Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #SinoPak
Most recents (5)
Prof Muni forgets😰, we have been trying to settle the border for decades (it's seen as sign of weakness to be exploited). A settlement of Western & Northern borders would automatically safeguard the CPEC. Chinese objectives is hegemony not settlement: indianexpress.com/article/opinio…
2/ns #CCP #China will settle the border with India and order Pakistan to settle, once we achieve (credible, hard) #deterrence vis the #SinoPak alliance. In the mean time, it's building military counter force on northern border and helping Pakistan build its air & naval forces.
There are two types of foreign policy experts (1) Believe there is a #SinoPak alliance against India (whose seeds go back to mid-1960s secret nuclear agreement) (2) Those who think China-Pak relations are mainly about mutual economic benefit. Only the latter are surprised at 👇🏼
2/ccp #CCP11 is a military threat: https://t.co/tJ4cPEWIis
3/ccp #CCP11 https://t.co/gtYHcLVme7
Surely every serious national security strategist understands the distinction btwn Govts Geopolitical decisions and th military's detailed scenario planning & action program. A govt can decided on basis of expected value of outcome or worst case scenarios-the latter is paralyzing
2/ns The critical issue in China-India conflict is that,as of now (2020), #China controls the #escalatory ladder. So India's #National #Security Apparatus has to make assumptions about when and how #CCPpla will escalate, if it loses the first few steps on its escalatory ladder!
3/ns The worst case scenario for us is therefore the one in which after loosing previous escalations, #CCP China escalates to a full fledged war/attack on India, by shifting US-facing troops and highest quality equipment towards India. This has proved paralyzing for past Govts!🤔
Have no illusions the 50 year old #SinoPak Cold war against India has gone hot over the past 5 years. It will keep getting hotter:
2/ #SinoPak alliance for unconventional war against India, builds on earlier alliance for supporting each other's conventional capabilities(of which Gwadar & CPEC are 2 visible aspects) and transfer of nuclear capabilities ( docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid… )
3/ This is just a small part of the pay-off: https://t.co/gqvVv9mFtt
