Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #1998Agmt

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One chapter of the interim #Report on Irish unification referendums @ConUnit_UCL contains analysis of public #opinion polls & surveys in NI, GB & Ireland on the subject. 📊📈📉

Do see the report for the details & sources, but here's a snapshot...
bit.ly/3nWfRiC

1/8
There's been a narrowing of the gap in recent yrs btn pro-Union & pro-Unity responses, & an increasing proportion think a united Ireland will happen at some point.
But if a #referendum were held tomorrow in NI, the combined evidence wouldn’t point to a clear majority Yes vote
2/8 Image
Online polling shows higher support for unification than interview-based surveying, even when don’t knows are excluded. 📊

It is important to bear these methodological differences in mind in assessing this evidence. But both types have their place.

3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
If there was to be a #BorderPoll, how shd it best be designed & conducted?

A gp of academics convened to answer that Q… & we found it to be far from straightforward*
Here’s our interim report bit.ly/3nWfRiC
+a few thoughts
1/8
*Not just cos we like complicating things
The Working Gp was excellently chaired & expertly run… but it was no easy task.

Not just due to our various views/disciplines, but cos there was almost no element that cd not be interpreted in different ways.

Each part of this #report was laboriously debated & discussed.

2/8
We learned that legal matters were one thing (😬) but if we also try to adhere to the #1998Agmt in underlying principles, it becomes even more challenging.

This is only right.

Inclusivity, consensus, British-Irish cooperation… remain essential.
They are also hard-earned.
3/8
Read 8 tweets

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