Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Confidence

@PnictogenHorses

the propaganda from the @elonmusk / @mtaibbi / @ShellenbergerMD #fascist circle is insidious because it's seasoned with just enough truth to be plausible.

their narrative about corrupt government involvement with corporate rule *starts* from a place of truth, but...

(cont'd)

...the @GOP is NOT less corrupt than @TheDemocrats in this regard; Republican fascism and corporate corruption go hand in hand. the first openly fascistic GOP presidency, @RonaldReagan's, was marked by scandals and crooked deals with lobbyists:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reagan_ad…

(cont'd)

in a sense, the @elonmusk / @mtaibbi gang are weaponizing their own crimes—Matt Taibbi has gotten as far as he's gotten because he himself is nurtured by "Deep State" connections. that is to say, he's being propped up from behind, by Republican crooks in government.

(cont'd)

Read 13 tweets

Pnictogen Horses

@PnictogenHorses

#imagination!

imagination is life. imagination is central to thought.

it's also vital to the _tokusatsu_ show "Ressha Sentai ToQger", vide infra. "ToQger" is a favorite of ours—the heroes' greatest strength is their imagination, which their enemies hope to snuff out.

(cont'd)

in Western society, only a few persons are allowed to have #imagination. it's true. imagination, in most persons in "the West", is punished.

consider the @elonmusk / @mtaibbi cult: the reason that Elon Musk is so adored is that he's allowed to have a free imagination.

(cont'd)

there's nothing very much *original* about @elonmusk's imagination, which has an antique quality about it. it's not merely a question of advancing years, although Musk (despite his babyish personality) is getting old. Akira Kurosawa was imaginative till the day he died.

(cont'd)

Read 25 tweets

Kris Dreemurr of the Pnictogen Wing (at Large)

@KrisAtLarge

we weren't *great* students in college. we maybe got as many Fs as As, if not more. we failed out of @Caltech completely! still we struggled and pushed our way towards our degrees. here's two of them.

as a result, we've seen a lot of people like @NateSilver538. *fakers*.

(1/x)

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1632072470344638465

while we were at @SDSU especially, which was a very big and crowded school full of people studying every conceivable subject, it was impossible not to run into people like @NateSilver538, @mattyglesias, @mtaibbi, &c.—people who thought that "higher learning" was a crock.

(2/x)

likely they were there mostly out of a sense of family obligation: their parents had money and power over them and pushed them to get a degree chiefly because college degrees are vital to social status in "the West". #capitalism may hate education but it loves *degrees*.

(3/x)

Read 14 tweets

eliasfoxxie.eth 💎

@EliasFoxxie

1/7
@ryskfinance is a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform that offers uncorrelated, competitive yields in all market conditions through its innovative financial engineering solutions. #RyskFinance #DeFi #crypto #blockchain #Staking

2/7
The platform leverages the power of its Dynamic Hedging Vault (DHV), a self-governing #options vault, to generate delta-neutral #yield for its liquidity providers.

3/7
With its clear #transparency on the risks involved, @ryskfinance enables its users to access high yields with #confidence and clear boundaries, how much you can lose and how much you can earn.

Read 7 tweets

Pnictogen Horses

@PnictogenHorses

@WholeMarsBlog now...this sort of thing is very interesting. it's speculative and futile, nonsensical even, but these little arithmetic calculations are one of the chief preoccupations of the grifter class—the #entrepreneur class, the #investor class, the #cryptocurrency gambler class.

~Mona

@WholeMarsBlog @WholeMarsBlog, @APompliano, @BillyM2k, and all the other grifting rag-tag who are wont to dangle after @elonmusk (or any other wealthy and famous person whom they perceive as blessed with #success) spend huge amounts of time with these napkin-scribblings that forecast *riches*.

@WholeMarsBlog @APompliano @BillyM2k @elonmusk @WholeMarsBlog starts out with a false assumption: @Tesla will be able to extract cash from literally every car driver in the country. this is their presumed #market, and it's deliberately chosen to be as broad as possible, so as to forecast even greater riches from extorting it.

Read 15 tweets

Dr. Rob Bell

@drrobbell

There are four (4) main sources of #confidence

Tweak and incorporate into your own team, preparation, and coaching..

Con’t

1) Past Performance-
#1 source.

I’ve done it before, so I can do it again…

1/4

2) Modeling /Vicarious Exp

He/She/it can do it… So can I.

2/4

Read 5 tweets

Graviola Finland

@GraviolaDOTfi

#Hursti's #Christmas party for the needy 2022 at the #Helsinki fair center on #ChristmasEve 24 December 2022. At 12.00.
The doors open at 11:00.
There will be traditional Christmas #food, a Christmas program, Christmas #carols and a Christian #message.
tunturisusi.com/joulumaa2/view…

You can participate in the activity by supporting #Hursti with a #donation
-The organization began its operations in the 1960s and was founded by social worker Veikko Hursti. #Laupeudentyö ry's operations are currently managed by Veikko's son Heikki Hursti
hurstinapu.fi

#Finland have been years under the #auspices of the #European Comittee of #SocialRights.
- It adopted reports concerning Finland in 2008, 2012, 2017 and 2018

https://twitter.com/GraviolaDOTfi/status/1261487962916892673

Read 26 tweets

Phil Booth

@EinsteinsAttic

Finally, the #GoldacreReview is published! (During Parliamentary Easter holidays, mid-ping-pong on the #HealthAndCareBill...)

It's 221 pages - each PDF page is a double page spread - so this could be a lo-o-o-ong [Thread].

Here goes...

https://twitter.com/bengoldacre/status/1512011686659575812

First point to note, in the Terms of Reference (p5), is that this is about "access to #NHSdata by #researchers, #commissioners, and #innovators" - i.e. #Planning and #CommercialReUse - so it is directly relevant to the operation of millions of people's #NationalDataOptOuts...

"185 wide-ranging recommendations for us to explore", says @sajidjavid (p6). Gulp! Time for some coffee...

"systems that ensure #underrepresented groups are well represented" may (partly) refer to this "landmark review", which got off to a slow start:

gov.uk/government/new…

Read 159 tweets

Enoch Ayodele O.

@EnochAyodele251

Currently reading The Five Seconds Rule by @melrobbins

I'll be dropping lessons learnt on here.

#melrobbins #5secondrules #Reading #readingcommunity

@TheOnechapterBC

1. No matter how bad your life can seem, you can always make it worse.

2. Knowing what you need to do isn't enough to create a change.

Read 76 tweets

Carolina Jiménez G.

@Okinfografia

Por petición popular, vamos a hablar de un efecto cinematográfico muy específico: el travelling compensado, zolly, efecto vértigo, retrozoom, o más conocido por el término en inglés, el #DollyZoom. ¿Qué es? ¿Cómo se consigue? ¿Cómo se utiliza? ¡Abrimos hilo!
#cinematografía #hilo

El "dolly zoom" combina efectivamente estos dos recursos básicos de cámara:
- el dolly, la traslación de la cámara hacia adelante o hacia atrás
- el zoom: el cambio de la longitud de la focal de la lente
#cinematografía #rodaje #DollyZoom #cine #MovimientosDeCámara

Es fácil entender que el "dolly shot" cambia el plano porque se acerca o aleja del sujeto. Se suele hacer poniendo la cámara sobre ruedas o railes, para que el movimiento sea suave.
#cinematografía #rodaje #cine #DollyShot

Read 6 tweets

Martin 💬

@MartinThePM

Today, at the 2021 review day with the @Zeppelin_Labs team, I shared a lightning talk on @shreyas high agency thread (twitter-learing at its maximum).

As a closing activity I asked each teammate to write on a low agency attitude we wanted to leave behind in 2021 and a high agency-related skill/attitude/task we would like to work on 2022.

Finally, each of us left their post it on the wall, and took someone else’s. We read aloud and teared down the low-agency related and took home the high-agency one as inspiration for 2022.

Read 5 tweets

Cory Morningstar

@elleprovocateur

May 2021 report by the #WEF, "How to Build #Trust in #Vaccines seeks to understand how these online conversations can influence our #beliefs around vaccines. [] in partnership w/ the Vaccine Confidence Project, researchers used #AI tools to analyse online discussions." #Biotech

"The report finds that above all, we need to encourage #language that breeds #trust. The researchers say, “trust in the individuals, #institutions & overall #system that together discover, develop & deliver vaccines is fundamental to vaccine confidence.

#4IR #Reset #Biotech

Foreword: "Low #vaccine #confidence has become a real challenge for governments..."

The #WEF & Vaccine Confidence Project partnered with NetBase Quid ["How can we help drive your business?"]

#Gates #4IR #Biotech #Bioengineering #EmergingMarkets

Read 12 tweets

Beautiful_Yet_Godly

@Beau_Yet_Godly

Sis, You Said No To Him Already, So Why Are You Still Monitoring His Life?

Why are you stalking him, really? Why are you checking his social media to see if he has the picture of another lady? You already said you weren’t interested, so why?

I’m talking to you my dear, why so bothered? Why do you still look out for him at events or gatherings? Oh, I get it, the Bible tells you to be your brother’s keeper, so you’re trying to do your part innit? Lmao!

I’m not done... why does your stomach knot when you see him talking to another lady? What’s the challenge? I mean, the young gentleman met you and spoke to you about his interest, you said no,

Read 14 tweets

Varun (he/him)

@MarketingDork

Been a while since I finished a book in one sitting but #ThinkAgain by @AdamMGrant was that good. A thread with some of my key takeaways:

#Confidence is a measure of how much you believe in yourself versus your methods. You can be confident in your ability to achieve a goal in the future while maintaining the humility to question whether you have the right tools in the present. That's the sweet spot of confidence.

We should strive to attain confident humility: having faith in our capability while appreciating that we may not have the right solution or even be addressing the right problem - giving us enough doubt to re-examine our old knowledge and enough confidence to pursue new insights.

Read 11 tweets

Lance Roberts

@LanceRoberts

The @NFIB #survey doesn't get much #media attention, but it should. Small businesses make up almost 70% of #employment and their #confidence tells us much about the #economy and #smallcap stocks.
realinvestmentadvice.com/nfib-survey-se…

In December, the #NFIB survey declined to 95.9 from a peak of 108.8. Notably, many suggest the drop was “#politically driven” by #conservative owners. While there was indeed a drop following the election, the decline continues what started in 2018.
realinvestmentadvice.com/nfib-survey-se…

Hopes for a #strong #economic recovery may be premature. While #stimulus will give a short-term lift to the economy, once it is spent, growth fades. Businesses won't #invest into artificial supports.
realinvestmentadvice.com/nfib-survey-se…

Read 8 tweets

Julian Jessop

@julianHjessop

📢 thread: 12 reasons to be cheerful about the UK #economy in 2021🎄

I know 2021 will be another tough year for many people and businesses, but I’m aiming here to provide some counterbalance to the more negative commentary you can easily find elsewhere...

1. The household sector (in aggregate) has built up substantial #savings during the pandemic that could be used to fuel a strong recovery in #consumer spending. Obviously, the distribution is uneven and much still depends on confidence. But…

2. Consumer ##confidence jumped by the most in eight years in December on the good news on the #vaccine. Even in November, households were the least pessimistic about #job security since March, despite the grim headlines...

Read 14 tweets

Gareth Harney

@OptimoPrincipi

1/4) In 75 BC, a band of pirates captured a young Roman nobleman who was on his way to study in Rhodes. From the start the 25-year-old Julius Caesar refused to behave like a captive. When the pirates told him that they had set his ransom at the sum of 20 talents of silver...

2/4) ..he laughed at them for not knowing who it was they had captured and demanded they raise his ransom to 50 talents! Settling in to wait for the ransom to arrive, Caesar bossed the pirates around, made them listen to his speeches and shushed them whenever he wanted to sleep..

3/4) ..always addressing the pirates as if he were their commander and they were his subordinates. In the 38 days it took for the ransom to arrive, Caesar would often tell his captors that after his release he would return and crucify them all - at which they would merely laugh..

Read 5 tweets

Kamiar Mohaddes

@KamiarMohaddes

In a recent paper, with Alexander Chudik @DallasFed, M Hashem Pesaran @USCDornsife, @mraissi80 @IMFNews & @arebucci1 @JHUCarey, we develop a threshold-augmented dynamic multi-country model (#TGVAR) to quantify the #macroeconomic effects of #Covid19: econ.cam.ac.uk/research/cwpe-… 1/n

Key challenges with the empirical #economic analysis of #Covid19 include the following: how to identify the shock, how to account for its non-linear effects, & how to quantify its effects while accounting for spillovers, common global factors, network effects and uncertainty. 2/n

We contribute to the literature by addressing these issues in a coherent multi-country framework. We offer an identification strategy for the #Covid19 shock considering that a synthetic control method cannot be applied in the context of a global #pandemic. 3/n

Read 23 tweets

moeti damane

@iamSANhedrin

Lets talk about the macroeconomic impact of #COVID19 in the short-medium term. The pandemic continues to have broad based devastating effects, crippling global economic activity. Fiscal & monetary policy is loose, to "ease" the virus' blow. What of a #Vaccine? Will you take It?

The global economic recovery hinges on the flattening both the #COVID19 infection curve and the economic recession curve. Negative output gaps imply activity below potential. The expectation, is for a vaccine to help towards herd immunity, thus flattening the infection curve...

It is expected that if a #Vaccine is made widely available & the uptake significant, economic activity will pick up & supply chains resuscitated. This will help flatten the recession curve. Ergo, all appears to rest on the production of a vaccine. But again, will you take it?

Read 7 tweets

moeti damane

@iamSANhedrin

Lets talk about #Oil and why the price of the #US benchmark #WTI West Texas Intermediate has turned negative FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER...

Some of you are waking up to what might read or sound like another disaster. Just when you were learning how to deal with #COVID19, you hear about a so called plunge in the #Price of #Oil. But what does it mean to have oil in negative territory & why is that the case? Lets see...

In the main we will talk a bit about simple matters of #supply & #demand while touching on the #future as far as #consumer outlooks & #perception / #confidence are concerned. I would like us to start in 2016, a quick recap...what happened to #Oil?

Read 20 tweets

Lance Roberts

@LanceRoberts

"Despite a few notable hiccups along the way, the bull market continues to prove insanely resilient.” @slangwise
What if? We explore what a 10-60% correction would do to investors and their #retirement. While this #TimeIsNotDifferent, you are.
realinvestmentadvice.com/market-downtur…

@slangwise Looking at potential retracement levels, to the lows of 2018, or the highs of 2015-2016 would not be out of the ordinary. A mean reversion event would be the lows of 2016 to the highs of 2008.
realinvestmentadvice.com/market-downtur…

@slangwise A problem with #market #corrections always overlooked by #mainstream #analysis.
If you need 6% per year to reach your goals, and suffer a 20% correction, it doesn't require JUST 25% to get back to even. You have to ALSO make up the 6%/year lost as well.
realinvestmentadvice.com/market-downtur…

Read 8 tweets

Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Confidence

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Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Confidence

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