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Mona Sukkarieh

@MonaSukkarieh

2022 in #EastMed - The year’s main energy developments wrapped up in a thread 🧵

#Discoveries, #Borders, #Licensing, #Deals, #Infrastructure and more 👇

Discoveries:

🇨🇾 Zeus (op. ENI), 2-3 Tcf
🇨🇾 Cronos (ENI), 2.5 Tcf
🇪🇬 Narges (Chevron), est. 3.5 Tcf
🇪🇬 Meleiha (ENI), 8,500 BOED
🇮🇱 Athena (Energean), 0.4 Tcf
🇮🇱 Hermes (Energean), 0.2-0.5 Tcf
🇮🇱 Zeus (Energean), 0.47 Tcf

Maps: Mees, Energean

More discoveries may be announced soon. Ongoing exploration wells in:

🇮🇱 Hercules (Energean)
🇪🇬 Thuraya (ENI)

Read 28 tweets

Nimrod Goren

@GorenNimrod

#Energy cooperation can be part of improved #Israel-#Turkey ties, but it should take a more climate-friendly & regioanlly-inclusive shape compared to past attempts to export Israeli natural gas to Turkey. @GabiAMitchell & I spoke with @MenekseTK @arabnews arabnews.com/node/2018336/m…

https://twitter.com/MenekseTK/status/1489690182785904650

2. When #Israel & #Turkey reconciled in 2016, natural gas export from Israel to Turkey was presented as a major benefit for Israel. However, negotiations didn't yield results due to differences on prices, geopolitical hardships related to pipleline route & lack of mutual trust..

3. Since, #Israel consolidated its strategic ties with #Greece & #Cyprus, warmed ties with #Egypt and is cooperating with these & others via the #EMGF, in which #Turkey isn't a member. Israel isn't likely now to shift direction & seek export via Turkey at the expense of others...

Read 8 tweets

Zenonas Tziarras

@ZenonasTziarras

With #Turkey visiting #Egypt to normalize relations and an upcoming FM Summit between #Cyprus, #Greece, #Israel and #UAE on security and economy it seems that we have two parallel geopolitical dynamics shaping.

#thread

>>

A. Turkey is trying to disrupt the emergent block of cooperation in the #Eastmed (that includes extra-regional actors) and deny international power multipliers from #Greece and #Cyprus in particular. Plus it promotes a different regional status quo, including on maritime zones. >

B. In parallel, #Greece, #Cyprus, #Israel and #UAE are trying to set up a different mechanism that will not be restricted by the dynamics & monothematic character of #EMGF. [UAE are unable to enter EMGF due to Palestinian veto]. This will allow them to enhance cooperation in >>

Read 5 tweets

Nervana Mahmoud

@Nervana_1

#Breaking

In a huge blow to #Erdogan, Members of the #EastMed Gas Forum —which #Turkey is NOT a member, have just announced it will be a formal #Cairo-based organisation.

#Egypt
#Greece
#Cyprus
#Italy
#Israel
#Jordan
#Palestinian Authority

Arabic link to the news
#EastMed #Gas

https://twitter.com/SkyNewsArabia_B/status/1308329679263162369

Worth noting, #France attended today’s #EastMed gas forum meeting as an observer

Read 6 tweets

Zenonas Tziarras

@ZenonasTziarras

#THREAD #RANT on #Turkey foreign policy

Another article (not surprisingly on Al Jazeera) trying to convince us that #Ankara is the victim and Turkish foreign policy is on the defence. The approach is superficial at best and ignores a number of facts >>

aljazeera.com/indepth/opinio…

That Turkey unofficially abandoned regime change in #Syria is not the point: same author, in 2013 Hinnebusch & Tur book wrote "Turkey saw an opportunity to bring abt regime change in Damascus at Iran's expense...it was a matter of geopolitical competition between Ankara & Tehran"

Regime change was an unprecedented policy for Ankara to adopt & a revisionist one; by the author's admission, for the purpose of regional power. 4 interventions later it's inaccurate to say that "Turkey's ability to influence the course of the conflict was reduced to a minimum"

Read 12 tweets

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