Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #CovidAus
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On the face of it, it looks like not. However the January peak of 2,943 in hospital with COVID-19 used a different definition of "hospitalised with COVID" compared with the current wave 
Back in January, the definition of "hospitalised with COVID" was if the time between COVID symptoms and admission date was less than 28 days.
This changed on 3 Feb 2022 to be less than 14 days, resulting in less people counting as being hospitalised for COVID.
This changed on 3 Feb 2022 to be less than 14 days, resulting in less people counting as being hospitalised for COVID.
Our latest assessment of excess deaths in Australia. This covers excess deaths from all causes to 31 March, plus excess deaths from COVID-19 only until 30 June.
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#CovidAus #ExcessDeaths #ExcessMortality
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#CovidAus #ExcessDeaths #ExcessMortality
Total excess mortality for March 2022 estimated at 6% (+800 deaths).
Almost half of the excess is due to doctor-certified COVID-19 deaths. Other unspecified causes and coroner-referred deaths (which includes some COVID-19 deaths) also made a significant contribution.
Almost half of the excess is due to doctor-certified COVID-19 deaths. Other unspecified causes and coroner-referred deaths (which includes some COVID-19 deaths) also made a significant contribution.
With January at 19% excess mortality and February at 14%, this takes total excess mortality for the first quarter of 2022 to 13% (+5,100 deaths).
Only one week in 2022 has been close to predicted; all other weeks have been above the 97.5th percentile.
Only one week in 2022 has been close to predicted; all other weeks have been above the 97.5th percentile.
NSW Health has released it's weekly epi report, covering the period to 4 June.
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#covidAus #covidNSW
You can find the report here
health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/cov…
A thread/
#covidAus #covidNSW
You can find the report here
health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/cov…
Cases have fallen by 19% since last week, and this has been pretty much across the board for all age groups.
The data on numbers of people admitted to hospital or ICU has improved since two weeks ago, but there is still the backdating issue with Figure 1 (the latest week is revised upwards in the subsequent week's report).
The Actuaries Institute has released our latest estimates of excess deaths in Australia. Main analysis uses ABS data to end-Feb 22. Estimate of COVID-19 only excess mortality for March-May 22 also included.
#ExcessDeaths #CovidAus
@ActuariesInst @Actuarialeye
#ExcessDeaths #CovidAus
@ActuariesInst @Actuarialeye
Total excess mortality for the first two months of 2022 is estimated to be 15% (+4,000 deaths); 18% in January and 13% in February. Importantly, this is measured relative to expected mortality had there been no pandemic.
Over the two months, 10% of excess mortality is due due to COVID-19 alone (+2,500 deaths)
