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Key points from @RUSI_org report regarding Russian invasion of Ukraine, period Feb - Jul 2022.
1/x. Russia planned to invade Ukraine over a 10-day period and thereafter occupy the country to enable annexation by August 2022.
rusi.org/explore-our-re…
3/x The plan was to murder #Ukraine executive branch (president Zelenskyi and the government) and imprison the parliament. Pro-#Russia parliamentarians would form a "Movement for #Peace".
4/x #Nuclear power plants were planned to function as secure bases, depots and command centres, to control #energy in #Ukraine and to threaten #Europe countries with pollution.
Read 104 tweets
1. Drones are not the same as combat aircraft. In the war in #Donbas it soon became apparent that modern air combat strategies would not play a role in the conflict. After the July 2014 #Russian Buk shoot down of #MH17 with some other combat air loses around that time, the air
2. over Donbas was seldom scene of combat operations. The war became like WWI but with even less air combat. I can't think of another protracted modern war since the #Chinese civil war where air power figured as little as it did in 2015 in #Ukraine. Mostly artillery like #China.
3. At the time of the heaviest fighting we were giving the #Ukrainians very little material support. Some intel but for the most part they were on their own. Like now they needed #counterbattery radars & better howitzers. HIMARS ideally but at least the radars & our M777 155mms.
Read 11 tweets

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