Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Henderson
Most recents (12)
The #PremierLeague is back!
How has your team’s GK performed?
#Pickford’s class shot stopping & distribution puts him top 🏴
#Pope, #Henderson, & #Leno have had great starts at their new clubs🧤
Big mistakes have cost #DeGea & #Ramsdale 😱
#Ward has struggled in all areas 😞
How has your team’s GK performed?
#Pickford’s class shot stopping & distribution puts him top 🏴
#Pope, #Henderson, & #Leno have had great starts at their new clubs🧤
Big mistakes have cost #DeGea & #Ramsdale 😱
#Ward has struggled in all areas 😞
The GK xG model shown above looks at every shot faced, pass received, cross faced & through ball faced & calculates the probability of a goal occurring for & against the GK’s team before the event & after the event occurs!
Thus it measures & evaluates every action a GKs makes!
Thus it measures & evaluates every action a GKs makes!
This allows all GKs to be given a single number measured in goals called
“Total Value in Goals”
Which describes the GK’s value to their side vs having a league average GK & takes into account everything they do meaning GKs of vastly different styles can be fairly compared!
“Total Value in Goals”
Which describes the GK’s value to their side vs having a league average GK & takes into account everything they do meaning GKs of vastly different styles can be fairly compared!
What a save from #DeGea
Unbelievably calm GKing in a crucial moment
It may look like a simple save but that’s all because of his exemplary decision to use the wait & react 1v1 strategy as the 1v1 was from long range!
Not many GKs could make such a good decision
#MUFC #MUNFUL
Unbelievably calm GKing in a crucial moment
It may look like a simple save but that’s all because of his exemplary decision to use the wait & react 1v1 strategy as the 1v1 was from long range!
Not many GKs could make such a good decision
#MUFC #MUNFUL
The striker was ~16 yrds from the centre of goal & at a pretty wide angle (hard to see from the photo) so #DeGea’s decision to stay deep made the finish very difficult as he didn’t rush out & gift a simple dink/rounded finish
The great thing about #DeGea’s positioning here is that if the striker takes a touch rather than shooting he’s far enough off his line & prepared & ready to engage then, only once he knows the striker is so close to goal that he can no longer trust his reactions to make the save!
#PremierLeague Shotstopping Performance Graphic:
#Ederson #Areola #Martinez & #Sanchez have been class 🔥
#Henderson has outperformed #DeGea when it comes to shotstopping 🔄
Despite criticism #Ramsdale #Pickford & #Guaita have performed at a roughly average top flight level 👀
#Ederson #Areola #Martinez & #Sanchez have been class 🔥
#Henderson has outperformed #DeGea when it comes to shotstopping 🔄
Despite criticism #Ramsdale #Pickford & #Guaita have performed at a roughly average top flight level 👀
Explanation of ExSaves:
ExSaves are calculated by looking at every shot a GK faces & using the shots distance, angle, trajectory, final location, the number of defenders in the way + other things & using historical data to find the probability that an avg PL GK makes the save...
ExSaves are calculated by looking at every shot a GK faces & using the shots distance, angle, trajectory, final location, the number of defenders in the way + other things & using historical data to find the probability that an avg PL GK makes the save...
...Therefore as a rough example a shot from 40yrds at a tight angle that goes down the middle of goal with all the teams defenders behind the ball may have an ExSave of 99% whereas a central 1v1 from 10yrds fired into the bottom corner may have an ExSave of 10%.
#DeGea’s penalty record hasn’t been good recently & while the sample size is too small to conclude he’s bad at them his technique does seem flawed.
Preshot he pulls his foot inward in the opposite direction to his dive meaning he will always struggle to reach the corner!
#UEL
Preshot he pulls his foot inward in the opposite direction to his dive meaning he will always struggle to reach the corner!
#UEL
This “negative step” means his footwork actually moves him further from the corner he wants to dive to rather than closer to it!
Therefore using this technique he will always at struggle to get across to penalties which are right in the corner even if he goes the correct way!
Therefore using this technique he will always at struggle to get across to penalties which are right in the corner even if he goes the correct way!
Ironically #Henderson’s is one of the best GKs I’ve seen at using a strong “positive” step when facing PKs
Look at the ground he makes up preshot!
This means he can dive all the way to the corner & thus if he goes the right way he has a great chance of saving it!
#UEL
Look at the ground he makes up preshot!
This means he can dive all the way to the corner & thus if he goes the right way he has a great chance of saving it!
#UEL
THREAD:
#Henderson’s shot prevention has been class in his first 8 #PremierLeague games & its played a big part in #ManchesterUnited’s success!
He is preventing 3.07 chances occurring per game corresponding to ~0.44 ExG per game!
That’s double #DeGea’s ExG prevented per game!
#Henderson’s shot prevention has been class in his first 8 #PremierLeague games & its played a big part in #ManchesterUnited’s success!
He is preventing 3.07 chances occurring per game corresponding to ~0.44 ExG per game!
That’s double #DeGea’s ExG prevented per game!
Here I will compare #Henderson’s cross claiming & sweeping (the two branches of shot prevention) so far this year to #DeGea’s & discuss how this has affected #ManchesterUnited’s defence.
I will use my shot prevention model as sadly mainstream models miss many important actions!
I will use my shot prevention model as sadly mainstream models miss many important actions!
Sweeping:
#Henderson’s sweeping has been highlighted after his tidy display vs #THFC & it wasn’t a one off!
So far this year for #ManchesterUnited he has prevented 11 opposition chances occurring by sweeping which corresponds to preventing 0.15 ExG/90 (#PL avg is 0.10 ExG/90)
#Henderson’s sweeping has been highlighted after his tidy display vs #THFC & it wasn’t a one off!
So far this year for #ManchesterUnited he has prevented 11 opposition chances occurring by sweeping which corresponds to preventing 0.15 ExG/90 (#PL avg is 0.10 ExG/90)
Here’s a nice example of neutral set positions making saves easier
I’ve already discussed #Henderson’s propensity to set quite low this season & here even though he’s taller than #Pickford he tips an almost identical shot into the roof of the net while #Pickford catches it
#ENG
I’ve already discussed #Henderson’s propensity to set quite low this season & here even though he’s taller than #Pickford he tips an almost identical shot into the roof of the net while #Pickford catches it
#ENG
Another key detail from this clip is how #Pickford moves back to his line while #Henderson moves forwards.
This tiny difference in distance thus reaction time can impact on a GKs ability to make the save as it can be the difference between getting 2 hands to the ball & 1 hand.
This tiny difference in distance thus reaction time can impact on a GKs ability to make the save as it can be the difference between getting 2 hands to the ball & 1 hand.
In this clip #Pickford & #Henderson also make lots of saves with their feet when the service is lower & #Henderson actually struggles with these too as his lower set position means he needs to get his hands out of the way so it doesn’t even give him an advantage for low shots
#Henderson’s cross claiming has been exceptional in his first 5 #PremierLeague appearances
#Henderson boasts a 100% claim success rate while being twice as active the average #PL GK!
His claiming is preventing #ManchesterUnited conceding chances worth ~0.4 ExG per game!
#MUFC
#Henderson boasts a 100% claim success rate while being twice as active the average #PL GK!
His claiming is preventing #ManchesterUnited conceding chances worth ~0.4 ExG per game!
#MUFC
For comparison, #DeGea cross claiming numbers this year are:
Chances Prevented = 0.81
(Only 41% of DH)
ExG Prevented = 0.15
(Only 35% of DH)
Average Claim Distance = 4.5yrd (Only 78% of DH)
Claim Success = 95%
(95% of DH)
Catch Fraction = 58%
(104% of DH)
#ManchesterUnited
Chances Prevented = 0.81
(Only 41% of DH)
ExG Prevented = 0.15
(Only 35% of DH)
Average Claim Distance = 4.5yrd (Only 78% of DH)
Claim Success = 95%
(95% of DH)
Catch Fraction = 58%
(104% of DH)
#ManchesterUnited
For more information on the metrics I quote in the graphics above please see this thread, it explains how I calculate which cross claims prevent chances & which don’t & how I assign ExG values to each claim & why it’s important to look deeper than “total high balls claimed”!
1. @WhiteHouse press (@whca) should keep an eye out Thursday. It's day five from #Henderson #SuperSpreaderEvent. Nobody asked @PressSec if the staffer was on the trip but I would expect Thursday will be when symptoms start to appear. Of course they could be infectious earlier per
2. the WHO that reported people with #COVID19 “generally develop signs and symptoms, including mild respiratory symptoms and fever, on an average of 5-6 days after infection (mean incubation period 5-6 days, range 1-14 days).
3. However, one study that investigated patients in Wuhan, China, found that “the median incubation period was 4 days."
So that one staffer if on the trip and in the hot zone, is likely tracking Wuhan. #HerdMentality. @MSNBC @maddow @Lawrence
So that one staffer if on the trip and in the hot zone, is likely tracking Wuhan. #HerdMentality. @MSNBC @maddow @Lawrence
THREAD:
Over the past year has Dean #Henderson staked a realistic claim to be #ManchesterUnited’s number 1 #Goalkeeper ahead of David #DeGea?
I will mainly investigate an area of GKing that receives little statistical analysis:
Cross Claiming & Sweeping
#MUFC #GKUnion
Over the past year has Dean #Henderson staked a realistic claim to be #ManchesterUnited’s number 1 #Goalkeeper ahead of David #DeGea?
I will mainly investigate an area of GKing that receives little statistical analysis:
Cross Claiming & Sweeping
#MUFC #GKUnion
Firstly before that, I think it is well known that #Henderson had an outstanding shot stopping season while #DeGea didn’t.
Here are the numbers:
#Henderson Save%-ExSave +5.88%
#DeGea Save%-ExSave% +0.78%
2 important conclusions should be drawn from these numbers...
#MUFC
Here are the numbers:
#Henderson Save%-ExSave +5.88%
#DeGea Save%-ExSave% +0.78%
2 important conclusions should be drawn from these numbers...
#MUFC
1. #DeGea did not have a below avg season, yes he make shot stopping mistakes but he made enough worldy saves to out weigh the mistakes.
2. #DeGea has only once (17/18) had a better shot stopping season in his career (according to PSExG) than #Henderson had this year.
#MUFC
2. #DeGea has only once (17/18) had a better shot stopping season in his career (according to PSExG) than #Henderson had this year.
#MUFC
🧤 Decent piece by @JKFootb4ll & @BTLvid, but there are a few comments I want to make. #MUFC #PremierLeague
[Long thread]
[Long thread]
-What often gets lost in the debate between David #DeGea & Dean #Henderson is the fact that the latter only has one full season of first division playing experience under his belt.
Of course, it was a fantastic season - an argument could be made that #Henderson is this #PremierLeague season's top goalkeeper. But nonetheless, it's still one season, and there's no guarantee that these performances will carry over to #MUFC.
THREAD:
Dean #Henderson vs David #DeGea
#PremierLeague Shotstopping 19/20
As requested I will compare the shot stopping performances of the two potential #ManchesterUnited number 1’s.
There will be statistics & 1v1 plots!
🧤⚽️👑
#MUFC #GKAnalysis #GKUnion
Dean #Henderson vs David #DeGea
#PremierLeague Shotstopping 19/20
As requested I will compare the shot stopping performances of the two potential #ManchesterUnited number 1’s.
There will be statistics & 1v1 plots!
🧤⚽️👑
#MUFC #GKAnalysis #GKUnion
Firstly let’s look at post shot expected goals conceded.
@StatsBomb’s PSExG model takes the position of the shot, the position of the defenders, the speed of the shot & the placement of the shot into account in order to calculate whether an Avg GK would save it.
@StatsBomb’s PSExG model takes the position of the shot, the position of the defenders, the speed of the shot & the placement of the shot into account in order to calculate whether an Avg GK would save it.
Using this model #DeGea has played almost exactly to the level of an average #PremierLeague goalkeeper & has conceded -0.2 goals more than expected.
#Henderson on the other hand has saved #SheffieldUnited +6.5 more goals than an avg GK would be expected to!
#Henderson on the other hand has saved #SheffieldUnited +6.5 more goals than an avg GK would be expected to!
You think the rain will deter people from from waiting at @BestBuy for #BlackFriday deals? Think again!
We’re over at the store near Galleria Mall in #Henderson. @8NewsNow #8NN
We’re over at the store near Galleria Mall in #Henderson. @8NewsNow #8NN
We just spoke with Bella, who’s the very first person in line. She said she’s here to buy a 58” TV for $199.
Her family brought her #Thanksgiving dinner, which she says she ate in the car. @8NewsNow #8NN
Her family brought her #Thanksgiving dinner, which she says she ate in the car. @8NewsNow #8NN
