Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #aggressiveness
Most recents (2)
Surely every serious national security strategist understands the distinction btwn Govts Geopolitical decisions and th military's detailed scenario planning & action program. A govt can decided on basis of expected value of outcome or worst case scenarios-the latter is paralyzing
2/ns The critical issue in China-India conflict is that,as of now (2020), #China controls the #escalatory ladder. So India's #National #Security Apparatus has to make assumptions about when and how #CCPpla will escalate, if it loses the first few steps on its escalatory ladder!
3/ns The worst case scenario for us is therefore the one in which after loosing previous escalations, #CCP China escalates to a full fledged war/attack on India, by shifting US-facing troops and highest quality equipment towards India. This has proved paralyzing for past Govts!🤔
Haven't we done this ("moot a sustained process of engagement with China at highest politico-diplomatic echelons... to seek multi-dimensional.. modus-vivendi; encompassing full gamut of bilateral issues like trade, territorial disputes, border-management, security) for 15 yrs?🥺
2/ 👆🏼will be futile without (1) Comprehensive #EcReforms to accelerate #GDP growth (egrowfoundation.org/research/growt…) to reduce China/India ratio (2) Higher budget allocation to #Defence, by reducing/targeting subsidies thru #DCT, (3) Reform of higher defence management incl a #UDC
3/ What the #WuhanVirus #Pandemic and #CCP11's unapologetic #aggressiveness have done is to show every1, that we do not have the luxury of delaying decisions & prevaricating indefinitely. @PMOIndia needs to step up pace of economic, institutional & national security, reforms!🙏🏼🙏🏼
