @MedTweetorials @NephUCommunity @ISNkidneycare @KidneyDiseaseFm
3) This program is intended for #HCPs and is supported by an unrestricted educational grant from Bayer. Statement of accreditation & faculty disclosures at cardiometabolic-ce.com/disclosures/.
FOLLOW US for more expert-authored #tweetorials and earn #MedEd
FOLLOW US for more expert-authored #tweetorials and earn #MedEd
“it's important to recognize that cap rates have limitations and should not be the sole indicator of a real estate investment's potential” 🧵👇
1/ Many people in the real estate industry rely on cap rates as a key metric to evaluate the profitability of an investment. However, it's important to recognize that cap rates have limitations and should not be the sole indicator of a real estate investment's potential. Let's… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2/ First, cap rates, or capitalization rates, are calculated by dividing a property's net operating income (NOI) by its purchase price. This ratio represents the expected rate of return an investor can expect from the property. However, it doesn't take into account several… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Just doing some digging. #Pain is extremely nuanced. And the approach should also. W my kids #health & #pain there has been continued lack of knowledge, assumptions, & unwillingness to understand.
➡️#Anatomy of those that had #TPAIT & lack of understanding
by many docs 1
➡️#Anatomy of those that had #TPAIT & lack of understanding
by many docs 1
how this can impact #pain
➡️ Not identify or understanding impact of #MalabsorptionSyndrome
➡️Assumption that removal of #pancreas should immediately ‘solve’ issue of #ChronicPain
➡️ #GastricEmptying issues
➡️ Age of my kids (too young to have #pain)
➡️ Lack of 2
➡️ Not identify or understanding impact of #MalabsorptionSyndrome
➡️Assumption that removal of #pancreas should immediately ‘solve’ issue of #ChronicPain
➡️ #GastricEmptying issues
➡️ Age of my kids (too young to have #pain)
➡️ Lack of 2
understanding & identification of #MedicalTrauma
➡️T3c #Diabetes
➡️ Impact of #NASH on #pain & options for #care
There are numerous factors that are critical in #Treating an #ChronicPain in #Individuals. They list of few listed above that are factors w my kids, have often 3
➡️T3c #Diabetes
➡️ Impact of #NASH on #pain & options for #care
There are numerous factors that are critical in #Treating an #ChronicPain in #Individuals. They list of few listed above that are factors w my kids, have often 3
To believe in the $PERI story you have to believe that its $MSFT partnership (35% of sales) is sustainable. We don't. We found that it recently lost its top supply award. Not even a regional nominee this year.
There is clear evidence the $PERI and $MSFT partnership is falling behind plan. Serious contract renewal risk coming up in 2024. They should have booked $450m of revenue by now, but only at $401m #risk #contract #adtech #promotion
$PERI needs to explain its tie in with Yandex and $MSFT. It heavily promoted this growth avenue. We found that Perion just lost Yandex. How will it replace this? There aren't enough search partners to fill the gap
@vonderleyen The #Qatargate #Scandal: Could It Signal The #End Of The ‘#BrusselsEU’? | Apr 21
- A vice #president of the #EuropeanParliament and other EU #lawmakers have been #bribed by the governments of #Qatar, #Morocco, #Mauritania, and possibly other countries
dr-rath-foundation.org/2023/04/the-qa…
- A vice #president of the #EuropeanParliament and other EU #lawmakers have been #bribed by the governments of #Qatar, #Morocco, #Mauritania, and possibly other countries
dr-rath-foundation.org/2023/04/the-qa…
@vonderleyen Inquiry Launched Into Secret Talks Between #Pfizer And #EUCommission Chief For Sale Of #Vaccines | Sep 18
- Pfizer has been holding sovereign governments to #ransom making bizarre demands asking for #bankreserves, #embassy buildings and #military bases.
- Pfizer has been holding sovereign governments to #ransom making bizarre demands asking for #bankreserves, #embassy buildings and #military bases.
@vonderleyen The #EuropeanCommission's #refusal of public access to text messages #SMS exchanged between
@vonderleyen and the CEO of a #pharmaceutical company on the purchase of a #Covid19Vaccines
- CASE 1316/2021/MIG - OPENED ON Thursday | 16 Sep 2021
@vonderleyen and the CEO of a #pharmaceutical company on the purchase of a #Covid19Vaccines
- CASE 1316/2021/MIG - OPENED ON Thursday | 16 Sep 2021
Educate yourself: Stay informed about the financial markets, industry trends, and economic developments that could impact your investments. Attend seminars, read books, and consult with financial advisors to learn as much as you can.
#financialadvisor #learn #sarmaayatraining
#financialadvisor #learn #sarmaayatraining
Have a plan: Set clear investment goals and develop a well-thought-out plan for achieving them. Determine your risk tolerance and build a diversified portfolio that aligns with your financial objectives.
#investmentgoal #stayfinanciallyhealthy
#investmentgoal #stayfinanciallyhealthy
Well, we made some noise and I feel that it is the right time to explain our #vision, workflow and #investments thesis. Our vision is to be a leader of every liquid / investment / MM / Institutional niche in the #crypto and #web3 industry. It leads us to take care of our… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
1. Main investment target is #Layer1/#Layer2 #protocols. Investments and cooperation with such projects help us to reach a lot of promising early stage and super early stage projects in order to find brilliant investment #opportunities.
2. Second part of our investment targets includes the most promising and mainstream niches as #GameFi, #Guilds, #DeFi, Web3 #Derivatives, Web3 #Social platforms, #AI, #DAO and sometimes - #meme coins. Then we can play around our portfolio companies in order to find synergies… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Outcomes after Critical Illness: @NEJM
Cardiac critical care and CCM often overlap
Here are few point summary
👇👇👇
Cardiac critical care and CCM often overlap
Here are few point summary
👇👇👇
1/ 🚑 Critical care has seen major advancements, but post-critical illness complications are prevalent & can persist for years. Health inequities can worsen outcomes. Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted this issue.
2/ 🌐 A continuum of care from ICU to community is needed, alongside basic science inquiry to understand multiple mechanisms of morbidity. Transparent reporting of long-term ICU outcomes is essential.
Just out: Scientific report with overview of highly pathogenic avian #influenza from December 2022 to March 2023, by @efsa, @ECDC_EU, and EURL AI. A thread on the situation in poultry, wild birds, wild mammals, and humans in Europe and worldwide. (1/11)
efsa.europa.eu/en/efsajournal…
efsa.europa.eu/en/efsajournal…
In #Europe, highly pathogenic avian #influenza virus #H5N1, clade 2.3.4.4b, was reported in 403 #poultry farms and 119 other captive bird holdings birds in 24 countries between 3 December 2022 and 1 March 2023. (2/11)
In Europe, an unexpected number of highly pathogenic avian #influenza virus #H5N1 detections in #seabirds were observed between 3 December 2022 and 1 March 2023, mainly in gull species and particularly in black-headed #gulls (Chroicocephalus ridibundus). (3/11)
2/8 What we've been saying: banks and the consumer are no longer the problem. #Banks are the new utilities.
3/8 The #government and business sector are the problems. Businesses have seen record #debt and record low #tax rates help inflate margins to unsustainable levels.
1/7 This was a FASCINATING article from @FortuneMagazine
Overconfident #tech #CEOs have overpaid for ‘box tickers’ and ‘taskmasters.’ Here’s why the real ‘creators’ will survive the mass #layoffs
yahoo.com/entertainment/…
Overconfident #tech #CEOs have overpaid for ‘box tickers’ and ‘taskmasters.’ Here’s why the real ‘creators’ will survive the mass #layoffs
yahoo.com/entertainment/…
2/7 "$CRM CEO Marc #Benioff and $META CEO Mark #Zuckerberg have admitted that they hired too many employees under the assumption that the growth their #sector experienced during the pandemic would continue."
🤔 Playing it safe? 🚫
You might be risking everything! 💥
The biggest #risk in life isn't taking risks! 💪
💼 Every decision, every business, has risks and rewards. You can't have your cake and eat it too!
No risk, no reward! 🎂
1/5
@CSE_Media
You might be risking everything! 💥
The biggest #risk in life isn't taking risks! 💪
💼 Every decision, every business, has risks and rewards. You can't have your cake and eat it too!
No risk, no reward! 🎂
1/5
@CSE_Media
📚ISO 31,000 defines risk as “effect of uncertainty on objectives”.
There’s no free lunch. 🍚
Nothing ventured - nothing gained.
So don't focus on the risk.
Rather, focus on the objective! 🎯
🔍 Don't miss out on opportunities because you're scared of uncertainty!
2/5
There’s no free lunch. 🍚
Nothing ventured - nothing gained.
So don't focus on the risk.
Rather, focus on the objective! 🎯
🔍 Don't miss out on opportunities because you're scared of uncertainty!
2/5
An event that seems certain may not happen. Something that seems unlikely could turn out to be a huge win! 🎉
🌟 Remember, luck and risk doesn't discriminate!
💡“You can be smart and end up wrong. Or dumb and end up right. That’s how luck and risk work” - @morganhousel
3/5
🌟 Remember, luck and risk doesn't discriminate!
💡“You can be smart and end up wrong. Or dumb and end up right. That’s how luck and risk work” - @morganhousel
3/5
#Climatechange, combined with continued development and urbanization in some areas, has increased the risk of 𝐟𝐥𝐮𝐯𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 in much of #Europe; and, despite extensive efforts to reduce the #risk, #flood impacts have increased in recent decades.
The climate crisis makes it increasingly urgent and necessary to put #adaptation strategies, as well as #mitigation, at the center of policies.
So what type of adaptation? How can we, in the face of different risks, identify the most effective #strategies?
So what type of adaptation? How can we, in the face of different risks, identify the most effective #strategies?
A new study in @NatureClimate, co-authored by our Francesco Dottori and Lorenzo Alfieri, focuses on river flooding: simulating different types of interventions, they present a cost-benefit analysis to identify the best strategies for limiting land vulnerability to #flood #risk.
Do ppl understand that ppl die from #MECFS?
Common cause is starvation as the stomach shuts down.
We're now seeing trend amongst #LongCovid patients; where many of those severely ill are seeing huge rapid weight loss. I'm begging parents to take action early if your child 1)
Common cause is starvation as the stomach shuts down.
We're now seeing trend amongst #LongCovid patients; where many of those severely ill are seeing huge rapid weight loss. I'm begging parents to take action early if your child 1)
Has the signs of #LongCovidKids.
Majority of ppl who become severe do not start out that way. Rather they steadily decline.
Common cause of decline is pushing through PEM.This is why we talk about the importance of early diagnosis. Promise you as a parent if your child becomes 2)
Majority of ppl who become severe do not start out that way. Rather they steadily decline.
Common cause of decline is pushing through PEM.This is why we talk about the importance of early diagnosis. Promise you as a parent if your child becomes 2)
Severely ill w LC, you'll need to know you've done everything to care for them from the start. There are many parents out there w sick children who
a) dont know its LC because they aren't educated about LC
b) are in denial.
Those children likely to become more sick as they 3)
a) dont know its LC because they aren't educated about LC
b) are in denial.
Those children likely to become more sick as they 3)
the chief preoccupation of #capitalism and capitalists is *predicting the future*. (well, that and _stealing_.)
to be a capitalist is to be hagridden with the #future, and craving omens and portents about it. to be in #business and #finance is to be into fortune-telling.
(1/x)
to be a capitalist is to be hagridden with the #future, and craving omens and portents about it. to be in #business and #finance is to be into fortune-telling.
(1/x)
quite literally in fact! a #fortune, in the sense of a big pile of treasure, was called a fortune because it was something that came to you by *chance*.
a rich relative died and left you a legacy. you had a lucky gold strike, or found a shipwreck loaded with riches.
(2/x)
a rich relative died and left you a legacy. you had a lucky gold strike, or found a shipwreck loaded with riches.
(2/x)
these days, though, people who devote themselves to lives of avarice—e.g. @elonmusk, @Teslaconomics, and everyone else in #business and #finance and #investment and #realestate and #cryptocurrency and every other way of scamming money—feel that they're *owed* a "fortune".
(3/x)
(3/x)
#capitalism is essentially *backwards* looking. yes, capitalists attempt to pretend that they're the masters of #innovation and advancement of #technology, the builders of the #future, and all that.
it's lies—mere #marketing. capitalists do not like progress or change.
(1/x)
it's lies—mere #marketing. capitalists do not like progress or change.
(1/x)
corporate #management and #executive persons want one thing above all others: guaranteed #money. they want *safe bets*. they don't want #competition or #risk; they want a steady source of "passive income" that always goes up and up.
(this causes #inflation, by the way.)
(2/x)
(this causes #inflation, by the way.)
(2/x)
(yes, I know that #capitalism and the #business community, not to mention all #politics and #journalism these days, blame #inflation on the profligate #consumer—but in reality, inflation occurs because capitalists always want *more #money*; it has to come from somewhere.)
(3/x)
(3/x)
DoorDash has all the appslaves it needs to minimize pay. Few Dashers (heaven help YOUR "friends") complete 270 deliveries within 60 days (~15 hours per week, at 2 deliveries per hour).
📉DoorDash reports, "In 2021, 90% of Dashers worked less than 10 hrs per week on delivery."
📉DoorDash reports, "In 2021, 90% of Dashers worked less than 10 hrs per week on delivery."
You’ve heard, “if it’s free, you're the product." Here’s a new version for DoorDash Singularity. In the DoorDash game #Dashers ARE NOT PEOPLE WITH JOBS, they’re expenses judged by their all-in cost; the sum of their recruitment costs and delivery payments.
jeffthomasblack.substack.com/p/episode-5-th…
jeffthomasblack.substack.com/p/episode-5-th…
#FullDashclosure
DoorDash is "#LaborLaundering" - engaging in compensation schemes insidiously-designed to obscure any measurable rate of #DasherPay, any calculation of operational #Expenses, reporting of income from workers making under $600/year and the major issue of #Risk.
DoorDash is "#LaborLaundering" - engaging in compensation schemes insidiously-designed to obscure any measurable rate of #DasherPay, any calculation of operational #Expenses, reporting of income from workers making under $600/year and the major issue of #Risk.
1) #Risk ile #Belirsizlik kavramları arasındaki ayrımda:
❓🧮Ne olacağını kesin olarak bilmesek de olasılıkları biliyorsak kastedilen şey "Risk"tir.
⁉️ ❌Ancak, olasılıkları dahi bilmiyorsak "Belirsizlik" söz konusudur.
❓🧮Ne olacağını kesin olarak bilmesek de olasılıkları biliyorsak kastedilen şey "Risk"tir.
⁉️ ❌Ancak, olasılıkları dahi bilmiyorsak "Belirsizlik" söz konusudur.
2) #Temerrüt hâli risk yönetiminin olmadığı ya da iyi ve zamanında yapılamadığı için işlerin başarısızlıkla sonuçlandığı durumdur.
#LikiditeKrizi bunun bir önceki adımıdır.
#Kazançlar açısından yaşanacak kriz ciddi uyarıdır.
#Stratejik kararlar işleri #Normal akışta tutmalıdır.
#LikiditeKrizi bunun bir önceki adımıdır.
#Kazançlar açısından yaşanacak kriz ciddi uyarıdır.
#Stratejik kararlar işleri #Normal akışta tutmalıdır.
3) Biz yatırımcılara düşense iyi yönetilen işletmeleri arayarak bu şirketlerin risklerini ve yönetimlerinin risk karşısındaki eylemlerini izlemektir.
Faiz artışları ve belirsizlik ortamı piyasadan likidite çekilmesine yol açtığından borç ve ödeme kabiliyeti daha da önemlidir.
Faiz artışları ve belirsizlik ortamı piyasadan likidite çekilmesine yol açtığından borç ve ödeme kabiliyeti daha da önemlidir.
Important lessons from "The Psychology of Money" by Morgan Housel
I have read this book so many times and will post my favorite quotes here … do read the book #thepsychologyofmoney
I have read this book so many times and will post my favorite quotes here … do read the book #thepsychologyofmoney
"The best way to think about money is to think about it as a tool for creating options."
When we have financial security, we have more choices and opportunities in life.
When we have financial security, we have more choices and opportunities in life.
"The most important thing about #money is how you think about it."
Money is just a tool, but it can have a powerful influence on our thoughts and actions.
Money is just a tool, but it can have a powerful influence on our thoughts and actions.
In the world of #DeFi yield protocols, developers and users typically need to make a choice:
Do you want high #yields 🍏?
OR
Do you want low #risk 🍎?
1/10🧵
Do you want high #yields 🍏?
OR
Do you want low #risk 🍎?
1/10🧵
🍏In most existing leveraged yield farms, higher yield comes from higher leverage and higher risk.
As a result, only users who do frequent position adjustments survive. Degen in, degen out. 😮💨
And those who don't manage their positions?
High chance of rektness.
2/10 🧵
As a result, only users who do frequent position adjustments survive. Degen in, degen out. 😮💨
And those who don't manage their positions?
High chance of rektness.
2/10 🧵
#OptionsTrading income can be volatile and uncertain, as it depends on #market conditions and the success of individual trades. This means that traders may experience significant fluctuations in their income from one period to the next, and it can be difficult to predict.
Trading income is also subject to taxes, which can reduce the overall returns earned. Depending on the trader's tax bracket and the specific tax laws in their jurisdiction, a significant portion of their trading income may be taken by the government in the form of taxes.
The amount of trading income earned may be limited by the amount of capital available to trade with. If a trader does not have a sufficient amount of capital to trade, their potential returns may be limited.
