Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Brinkmanship

Most recents (4)

A French nuclear umbrella, tensions over New START, proliferation risks in the Middle East, deterrence in Asia, & emotions in nuclear brinkmanship: our #STAND team's regular thread on recent news and analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence and #threats (no endorsement).(1/8)
Calls for a 🇫🇷French #nuclear umbrella for Europe have multiplied in recent months. While this is not a feasible idea, Paris could take steps to strengthen Europe’s deterrence, assess #STAND’s @lydiawachs & @liviuhorovitz in a new SWP Comment (GER).(2/8)bit.ly/3HhxQLC
The 🇺🇸Biden admin found 🇷🇺Russia to be in noncompliance with its #NewSTART treaty obligation to facilitate inspections 👉bit.ly/3HPKOl4. See the full US report 👉bit.ly/3HtfQxL & the threads by @james_acton32 for background 👉 bit.ly/3X3t8XS.(3/8)
Read 8 tweets
1.
Finalement, N. Pelosi se rend à Taïwan.

Voici un point intéressant de Moon of Alabama sur la communication chinoise :

Comment la Chine met en garde contre le voyage de Pelosi à Taiwan.
2.
Il y a trois jours, un locuteur mandarin a publié un fil de discussion intéressant sur l'utilisation de phrases en chinois pour exprimer une menace.

Un court fil sur la #rhétorique chinoise sur le plan supposé de @SpeakerPelosi de se rendre à Taiwan.
3.
Jusqu'à présent, la formulation de Pékin a été bien en deçà du seuil des types de mots et d'expressions que la Chine a historiquement utilisés pour signaler une guerre imminente/une stratégie de la corde raide.
Read 30 tweets
A short thread on China's #rhetoric on @SpeakerPelosi's rumored plan to visit Taiwan. So far Beijing's wording has been far below the threshold of the kinds of words & phrases that China historically used for signaling impending war/brinkmanship. /1
@SpeakerPelosi Let's start with MFA spokesperson's recent words: "China will act strongly to resolutely respond to it and take countermeasures. We mean what we say" (中方必將採取有力措施予以堅決應對和反制。我們說到做到) /2
Many observers take 'forceful response' to mean war. That may be overselling it.

Note his key operative words '有力' can mean 'forceful' or 'effective'. If they meant war, they would have said '武力 or 非和平' (military/non-peaceful measures). /3
Read 10 tweets
But for every other country on earth, the #UnitedStates is the absolute worst country on earth.
We cherish #liberty but not enough to hang politicians for their every #encroachment on it.

(Remember, according to #ThomasJefferson (and all the natural rights philosophers who preceded him), the purpose of the government is to #securetheseliberties among men.)
Read 12 tweets

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