Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #stalemate
Most recents (4)
[ thread🧵]
Is a protracted #stalemate burgeoning in Libya?
PM #Bashagha took his oath in Tobruk a month ago—& he still hasn’t swept into office or begun governing.
He himself told the media about the physical act of #entering Tripoli “w/in days”, but that hasn’t happened yet.
Is a protracted #stalemate burgeoning in Libya?
PM #Bashagha took his oath in Tobruk a month ago—& he still hasn’t swept into office or begun governing.
He himself told the media about the physical act of #entering Tripoli “w/in days”, but that hasn’t happened yet.
Bashagha & his ministers entering Tripoli soon is w/in the realm of the possible.
But the thing is, That won’t necessarily be enough to discard Dabaiba.
I.e., entering Tripoli won’t necessarily put an end to the current crisis.
A slew of profound issues are still outstanding.
But the thing is, That won’t necessarily be enough to discard Dabaiba.
I.e., entering Tripoli won’t necessarily put an end to the current crisis.
A slew of profound issues are still outstanding.
A big chunk of opinion & sentiment in both Tripoli & Misrata remains skeptical about Bashagha.
Latter has been making a bit of progress but there’s still a gap.
Plus, the passage of time alone isn’t doing all that work for free, *no matter* how isolated & weak Dabaiba looks.
Latter has been making a bit of progress but there’s still a gap.
Plus, the passage of time alone isn’t doing all that work for free, *no matter* how isolated & weak Dabaiba looks.
1) This article represents the predominant view of military analysts of Russia's invasion of #Ukraine: a #STALEMATE, likely to last for months absent a negotiated settlement. It's also one of the best summaries of the military situations I've seen.
tinyurl.com/27ef9xbv
tinyurl.com/27ef9xbv
2) Of course circumstances could change, and the Russians could find a way to win. At the same time, it's also possible that the Russian force could collapse, and the Ukrainians could defeat them. But these are less likely scenarios than a long-term stalemate. #UkraineInvasion
3) That said, military analysis of this war has fallen short since the get-go. Almost all the "experts" predicted a quick victory for the Russians, but they were thoroughly wrong. #UkraineInvasion
#BIN Yo voy a resumir una nota en #ALNavío, con la "nueva" posición de Europa y Josep Borrell, canciller de España y nuevo alto representante de política exterior de la #UniónEuropea. Esto no le gustará ni a Guaidó, ni a papa Leopoldo ni a los imbéciles. Reclamen a Borrell...
#BIN Me parece que, en este momento, luego de un año de estancamiento #stalemate y del estrepitoso fracaso del "fenómeno" Guaidó, casi todos los países europeos (o el bloque) están reconsiderando su posición, sobre todo por lo hecho por Trump, a posteriori y por el #Brexit...
#BIN La pregunta del día: ¿A quién debe ser leal y con quién puede ser traidor un militar? ¿Con un dictador o con la Constitución y el país?
Yo quiero aprovechar esa pregunta para desarrollar un pequeño hilo con elucubraciones propias, a las que tengo derecho. Aviso a los pendejos que solo esperan predicciones que no las hago, no tengo ese poder y, si lo tuviera, no las haría gratuitas. Solo uso mi libertad y análisis
#BIN Cuando digo #elucubraciones, no digo habladera de pendejadas, sino hipótesis y reflexiones mías, producto de mi meditación. Quizás no gusten a las "románticas" de las políticas, prefiero ser honesto conmigo mismo y auténtico en mis análisis...
