Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #PA18

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

Here's the fully functional pro-QAnon Facebook page of Rick Saccone, who stormed the Capitol.

Is Saccone a random dude? No. He's a former Air Force counterintelligence officer who came within 800 votes of winning a seat in Congress as the 2018 GOP nominee for #PA18.

We've spent most of the past four years focusing on the words/actions of one person. But perhaps at the expense of how even trusted figures in communities have become radicalized by falsehoods ripping through the internet/social media at warp speed.

Why haven't @GOPLeader & others publicly acknowledged the election outcome even though he has no doubt as to the result?

Because he & other conference leaders are fearful of being overthrown by members/voters who believe it was stolen. Until that changes, their posture won't.

Read 3 tweets

Ryan Matsumoto

@ryanmatsumoto1

If Haaland is confirmed, it would trigger a special election in #NM01, which voted for Biden by 23 points, per @DKElections.

In 15 U.S. House special elections from 2017 to 2020, the maximum deviation from a district's presidential results was 21 points.

https://twitter.com/brady_dennis/status/1339650576292954123?s=20

Democrats would start out as strong favorites to keep Haaland's #NM01 district (Biden +23).

There are several examples of Democrats overperforming by close to that margin in special elections - #KS04 (+21), #PA18 (+20), #NY27 (+19).

But the GOP would have to do even better.

For Republicans to pull off a massive upset in a #NM01 special election, they'd probably need:

- A strongly pro-Republican political environment
- Latino turnout collapses in a district where they are ~43% of eligible voters
- Latinos that do show up shift towards Republicans

Read 3 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
Mega-THREAD

ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

It's #ElectionSeason! #Election2020 has begun!
#EarlyVoting already in:
IL MI MN MO NJ PA SD VA VT WY
Just to get you in the mood, here's a THREAD of the specifics on HOW TO #VoteByMail in each State AND all your Dem Candidates for House, Senate, AG, Governor & SoS
#VoteReady

ILLINOIS #IL#VoteByMail
Application elections.il.gov/ElectionOperat…
ILLINOIS Democratic Candidates
#IL1 #IL2 #IL3 #IL4 #IL5 #IL6 #IL7 #IL8 #IL9 #IL10 #IL11 #IL12 #IL13 #IL14 #IL15 #IL16 #IL17 #IL18
#Congress2020 #NoSafeSeats

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1275246068708581382

GoogleDoc: pc2a.info/DemCandidatesIL

MICHIGAN #MI #VoteByMail #AbsenteeVoting
Apply online mvic.sos.state.mi.us/avapplication
County Clerks mvic.sos.state.mi.us/Clerk
MICHIGAN Democratic Candidates
#MI1 #MI2 #MI3 #MI4 #MI5 #MI6 #MI7 #MI8 #MI9 #MI10 #MI11 & SENATE
THREAD:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1292583520200728578

GoogleDoc: pc2a.info/DemCandidatesMI

Read 14 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

PENNSYLVANIA Democratic Candidates
#PA1 #PA2 #PA3 #PA4 #PA5 #PA6 #PA7 #PA8 #PA9 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18 & AG
Postcards & Links for each Candidate
Follow & Support!
#Congress2020

THREAD #PostcardsforAmerica
All 50 States here postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…

PA1 Democratic Candidate
Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District
#PA1 #PA01
Running against Brian Fitzpatrick
Christina Finello
Borough Councilwoman, Attorney & Psychologist
@FinelloForPA
finelloforcongress.com
Donate secure.actblue.com/donate/christi…
THREAD #Congress2020 #HoldTheHouse

Read 23 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

& follow @NDLB2020

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

Kierstyn P. Zolfo -together our voices will carry

@BucksCoKierstyn

Welcome to the Pennsylvania member of Congress Tracking Report for the week ending March 22, 2020. We are doing things a bit differently this week. All of our content centers on the #COVID19 #coronavirus pandemic.
#MoCTrack 1/28
demcastusa.com/2020/03/22/pen…

First up, we have a recap of HR 6201, the #FamiliesFirst bill that was passed on Wednesday by the Senate and signed into law.
#MoCTrack 2/28
npr.org/2020/03/19/818…

If you have a chance, check out the #MoCTrack recap of the #FamiliesFirst action in the Senate. There were three attempts to amend the bill (1 good, 2 awful), and it is worth seeing ow our lawmakers voted on those efforts.
#MoCTrack 3/28
bit.ly/3do6mnB

Read 28 tweets

Kierstyn P. Zolfo 🌊🇺🇸

@BucksCoKierstyn

Welcome to MoCTrack for January 5, 2020.

This is our 2019 year in review for all of the tidbits you need about last year’s legislative action. Congress is heading back to DC this week, so now is the time to see how they did last year!
#MoCTrack 1/27

demcastusa.com/2020/01/05/pen…

The great folks at @538Politics provide our Trump Tracker numbers, showing how often each MoCs vote with #IMPOTUS.

We took all those 2019 numbers and show you each lawmaker’s high and low point, as well as their 2019 average.

#MoCTrack 2/27
bit.ly/2QP6H8v

@538politics First up a rundown of 2019 in legislation, by the numbers.
#MoCTrack 3/27
bit.ly/2QP6H8v

Read 28 tweets

Kierstyn P. Zolfo

@BucksCoKierstyn

Welcome to the Pennsylvania Member of Congress Tracking Report for the week ending 09/08/19. This is our last recess report before we get back to normal business, as our MoCs are returning to Washington today.
#MoCTrack 1/24
bit.ly/2kp2V9U

If you’d like a reminder of where things left off when our MoCs left for recess, check out the Trump Tracker numbers, courtesy of the find folks at @538Politics. It gauges how much your MoC votes in line with the Trump Admin's agenda.
#MoCTrack 2/24
bit.ly/2k6yBk2

@538politics The rest of this report is a bit different than our normal offering.

We’ve pulled together info on official website statements, public appearances, town halls, tweets and quotes that each of our 20 MoCs made over the recess.
#MoCTrack 3/24
bit.ly/2kp2DzQ

Read 24 tweets

postcardsforAmerica

@postcards4USA

Hey #Pennsylvania!
Here’s All the Democratic Candidates (#Primary Winners) for #Midterms2018!
With website & voter info links! Includes info on New vs Old Districts.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18

VOTER REGISTRATION in Pennsylvania
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018 #Midterms2018
Register by Oct 6 here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
#BlueWavePA

Read 31 tweets

postcardsforAmerica

@postcards4USA

Hey #Pennsylvania you get to vote in Primaries on MAY 15, 2018
For Congress & Lt. Gov
THREAD of ALL Democratic Candidates below.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
Voter Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018

Pennsylvania Primary Election MAY 15, 2018
Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…

#Pennsylvania Redrawn District Maps #PADistricts
#NOMoreIncumbents
What is Where Now?
THREAD
Be sure & utilize this newfound fairness and VOTE!
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Form for Absentee here: votespa.com/en-us/Document…
Next Election: Primaries May 15, 2018

Read 27 tweets

Annie Duke

@AnnieDuke

On election day in #PA18 special election, @nytimes explained how election-night forecasting device “The Needle” worked & explained the near certainty it will be “wrong” at some point (if by wrong you mean the candidate the needle favors eventually loses). nytimes.com/2018/03/13/ups…

“All hail the needle!” – In Dec. AL Senate election, @nytimes needle had eventual winner, Jones, at 62% to win (based on Democratic-heavy precincts yet to report) when Moore was ahead by 8 points with 2/3 of precincts counted.

Article by @Nate_Cohn @jshkatz

Remember, “90% likely” is also an estimate that it won’t happen 10%. @nytimes reports the difficulties explaining probabilities in a world of “right” and “wrong.”

Read 4 tweets

Western Priorities

@WstrnPriorities

THREAD: @SecretaryZinke’s hearing before @NatResources / @NRDems starts in 5 min. Live tweets and fact-checks below. Stream:

First up: @RepRobBishop thanks Zinke for focusing on "core" functions rather than "special interest groups." Translation: "Core" = oil, gas, uranium companies. "Special interest" = public input.

Next up, welcome from @RepRaulGrijalva, promising to "exercise oversight responsibilities." Intends to focus on Zinke's "stewardship of taxpayer dollars" in light of Zinke's proposed budget cuts. First mention of Zinke's $139,000 door.

Read 144 tweets

Rachel Murphy Azzara #DemsWork4USA

@RachelAzzara

1. You’ve probably seen articles like this today and, hopefully, you’re reading them — and not just for the joy of watching the #GOP squirm at a squeaking defeat in what should’ve been a GOP blowout. The reactions of the opposition are strategic clues. apple.news/AmbTmoZhNTRqtK…

2. Particularly, I want to draw your attention to this statement from Paul Ryan. Basically, he’s pointing out that because Lamb didn’t have a primary opponent, he was able to run as a more conservative Dem which allowed him to win a district DT won by 20 pts.

3. Let’s unpack that a little. Two things are implied here. One, they know that GOP (and their support of DT) is frowned on enough that there is willingness to vote Dem in red districts with palatable messaging (moderate, willingness to work in a bipartisan manner).

Read 14 tweets

Kabir K.

@kabir_here

Wow, less than 100 votes currently separating Lamb and Saccone in #PA18

Allegheny has reported its absentee votes -- Lamb won about 62% of them

Still waiting on absentee results in Westmoreland. Washington County just informed us they're also counting absentees tonight, but it might take a few hours...

Read 11 tweets

G. Elliott Morris📈🤷‍♂️

@gelliottmorris

27% in now. Unclear if Lamb can pull this off. He’s running out of votes in Allegheny

Not sure if anyone else is seeing this or my data is messed up, but pretty interesting nugget — seems like Clinton precincts are voting a little worse for Lamb than her, but turning out much more. R precincts going more for Saccone than Trump, but voting far less.

This is a story of turnout

Read 52 tweets

G. Elliott Morris📈🤷‍♂️

@gelliottmorris

TONIGHT is the much-hyped #pa18 race between @ConorLambPA and @Saccone4PA18. Who’s going to win? Predictions and results: [THREAD]

thecrosstab.com/2018/03/13/pa-…

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by @gelliottmorris view original on Twitter

Before 8PM rolls around, I want to cover what the data say to expect in this contest. This thread will start off running through my predictions, will cover how I’m projecting the race, and will turn into a live blog with graphics when the votes start to come in.

There are multiple ways to predict an election. Polls, geographic data, demographic data, etc are all useful. I’m going to run through what all these measurements could predict in #pa18. Spoiler: it’s a mixed bag for both Lamb and Saccone.

Read 28 tweets

Hurricane Watcher

@GodlessNZ

(11) Trump supporters near Mar-a-lago on Presidents Day weekend.

(12) The First Family boarding Air Force One before heading back to DC on Monday.

(13) Leaving Florida and arriving at Joint Base Andrews Monday night.

Read 31 tweets

Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #PA18

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Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #PA18

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