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[#HurricaneJulia remnants #extremeweather update - ongoing story.]
As expected #TSKarl #Invest93L is being torn apart wind shear over the gulf of Mexico and the Pacific (southern) part of this storm complex is moving rapidly away to the east.
As expected #TSKarl #Invest93L is being torn apart wind shear over the gulf of Mexico and the Pacific (southern) part of this storm complex is moving rapidly away to the east.
The diurnal (night and day) solar energy cycle is playing a big part here so we will need to see what happens whe the sun comes up - a fight back is possible.
However model guidance is consistent that TS #Karl will be blown apart by shear and high pressure moving south.
However model guidance is consistent that TS #Karl will be blown apart by shear and high pressure moving south.
This morning's latest GFS PWAT run shows how this is expected to unfold.
[Ongoing coverage #HurricaneJulia Event #ExtremeWeather #ClimateChangeNow]
At sunrise the remnants of #HurricaneJulia now #Invest93L are developing extremely rapidly over the South Western Gulf of Mexico.
At sunrise the remnants of #HurricaneJulia now #Invest93L are developing extremely rapidly over the South Western Gulf of Mexico.
And the southern #Invest93L remnants of #HurricaneJulia are also developing very rapidly.
Moreover, because of their proximity and positioning the southern storm's outflows are feeding #Invest93L North, which help may explain its spectacular burst of convection on daybreak.
The collision of a Hurricane of the scale of #HurricaneJulia and Tehuantepecer [en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tehuantep…] wind gap is not something you see everyday, setting the scene phase 2 of the #ExtremeWeather event over Central America. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tehuantep….
As you can see in the animation above it as if the storm has been blown up. But in fact it has been split in two - and there are now two components to watch. Potential Hurricane's on both side of the Central American Isthmus.
Left: Eastern Pacific Zone
Right: Atlantic Zone
Left: Eastern Pacific Zone
Right: Atlantic Zone
Here's the first 200 hours of previous run of the GFS model. And at the begin you can see the wind gap event as #HurricaneJulia's Western side came over the Yucutan peninsula pushing a high velocity mass of wet air through the gap.
