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Grab a cup of coffee☕️
Today, we’ll learn one of the simplest valuation models for a publicly traded stock which can also blend in with your financial goals.
I’m talking about the Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
A detailed thread 🧵with HCL Tech as example & bonus giveaway
(1/n)
Today, we’ll learn one of the simplest valuation models for a publicly traded stock which can also blend in with your financial goals.
I’m talking about the Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
A detailed thread 🧵with HCL Tech as example & bonus giveaway
(1/n)
The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) calculates the fair value of a stock based upon the sum of all future dividends discounted to their present value
Stock Price = D/(r-g)
D = est. next year dividend
r = cost of equity capital
g = growth rate of dividends, in perpetuity
(2/n)
Stock Price = D/(r-g)
D = est. next year dividend
r = cost of equity capital
g = growth rate of dividends, in perpetuity
(2/n)
How to simplify the DDM Formula?
“D” – You can use latest FY dividend vs est. of next yr
“r” – You can use 10yr G-sec yield as cost of equity capital or refer to next tweet
• AAA Rated Cos - G-Sec
• AA - G-Sec +1-2%
• A & below - G-Sec + 3-5%
(3/n)
“D” – You can use latest FY dividend vs est. of next yr
“r” – You can use 10yr G-sec yield as cost of equity capital or refer to next tweet
• AAA Rated Cos - G-Sec
• AA - G-Sec +1-2%
• A & below - G-Sec + 3-5%
(3/n)
📊MAJOR IT STOCKS AND HIGH LEVEL DETAILS
A Thread 🧵
A Thread 🧵
📊TATA CONSULTANCY (#TCS)
💥Fundamentals: very good
💥Valuation: Expensive
💥Q1 FY23 result:
🏷Net Sales up 4.28% QoQ, Up 16.18% YoY
🏷Net profit down 4.51% QoQ, Up 5.22% YoY
💥Attrition Rate: 19.7%
💥Technicals: Slightly Bearish.
💥Below 50 day, 200 day moving average
💥Fundamentals: very good
💥Valuation: Expensive
💥Q1 FY23 result:
🏷Net Sales up 4.28% QoQ, Up 16.18% YoY
🏷Net profit down 4.51% QoQ, Up 5.22% YoY
💥Attrition Rate: 19.7%
💥Technicals: Slightly Bearish.
💥Below 50 day, 200 day moving average
📊INFOSYS LTD (#INFOSYS)
💥Fundamentals: very good
💥Valuation: Expensive
💥Q1 FY23 result:
🏷Net Sales up 6.8% QoQ, Up 23.57% YoY
🏷Net profit down 5.73% QoQ, Up 3.18% YoY
💥Attrition Rate: 28.4%
💥Technicals: Slightly Bearish.
💥Below 50 day, 200 day moving average
💥Fundamentals: very good
💥Valuation: Expensive
💥Q1 FY23 result:
🏷Net Sales up 6.8% QoQ, Up 23.57% YoY
🏷Net profit down 5.73% QoQ, Up 3.18% YoY
💥Attrition Rate: 28.4%
💥Technicals: Slightly Bearish.
💥Below 50 day, 200 day moving average
Best Buying Levels for all #Nifty50 #Stocks as per Demand Zone:
1️⃣ #ADANIPORTS: ₹562
2️⃣ #ASIANPAINT: ₹2,552
3️⃣ #AXISBANK: ₹620
4️⃣ #BAJAJFINSV: ₹10,445
5️⃣ #BAJAJAUTO: ₹3,280
Save it for later ✅
Tags:
#StockMarket #NSE #Nifty #Trading #Investing #sharemarket
Thread🧵(1/11)
1️⃣ #ADANIPORTS: ₹562
2️⃣ #ASIANPAINT: ₹2,552
3️⃣ #AXISBANK: ₹620
4️⃣ #BAJAJFINSV: ₹10,445
5️⃣ #BAJAJAUTO: ₹3,280
Save it for later ✅
Tags:
#StockMarket #NSE #Nifty #Trading #Investing #sharemarket
Thread🧵(1/11)
Best Buying Levels for all #Nifty50 #Stocks as per Demand Zone:
6️⃣ #BAJFINANCE: ₹4,668
7️⃣ #BHARTIARTL: ₹552
8️⃣ #BPCL: ₹255
9️⃣ #BRITANNIA: ₹2,534
🔟 #CIPLA: ₹850
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Tags:
#StockMarket #NSE #Nifty #Trading #Investing #sharemarket #Trader #OI
Thread🧵(2/11)
6️⃣ #BAJFINANCE: ₹4,668
7️⃣ #BHARTIARTL: ₹552
8️⃣ #BPCL: ₹255
9️⃣ #BRITANNIA: ₹2,534
🔟 #CIPLA: ₹850
Save it for later ✅
Tags:
#StockMarket #NSE #Nifty #Trading #Investing #sharemarket #Trader #OI
Thread🧵(2/11)
Best Buying Levels for all #Nifty50 #Stocks as per Demand Zone:
1️⃣ #COALINDIA: ₹163
2️⃣ #DIVISLAB: ₹3,154
3️⃣ #DRREDDY: ₹3,365
4️⃣ #EICHERMOT: ₹2,431
5️⃣ #GRASIM: ₹1,221
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Tags:
#StockMarket #NSE #Nifty #Trading #Investing #sharemarket #BSE
Thread 🧵(3/11)
1️⃣ #COALINDIA: ₹163
2️⃣ #DIVISLAB: ₹3,154
3️⃣ #DRREDDY: ₹3,365
4️⃣ #EICHERMOT: ₹2,431
5️⃣ #GRASIM: ₹1,221
Save it for later ✅
Tags:
#StockMarket #NSE #Nifty #Trading #Investing #sharemarket #BSE
Thread 🧵(3/11)
A Thread on #VWAP - for #Intraday
With #Zerodha Charts that most of us use.
Kindly RT if you like it. 🙏
@kuttrapali26 @Mitesh_Engr @vivbajaj @caniravkaria @nakulvibhor @ST_PYI @PRSundar64
With #Zerodha Charts that most of us use.
Kindly RT if you like it. 🙏
@kuttrapali26 @Mitesh_Engr @vivbajaj @caniravkaria @nakulvibhor @ST_PYI @PRSundar64
VWAP - One of the most trusted indicator is volume-weighted average price (VWAP). Simply average the price and volume and indicate a price point of the trading of day. Works in #intraday Only.
How to use #vwap -
First 15 minutes - #ASIANPAINT on a 5 min TF explained in pic below
- Entry based on #VWAP in morning gives max gains.
- In a bull chart it won't touch VWAP again in day.
First 15 minutes - #ASIANPAINT on a 5 min TF explained in pic below
- Entry based on #VWAP in morning gives max gains.
- In a bull chart it won't touch VWAP again in day.
How you can filter stocks for Intraday trades - 🧵
As a kid, we would do homework before school the next day - you have to do homework here too. A specific sector performs on a particular day and studying things a day before will help you spot that particular sector. (1/11)
As a kid, we would do homework before school the next day - you have to do homework here too. A specific sector performs on a particular day and studying things a day before will help you spot that particular sector. (1/11)
To prepare for the next trading day, you got to check the Index charts of all sectors. You got to keep an eye on a specific Index if you see a few factors:
- If any Index closed exactly at the resistance, you can get a trade on either side on the next day. (2/11)
- If any Index closed exactly at the resistance, you can get a trade on either side on the next day. (2/11)
- If it gave a rejection candle at resistance.
- If any Index closed exactly at support, you can get a trade on either side the following day.
- If there was a bullish signal at the support.
- If any Index gave a breakout or breakdown and then gave a good closing. (3/11)
- If any Index closed exactly at support, you can get a trade on either side the following day.
- If there was a bullish signal at the support.
- If any Index gave a breakout or breakdown and then gave a good closing. (3/11)
Spread initiated at 2.60, now at 6. A loss of 3.40 per lot. Waiting with the spread, no adjustments as of now
#hcltech
#hcltech
Loss as of now is approx Rs.2300 per lot
If this loss crosses 10k, will sqoff the position and book losses. Else will wait.
1 new chart everyday, it could be from any space ~ equities / commodities / crypto / forex / bonds , etc
Will try to do it daily 🙏💪
Here's the first one 👇
SBI vs BankNifty
Ratio chart has given monthly breakout implying SBI could outperform BN in coming months.
#PB365
Will try to do it daily 🙏💪
Here's the first one 👇
SBI vs BankNifty
Ratio chart has given monthly breakout implying SBI could outperform BN in coming months.
#PB365
#Mastek Phenomenal runway for growth in N. America which is the real focus of mgt. Focusing on Healthcare & Lifesciences and Manufacturing & Retail Verticals. Capturing bigger customer. #Q4FY21Concall
2/ 2nd area of focus is competing with SAP and gaining more market share. Already closed 5 marquee customers who were using SAP as their legacy application. Will give opp. to significantly move in the UK & Europe region (stronghold of SAP).
3/ Focus to capture more "managed services" contracts on cloud applications as more and more customers keep migrating to Oracle cloud. While implementation may have been done by other Consulting firms. Compliments to the Mastek Evosys combination. Wants to🔼 this revenue by 10%.
Thread - HCL Technologies Ltd. concall Update (Not a buying recommendation)
Revenue expected to grow in double digits in constant currency for FY’22. EBIT margin expected to be between 19.0% and 21.0% for FY’22. Management has indicated that around 100 bps of margin impact in FY22 will be on account of investment in new geography.
The consensus EBIT margin expectation in FY22 21.2% as such will see some downgrade in earning or around 3-5%
Spate of Q4FY21 results showcase #Economy is on track
#ICICIBank reported Profit of Rs4402Cr,a 260% jump YoY,with NII up a solid 16.8% at 10431Cr
Tech companies have done well,with #TechMahindra reporting Dollar Revenue growth of 1.6% QoQ &Margins up 10bps at 16%
#Modinomics💪
#ICICIBank reported Profit of Rs4402Cr,a 260% jump YoY,with NII up a solid 16.8% at 10431Cr
Tech companies have done well,with #TechMahindra reporting Dollar Revenue growth of 1.6% QoQ &Margins up 10bps at 16%
#Modinomics💪
#HCLTech also reported good numbers with Dollar Revenue up 3% QoQ
IT&Business Services segment grew 4.4% QoQ
Even for #MarutiSuzuki,while Profit fell,it managed to have Gross Margins at 26%,Vs 27.5% QoQ
Margin above 25% despite challenges thrown by Pandemic,is good
#Modinomics
IT&Business Services segment grew 4.4% QoQ
Even for #MarutiSuzuki,while Profit fell,it managed to have Gross Margins at 26%,Vs 27.5% QoQ
Margin above 25% despite challenges thrown by Pandemic,is good
#Modinomics
In Banking space,besides great results by #HDFCBank& #ICICIBank, #AxisBank too reported good results, with Profit at Rs2677Cr,Vs loss of 1388Cr,YoY
While Gross&Net NPAs of Axis rose 15%&52% YoY,with Provisions down 28%,good news is NII is up 11% at Rs7555Cr
#Economy #Modinomics
While Gross&Net NPAs of Axis rose 15%&52% YoY,with Provisions down 28%,good news is NII is up 11% at Rs7555Cr
#Economy #Modinomics
Indian government wants its IT hardware industry to be as globally successful as #TCS, #HCLTech and #Infosys — announces PLI scheme worth ₹7,250 crore
#PLI_ITHardware
businessinsider.in/tech/enterpris…
By @pabsgill
#PLI_ITHardware
businessinsider.in/tech/enterpris…
By @pabsgill
@pabsgill The Indian government announced a new production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme for IT hardware today. It includes products like laptops, tablets, all-in-one personal computers (PCs) and servers.
#PLI_ITHardware
#PLI_ITHardware
@pabsgill “This completes the triangle of electronic manufacturing in India,” said Union Minister Ravi Shankar Prasad during today’s #UnionCabinet briefing.
#PLI_ITHardware
#PLI_ITHardware
@hcltech
#Q3marketupdates
Fy21 guidance
Revenue expected to grow QoQ betn 2-3% in constant currency for Q4fy21
Ebit exptd to grow betn 21-21.5% for fy21
Rev cross $10bn milestone in Cy20 ,delivering 3.6% yoy growth in constant currency, CY20 delivered Ebidta 26.6%,ebit 21.5%
#Q3marketupdates
Fy21 guidance
Revenue expected to grow QoQ betn 2-3% in constant currency for Q4fy21
Ebit exptd to grow betn 21-21.5% for fy21
Rev cross $10bn milestone in Cy20 ,delivering 3.6% yoy growth in constant currency, CY20 delivered Ebidta 26.6%,ebit 21.5%
#hcltech won 13 transformational deals across industry vertical including lifesciences,healthcare ,tech, financial services
Broad based growth driven by Mode 2 & products & platforms
Mode 2 prime driver of growth, up 25% yoy & 10.9% wow in CC,led by traction in cloud& digital
Broad based growth driven by Mode 2 & products & platforms
Mode 2 prime driver of growth, up 25% yoy & 10.9% wow in CC,led by traction in cloud& digital
Products & platforms clocked healthy 9.3% yoy growth in CC on strong new license sales & robust renewals
Ebidta at 28.2% expanded 355 bps yoy
Ebit 22.9% expanded 265 bps yoy,129 bps QoQ
Cy20 operating cash flow $2667 mn & FCF $2407 mn ,up 63.5 & 82.8% yoy
Ebidta at 28.2% expanded 355 bps yoy
Ebit 22.9% expanded 265 bps yoy,129 bps QoQ
Cy20 operating cash flow $2667 mn & FCF $2407 mn ,up 63.5 & 82.8% yoy
.@hcltech clocks in nearly 27% jump in profit, crosses the $10 billion revenue milestone with one more quarter left
businessinsider.in/business/corpo…
By @jainrounak
businessinsider.in/business/corpo…
By @jainrounak
@hcltech @jainrounak .@hcltech beat market expectations to report a nearly 27% increase in profit for the December quarter.
#hcltech
#hcltech
@hcltech @jainrounak The IT services giant also crossed the $10 billion revenue milestone for the year, which the company’s president termed as a ‘pivotal milestone’.
@hcltech #hcltech
@hcltech #hcltech
Weekly NIFTY50 analysis thread.
September Week4.
All posts are for educational purposes.
September Week4.
All posts are for educational purposes.
Will be posting TA of all #nifty50 stocks in this thread. Any comments, suggestions are welcome!
Stocks for 20/08/20 Intraday
#AXISBANK
#INDUSINDBK
#HDFCBANK
#BANDHANBNK
#TATASTEEL
#JSWSTEEL
#IBULHSGFIN
#SUNPHARMA
#HCLTECH
#TATACONSUM
#M_M
#TITAN
Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
#AXISBANK
#INDUSINDBK
#HDFCBANK
#BANDHANBNK
#TATASTEEL
#JSWSTEEL
#IBULHSGFIN
#SUNPHARMA
#HCLTECH
#TATACONSUM
#M_M
#TITAN
Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
Results of the Day : 4/12 stocks gave tradeable moves
1/4 : #SUNPHARMA
As most of the trades happen on a Wide Gap Down days, Price went up and got rejected at previous session high and formed reversal signs
+1.2R profits booked
1/4 : #SUNPHARMA
As most of the trades happen on a Wide Gap Down days, Price went up and got rejected at previous session high and formed reversal signs
+1.2R profits booked
2/4 : #IGL
This stock stood out by breaking through previous session Resistance with Very high Volumes coming in.
Entry was after bullish confirming Long tail candles.
Exit was when the price showed a decrease in Momentum
+2.7R profits booked
This stock stood out by breaking through previous session Resistance with Very high Volumes coming in.
Entry was after bullish confirming Long tail candles.
Exit was when the price showed a decrease in Momentum
+2.7R profits booked
Stocks for 19/08/20 Intraday
#BHARTIARTL
#INFY
#SUNPHARMA
#TECHM
#M_M
#HCLTECH
#AUROPHARMA
#ADANIPORTS
#CADILAHC
#IGL
Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
#BHARTIARTL
#INFY
#SUNPHARMA
#TECHM
#M_M
#HCLTECH
#AUROPHARMA
#ADANIPORTS
#CADILAHC
#IGL
Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
Results of the Day : 6/10 Stocks gave tradeable moves
1/6 : #M_M
After a Gap up Start of Day, price was rejected at Resistance.
Exit : After a Bullish wick forming candle followed by Bullish candles, trade was closed.
+0.85R profits booked
1/6 : #M_M
After a Gap up Start of Day, price was rejected at Resistance.
Exit : After a Bullish wick forming candle followed by Bullish candles, trade was closed.
+0.85R profits booked
2/6 : #TECHM
Price tested previous Support and gave good move with Volumes. Trade initiated after Bullish confirmation
Exit : At the End of Day for +1.7R profits
Price tested previous Support and gave good move with Volumes. Trade initiated after Bullish confirmation
Exit : At the End of Day for +1.7R profits
Stocks for 11/08/20 Intraday
#AXISBANK
#HDFCBANK
#INDUSINDBK
#HINDPETRO
#WIPRO
#INFY
#HCLTECH
#SRTRANSFIN
#HINDUNILVR
Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
#AXISBANK
#HDFCBANK
#INDUSINDBK
#HINDPETRO
#WIPRO
#INFY
#HCLTECH
#SRTRANSFIN
#HINDUNILVR
Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
Results for the day,
2/9 stocks gave tradeable moves today.
1/2 : #HCLTECH
As posted earlier today, HCL gave a nice down move today. I got out early because of a mistake which I've shared in Tip #2 in pinned tweet.
2/9 stocks gave tradeable moves today.
1/2 : #HCLTECH
As posted earlier today, HCL gave a nice down move today. I got out early because of a mistake which I've shared in Tip #2 in pinned tweet.
Stocks for 10/08/20 Intraday
#HDFC
#ICICIBANK
#AXISBANK
#HDFCBANK
#KOTAKBANK
#RELIANCE
#HCLTECH
#JSWSTEEL
#TCS
#ESCORTS
Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
#HDFC
#ICICIBANK
#AXISBANK
#HDFCBANK
#KOTAKBANK
#RELIANCE
#HCLTECH
#JSWSTEEL
#TCS
#ESCORTS
Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
Results for the Day, 2/10 stocks gave tradeable moves today.
1/2 : #JSWSTEEL
2/2 : #ESCORTS
Before the charts, Happy Birthday, and Huge respect and regards to the most Humble and passionate trader @ST_PYI who gave direction to my Stock trading!
1/2 : #JSWSTEEL
2/2 : #ESCORTS
Before the charts, Happy Birthday, and Huge respect and regards to the most Humble and passionate trader @ST_PYI who gave direction to my Stock trading!
1/2 : #JSWSTEEL
After bouncing back and forth, price gave clear Bullish bias and gave a Long entry at 12:55. A/D ratio was mostly around 2:1 which supported Bullish bias.
+3R profits booked.
After bouncing back and forth, price gave clear Bullish bias and gave a Long entry at 12:55. A/D ratio was mostly around 2:1 which supported Bullish bias.
+3R profits booked.
