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During Laura last year, I cobbled together a little visual to monitor trends in the storm's track and distinguish steady trends from short-term wobbles.
Well the #wobbleplot is back for #Ida. Satellite fixes suggest the storm remains towards the eastern edge of track guidance.
Well the #wobbleplot is back for #Ida. Satellite fixes suggest the storm remains towards the eastern edge of track guidance.
Checking in on the #WobblePlot roughly an hour later, #Ida is still following the NE side of the ensemble guidance envelope.
I've penciled in the mental adjustment to ensemble guidance I've been making in light of these trends.
The core may get rather close to New Orleans.
I've penciled in the mental adjustment to ensemble guidance I've been making in light of these trends.
The core may get rather close to New Orleans.
12:05 PM 8-28-21 #WobblePlot update shows plenty of wobbling, last hour it was to the west this hour to the north.
But the general trend remains pretty steady. #Ida is still tracking along the eastern edge of forecast model guidance.
But the general trend remains pretty steady. #Ida is still tracking along the eastern edge of forecast model guidance.
