Most recents (13)

Charles Gaba isn't paying for this account.

@charles_gaba

📣 Are you disgusted by @RepKeithSelf (#TX03, including Allen, TX) shrugging his shoulders and saying that not only can't we do anything about mass shootings but that *we shouldn't even bother* since "God is in control of our lives?"

Well, I have bad news and good news. 1/

The bad news is Self won by 23 points last year. The odds are he won't be beatable in 2024.

The GOOD news is that there are 19 *other* GOP-held seats which ARE winnable next year, and Dems only have to net 5 of them to flip the House. Donate today:
secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…

These 19 GOP-held seats are rated either Tossup, Lean R or Lean D by @CookPolitical, and all 19 are on my fundraising page. Donations go *directly* to the Democratic nominee: 3/

AZ-01 (R+2)
AZ-06 (R+3)
CA-13 (D+4)
CA-22 (D+5)
CA-27 (D+4)
CA-41 (R+3)
CA-45 (D+2)

Read 6 tweets

Patrick Svitek

@PatrickSvitek

BREAKING: Van Taylor is suspending his reelection campaign after he was forced into a primary runoff last night. He faced last-minute allegations of infidelity.

Taylor emails supporters: "About a year ago, I made a horrible mistake that has caused deep hurt and pain among those I love most in this world. I had an affair, it was wrong, and it was the greatest failure of my life."

Taylor, cont'd.: "I want to apologize for the pain I have caused with my indiscretion, most of all to my wife Anne and our three daughters."

Read 4 tweets

Melanie🇺🇸

@melajessi_1

NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022

@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector

@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10

Read 38 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

A rundown of how much TX GOP's proposed map would shore up nine of their own incumbents who badly need it:

#TX02 Crenshaw: Trump +1 to Trump +23
#TX03 Taylor: Trump +1 to Trump +15
#TX06 Ellzey: Trump +3 to Trump +20
#TX10 McCaul: Trump +2 to Trump +20

Continued...

#TX21 Roy: Trump +3 to Trump +20
#TX22 Nehls: Trump +1 to Trump +15
#TX23 Gonzales: Trump +2 to Trump +7
#TX24 Van Duyne: Biden +5 to Trump +12
#TX31 Carter: Trump +3 to Trump +20

The reason I was mildly surprised: Republicans could have drawn #TX03, #TX22 & #TX24 to be even redder.

All three GOP seats moved 25+ pts left between 2012 and 2020, and as proposed they could easily be vulnerable again by the middle of the 2020s.

Read 3 tweets

Nathaniel Rakich

@baseballot

Texas Republicans' proposed congressional map is up and analyzed on the @FiveThirtyEight redistricting tracker: projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…

@FiveThirtyEight The map shores up #TX07, #TX28, #TX32, and #TX34 for Dems and adds a new solid-blue #TX37 in Austin. In exchange, #TX02, #TX03, #TX06, #TX10, #TX21, #TX22, #TX23, #TX24, and #TX31 are made safer for their Republican incumbents.

Dem Rep. Vicente Gonzalez's #TX15 also becomes a bit redder, but still a tossup, under this map. I wonder if he moves over to the safe blue #TX34, whence Rep. Filemon Vela is retiring. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…

Read 4 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

Wow. This isn't even as aggressive a map as I expected from Texas Rs. It could plausibly be 24R-14D, w/ the chance Rs add seats in the Rio Grande Valley & Dems gain in DFW burbs over the course of the 2020s.

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1442497118342508546

A few early highlights/impressions:
- a new Dem #TX37 in Austin
- a new GOP #TX38 in Houston (for Wesley Hunt?)
- no new Hispanic majority seat (lawsuit?)
- #TX15 Gonzalez (D) made redder
- #TX03 Taylor (R) & #TX24 Van Duyne (R) not shored up quite as much as I'd have expected

Another surprise: this GOP proposal doesn't shore up #TX21 Rep. Chip Roy (R) by nearly as much as it could have. He's still got a chunk of Travis Co.

The much bigger winners: #TX02 Crenshaw, #TX10 McCaul, #TX22 Nehls, #TX25 Williams, #TX31 Carter.

Read 6 tweets

Patrick Svitek

@PatrickSvitek

Proposed Texas congressional map is out: data.capitol.texas.gov/dataset/cf8703… #txlege

The two new seats go to the Austin and Houston areas

.@RepMcCaul loses Harris County in #TX10

Read 16 tweets

Jesse Lehrich

@JesseLehrich

HOT (VERY OPTIMISTIC) TAKE:

Joe will win TX early in the night, saving us from potential chaos.

spent a lot of time poring through TX data today.

genuinely believe Biden will win it.

demographics are changing so fast & turnout is overwhelming.

1 wild example of how fast things are changing in TX:

#TX03
2012 – Romney +29
2016 – Trump +14
2018 – Cruz +3
DCCC internal: Biden +11

a FORTY point shift in 8 years.

Read 3 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

Hint: it's actually *not* #TX03.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1306695570220875777

p.s. by "rating changes," I might have actually meant fiddle videos...

All kidding aside, I'm not sure anyone has guessed it yet.

Read 3 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: House rating changes in 20 districts, all towards Democrats. I can’t recall the last time we moved so many races at once, let alone in the same direction.

More @CookPolitical: for the first time this cycle, Democrats have at least as good a chance of picking up House seats as Republicans on a net basis. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

(Here’s a graphic corrected for #WA03)

Read 8 tweets

Karol Cummins

@karolcummins

💣Co-conspirators💣:

Moscow filed a request w/ Interpol to locate Oleg Smolenkov (the longtime Kremlin intel source).

The same person Nunes sought to ID in prep b/4 the G20 in Helsinki for the Trump/Putin private meeting.

The same meeting where Trump confiscated the notes

💣Co-conspirators2💣

The HJC voted in favor of a new resolution formalizing the impeachment inquiry and further intensifying its investigation into Trump amid a growing chorus of DEMs to hold the president accountable for his actions. The vote fell along party lines 24-17.

💣Co-conspirators3💣

Justice Dept. Rejects Andrew McCabe’s Bid to Avoid Charges

House panel approves impeachment inquiry parameters as Democrats try to clarify their strategy

Justice Department to reveal name of individual accused of aiding 9/11 hijackers

Read 48 tweets

postcardsforAmerica

@postcards4USA

Hey #TEXAS #VotingMatters
Here’s a THREAD of All your Democratic Candidates
& Voting Info (Registration, Vote by Mail, Early Voting, being a Poll Worker with Links
Register by October 9 via here: votetexas.gov/register-to-vo…
Info at mytexasvotes.com & @VoteTexas
#Midterms2018

REGISTRATON in #TEXAS
Register to Vote by OCTOBER 9 #Midterms2018
Check you’re Registered teamrv-mvp.sos.texas.gov/MVP/mvp.do
Register here: webservices.sos.state.tx.us/vrapp/index.asp
Voting Officials here: sos.texas.gov/elections/vote…
Request for Postage Paid Voter Registration Form: webservices.sos.state.tx.us/vrrequest/inde…
thread

#earlyvote in #TEXAS
Find early voting locations here: sos.state.tx.us/elections/vote…
Or: teamrv-mvp.sos.texas.gov/MVP/mvp.do
Or contact County Election Boards here: sos.state.tx.us/elections/vote…
Early Voting for #Midterms2018: Oct 22, 2018 - Nov 2, 2018 (in person)
Early Voting by Mail return by Nov 6

Read 47 tweets

postcardsforAmerica

@postcards4USA

Hey #Texas! You're up first for #Midterms2018
MARCH 6, 2018
THREAD of All Democratic Candidates in All Districts, Photos & Links
#BlueWave2018
Register 30+ Days before votetexas.gov/register-to-vo…
Find early voting locations at County Election Boards here sos.state.tx.us/elections/vote…