Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #MiddleEastRainEvent
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January 15th update on @Arab_Storms video tweets of the impacts of the current #MiddleEastRainEvent.
The first thread linked above covers Jan 10th-13th. Ending with shocking imagery of flooding in Iraq. This one picks up from where that one left off.
13th Jan Continued...
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13th Jan Continued...
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#MiddleEastRainEvent update 15th Jan (2pm AST)
The last 24 hours of #ArabianStorms over the Arabian Peninsula, the storm area has changed trajectory and is moving south east along the Gulf coast.
The last 24 hours of #ArabianStorms over the Arabian Peninsula, the storm area has changed trajectory and is moving south east along the Gulf coast.
Here's closeup of the overnight storm activity over Saudi and the Gulf, again 24 hours.
For a scale comparison here is a measurement of the area of storm activity close to its peak, 115k km2. 
#MiddleEastRainEvent update 14th Jan
The last 24 hours of #ArabianStorms over the Arabian Peninsula, which looks very similar to the event from 1st to 3rd January.
The last 24 hours of #ArabianStorms over the Arabian Peninsula, which looks very similar to the event from 1st to 3rd January.
Corresponding satellite based estimated precipitation data over the same period.
/ENDS
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#MiddleEastRainEvent Update
Forecasts for the next phase in the ME Rain Event currently underway have changed considerably due in large part to the Storms in the Eastern Mediterranean not behaving as initially expected.
Here we see this morning's storm activity over Iraq.
Forecasts for the next phase in the ME Rain Event currently underway have changed considerably due in large part to the Storms in the Eastern Mediterranean not behaving as initially expected.
Here we see this morning's storm activity over Iraq.
Originally the storm over near the middle of this animation was forecast to move south over the North African coast and dissipate. How this storm evolved was always the key uncertainty in this event, and the revision in its path has significantly altered the impact of the event.
Specifically:
- Rainfall forecast over the Levant has increased
- Rainfall in the major (formerly dangerous) event over central Saudi has moderated.
- The event has slowed down - Forecast to end now on 22nd Jan rather than the 19th.
- Rainfall forecast over the Levant has increased
- Rainfall in the major (formerly dangerous) event over central Saudi has moderated.
- The event has slowed down - Forecast to end now on 22nd Jan rather than the 19th.
