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COVID-19 Outbreak in India: Update
Profs. Rajesh Ranjan & Mahendra Verma, along with their team at #IITKanpur, provide daily COVID-19 forecasts in India on covid19-forecast.org.

#indiafightscovid19together #CovidUpdates #thirdwave #COVID19 #Covid19India
Observations:
1. Second wave weaned off in most states
2. Northeast States still record high numbers
3. India's daily avg count - reduced to 63,000
4. TPR<5% - Most states
5. TPR>10% - Kerala, Goa, Sikkim, Meghalaya
6. CFR - increased to 3.5%
Third wave predictions -
Scenario 1(Back-to-Normal) : Third wave peak in October, lower peak height.
Scenario 2(Normal with virus mutations): Peak could be higher, may appear by September.
Scenario 3(Stricter interventions): Could be delayed until late October.
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