Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #CA04

Most recents (11)

NEW: California's near-final draft map looks terrific for Dems. All 42 Dem incumbents (except retiring Rep. Alan Lowenthal (D), whose Long Beach seat is folded in w/ LA Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D)'s), get strong seats.

Meanwhile, *five* of 11 GOP seats get more vulnerable.
Biggest winners on this draft map:

#CA07 Bera (D) - Biden +14 to +18
#CA10 Harder (D) - Biden +3 to +11
#CA39 Kim (R) - Biden +10 to +2
#CA45 Porter (D) - Biden +11 (unchanged)
#CA50 Issa (R) - Trump +8 to +12
Biggest losers on this draft map:

#CA04 McClintock (R) - Trump +10 to +2
#CA21 Valadao (R) - Biden +11 to +13
#CA25 Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to +12
#CA42 Calvert (R) - Trump +7 to +1
#CA48 Steel (R) - Biden +2 to +6
Read 5 tweets
NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
Read 38 tweets
NEW: the first official draft map from California's commission is here, and it's both a major shakeup and a mixed bag for the parties. Early read: it could perform quite well for Rs in 2022, but offer longer-term upside for Dems. Read on... wedrawthelinesca.org/draft_maps ImageImage
First, the five biggest "losers" in this draft (which will change before 12/27):

#CA10 Harder (D) - Biden +3 to Trump +10
#CA22 Nunes (R) - Trump +5 to Biden +9
#CA40 Roybal-Allard (D) - seat eliminated
#CA48 Steel (R) - Biden +2 to +9
#CA50 Issa (R) - Trump +8 to Biden +1
Next, other "losers" who would be at heightened risk:

#CA04 McClintock (R) - Trump +10 to +5
#CA25 Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to +13
#CA42 Calvert (R) - Trump +7 to Tied
#CA45 Porter (D) - Biden +11 to +4
#CA49 Levin (D) - Biden +13 to +9
#CA53 Jacobs (D) - Biden +36 to +8
Read 5 tweets
First read: this "starting point" map for the CA commission is decent for Rs. It eliminates a Dem seat in LA County (as expected) and imperils Harder (D) in #CA10, while leaving all incumbent 11 Rs w/ a path to victory (though Nunes & esp. Issa would face much tougher races).
Notable shifts in this early "visualization" (North):

#CA01 LaMalfa (R) - Trump +15 to +6
#CA04 McClintock (R) - Trump +10 to +8
#CA07 Bera (D) - Biden +14 to +4
#CA10 Harder (D) - Biden +3 to Trump +1
#CA21 Valadao (R) - Biden +11 to +9
#CA22 Nunes (R) - Trump +5 to Biden +3
Notable shifts in this early "visualization" (South):

#CA25 Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to +12
#CA36 Ruiz (D) - Biden +14 to +8
#CA39 Kim (R) - Biden +10 to +8
#CA45 Porter (D) - Biden +11 to +15
#CA48 Steel (R) - Biden +2 to Trump +1
#CA50 Issa (R) - Trump +8 to Biden +6
Read 4 tweets
Now that Kern and Ventura Counties have posted their full results, some quick takeaways from California's House races.
#CA25
POTUS '16
Clinton 50.32%
Trump 43.65%

POTUS '20
Biden 53.95%
Trump 43.85%

CNG '18
Hill 54.37%
Knight 45.63%

CNG '20
Garcia 50.05%
Smith 49.95%
Interestingly, the conservative Ventura County portion of #CA25, which houses the Reagan Library, voted 49.4% /44.44% for Trump over Clinton in 2016, but narrowly went 48.93%/48.86% to Biden by 51 votes this year, while Mike Garcia carried it 54.23%/45.77%.
Read 13 tweets
ELECTION UPDATE:
Friends, last night we made history. You helped us shatter previous turnout records for #CA04! Right now, Tom McClintock has a small lead across the district, but we're leading in Placer County - home to almost half of all registered voters in our district. 1/5
There are still tens of thousands of votes being processed by our county elections offices & many thousands more are on the way. This race isn't over & we're going to make sure every vote is counted. 2/5
We have come further than anyone thought possible together because of an extraordinary team of volunteers, donors and supporters who sought a different politics—rooted in bringing people together, setting partisanship aside and putting our community first. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
DEAR KENNEDY FANS: Here's 2 ways to get back into the game!

1. Donate to Amy Kennedy for #NJ02!
2. Donate to Brynne Kennedy for #CA04!
#ExpandTheBlueHouse

secure.actblue.com/donate/expandt…
DEAR KENNEDY FANS: Here's 2 more ways to get back into the game!

3. Donate to Jim Kennedy for #FL08!
4. Donate to Rick Kennedy for #TX17!
#CompeteEverywhere

secure.actblue.com/donate/compete…
Don't forget about Sheryl Kennedy for MI-HD048!
#FlipMIHouseBlue

secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
Read 3 tweets
New at @CookPolitical: House rating changes in 20 districts, all towards Democrats. I can’t recall the last time we moved so many races at once, let alone in the same direction.
More @CookPolitical: for the first time this cycle, Democrats have at least as good a chance of picking up House seats as Republicans on a net basis. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
(Here’s a graphic corrected for #WA03)
Read 8 tweets
40 Republicans voted NO on the #FamiliesFirst #coronavirus relief bill.

17 of them have lone challengers ready to take them on in November. We at #DemCast have compiled that list for you.

🚨 Please share this thread and follow/support the Democratic challengers listed!
/1
(Note - we are only listing races in which either there is an established Democratic nominee or there is only a single declared Democratic candidate.)
/2
TEXAS has a lot of Republicans who voted NO on #FamiliesFirst.

Chip Roy in #TX21 voted NO.
His opponent: Wendy Davis @WendyDavis.

Randy Weber in #TX14 voted NO.
His opponent: Adrienne Bell @AdrBell

Louie Gohmert in #TX01 voted NO.
His opponent: Hank Gilbert @Hank4Texas
/3
Read 12 tweets
I’m getting a lot of this:

“I supported the blue wave and for what? Democrats aren’t living up to their end of the bargain.”

It’s time to dispel the myth that blue wave activism was a down payment on impeachment.

It was not. Zero seats flipped on an impeachment platform. /1
I get it. This is very frustrating and slow. It seems so obvious. And we expect people to lead on principle, not on politics.

Set aside your frustrations with Dem leadership for a moment and think back to the blue wave districts that flipped red to blue. /2
I interviewed and published a sizable chunk of Dems who flipped seats in 2018. I asked them explicitly about impeachment. They were across-the-board non-committal. That’s not what they ran on. They ran on healthcare. They ran on voting rights. They ran on the environment. /3
Read 12 tweets
1. While #California numbers aren’t entirely in, let’s take a dive into Super Tuesday in terms of the strategies we employed at @DemsWork4USA and what the primary results mean for November.
2. We’re extremely proud of the results in #NewMexico and #Iowa where all our endorsed candidates won. We don’t always feature state legislature seats as with IA, but do so when we have strong candidates than will both build the bench and drive momentum at the top of the ticket.
3. In #NewJersey we won all but 1 of our endorsements. We realized that Tanzie Youngblood would not likely take the nomination, but she is well positioned for seeking a state legislative seat in the special election and bringing Jeff Van Drew along to a more progressive appeal.
Read 13 tweets

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