Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ToryLeadership
Most recents (10)
#RishiSunak #NewPM
Rishi Sunak – live 🔴
- Rishi Sunak poised to be next prime minister
- Boris Johnson pulls out of race to replace Liz Truss
- ‘Impossible’ to avoid general election, says Nadine Dorries
- FOLLOW LIVE ⬇️🔴
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
Rishi Sunak – live 🔴
- Rishi Sunak poised to be next prime minister
- Boris Johnson pulls out of race to replace Liz Truss
- ‘Impossible’ to avoid general election, says Nadine Dorries
- FOLLOW LIVE ⬇️🔴
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
#RishiSunak
- Sunak looks set for the coronation today as the UK’s third prime minister this year after Boris Johnson pulled out of the Tory leadership race
- FOLLOW LIVE ⬇️🔴
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
- Sunak looks set for the coronation today as the UK’s third prime minister this year after Boris Johnson pulled out of the Tory leadership race
- FOLLOW LIVE ⬇️🔴
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
- Mr Johnson’s retreat leaves Mr Sunak and leader of the Commons Penny Mordaunt as the only declared contenders in the contest to succeed Liz Truss
- FOLLOW LIVE ⬇️🔴
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
- FOLLOW LIVE ⬇️🔴
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
My diagrams are back!
Not sure if this is 🎉 or 😢 or 😡 but hey ho, this Tory leadership contest only lasts a week
And we all want to know: who is going to win! #Toryleadership
So here’s my effort to work that out…
Explanations in the 🧵
Not sure if this is 🎉 or 😢 or 😡 but hey ho, this Tory leadership contest only lasts a week
And we all want to know: who is going to win! #Toryleadership
So here’s my effort to work that out…
Explanations in the 🧵
All versions of these diagrams, calculations will be available at:
jonworth.eu/nextprimeminis…
Version 1.0.0, headline figures
Sunak - 4️⃣3️⃣% chance
Johnson - 3️⃣4️⃣% chance
Mordaunt - 1️⃣3️⃣% chance
Someone else - 2️⃣% chance
Chaos as procedure rendered invalid - 7️⃣% chance
jonworth.eu/nextprimeminis…
Version 1.0.0, headline figures
Sunak - 4️⃣3️⃣% chance
Johnson - 3️⃣4️⃣% chance
Mordaunt - 1️⃣3️⃣% chance
Someone else - 2️⃣% chance
Chaos as procedure rendered invalid - 7️⃣% chance
This diagram is rather different to the ones in the past, for there are three inputs - assessing whether each of the 3 candidates who are favourites will indeed run, and then if they will actually get to the ballot of Tory members
OK, a quick 🧵 on #ToryLeadership permutations
This isn’t about what I want to happen, or what ethically should happen, but is about what could well actually happen - basically there are no value judgments in here
This isn’t about what I want to happen, or what ethically should happen, but is about what could well actually happen - basically there are no value judgments in here
The Q: which MPs that could stand will get 100 nominations?
Sunak - highly likely
Johnson - possible (he’s already at 41)
Mordaunt - probably
Wallace probably doesn’t want to run - and that’d be to Sunak’s advantage
Braverman, Badenoch: unlikely to get 100
Sunak - highly likely
Johnson - possible (he’s already at 41)
Mordaunt - probably
Wallace probably doesn’t want to run - and that’d be to Sunak’s advantage
Braverman, Badenoch: unlikely to get 100
So that leaves us with 2 or 3 candidates in the MP ballot
Johnson
Sunak
Mordaunt
- or -
Sunak
Mordaunt
- or -
Sunak
Johnson
(I cannot see how Sunak doesn’t get to 100)
Johnson
Sunak
Mordaunt
- or -
Sunak
Mordaunt
- or -
Sunak
Johnson
(I cannot see how Sunak doesn’t get to 100)
#THREAD
The global hard-right's most easily manipulable favourite #ToryLeadership stooge, Liz Truss, floated a #neofascist plan to send Britain's 'unwanted' asylum seekers to Turkey, but within hours it was shot down by the Turkish government.
ft.com/content/36678b…
The global hard-right's most easily manipulable favourite #ToryLeadership stooge, Liz Truss, floated a #neofascist plan to send Britain's 'unwanted' asylum seekers to Turkey, but within hours it was shot down by the Turkish government.
ft.com/content/36678b…
Rupert Murdoch's Times reported on Saturday morning that Liz Truss would like to open negotiations to send 'migrants' to countries such as Turkey.
Later that day, Turkey hit back, warning that the country would not become a “refugee camp or border guard” for any other nation.
Later that day, Turkey hit back, warning that the country would not become a “refugee camp or border guard” for any other nation.
Britain, a relatively rich country of 67 million people, has fewer than 150,000 refugees in the UK.
Turkey, a poorer nation of 85 million people, already has the largest refugee population on earth, including 3.7 million people who have fled the civil war in neighbouring Syria.
Turkey, a poorer nation of 85 million people, already has the largest refugee population on earth, including 3.7 million people who have fled the civil war in neighbouring Syria.
#ToryLeadership candidate Liz Truss co-authored an article saying
“British workers are among the worst idlers in the world”
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Meanwhile for her own leisure, she has accepted free gifts from English National Opera, Lawn Tennis Association, and Jockey Club
1/
“British workers are among the worst idlers in the world”
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Meanwhile for her own leisure, she has accepted free gifts from English National Opera, Lawn Tennis Association, and Jockey Club
1/
Liz Truss used to work for Shell
foei.org/these-eight-sc…
As Environment Sec she cut taxpayer subsidies for solar panels on agricultural land
And in 2019 was a paid speaker to AEI climate denier think tank, trustees incl Iraqi war criminal Dick Cheney,
sgq.io/ezwbALU
2/
foei.org/these-eight-sc…
As Environment Sec she cut taxpayer subsidies for solar panels on agricultural land
And in 2019 was a paid speaker to AEI climate denier think tank, trustees incl Iraqi war criminal Dick Cheney,
sgq.io/ezwbALU
2/
As Lord Chancellor, Liz Truss betrayed justice
Lord Faulks quits over Truss appointment
legalbusiness.co.uk/blogs/making-t…
As Women Minister she diluted feminism, withdrawing unconscious bias training, ‘phoning Saudi Arabia to apologise' for human rights sanctions independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
3/
Lord Faulks quits over Truss appointment
legalbusiness.co.uk/blogs/making-t…
As Women Minister she diluted feminism, withdrawing unconscious bias training, ‘phoning Saudi Arabia to apologise' for human rights sanctions independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
3/
Despicable, people promoting hate towards a maligned minority in order to win votes from a baying reactionary right wing mob.
#Sunak #TransRightsAreHumanRights
#ToryLeadership
#Sunak #TransRightsAreHumanRights
#ToryLeadership
Whoever is made Tory leader, expect a rush to introduce deeper austerity to 'fund' tax cuts for corporations & income tax cuts that primarily help the wealthiest
The Tory debt mountain will grow massively all while they fill their own & their mates' wallets
#C4News #bbcaq
The Tory debt mountain will grow massively all while they fill their own & their mates' wallets
#C4News #bbcaq
So predictable
Javid claims his cut in corpn tax is "fully funded" & "if we don't get the tax cuts, we won't get the growth"
Tell that to every country in the EU that has higher taxes than the UK, higher economic growth, AND better public services
#SundayMorning #Toryleadership
Javid claims his cut in corpn tax is "fully funded" & "if we don't get the tax cuts, we won't get the growth"
Tell that to every country in the EU that has higher taxes than the UK, higher economic growth, AND better public services
#SundayMorning #Toryleadership
👀👀
.@SavantaComRes on BYOBgate:
- 66% say Boris Johnson should resign following latest revelations - +12 since their last poll at Christmas
- That includes 42% of 2019 Conservative voters
#OneRuleForThem
#DowningStParty
@lbc #bbcpm
- 66% say Boris Johnson should resign following latest revelations - +12 since their last poll at Christmas
- That includes 42% of 2019 Conservative voters
#OneRuleForThem
#DowningStParty
@lbc #bbcpm
Gutted ... + sat on the 8pm to #Hexham with an🍺 but a thread ⬇️ on:
- @michaelgove + the wonderful team of #MPs, staffers/volunteers who supported #TeamGove
- the @Conservatives positives I take from the last few weeks
+ my hopes + aspiration for future of this gt country 1/
- @michaelgove + the wonderful team of #MPs, staffers/volunteers who supported #TeamGove
- the @Conservatives positives I take from the last few weeks
+ my hopes + aspiration for future of this gt country 1/
Firstly my congratulations to @Jeremy_Hunt + @BorisJohnson + good luck for the month ahead of hustings/ scrutiny nationwide + on the media.
Hoping we have a robust but positive contest, showing off the best in @Conservatives #ideas, #aspirations + #values #ToryLeadership 2/
Hoping we have a robust but positive contest, showing off the best in @Conservatives #ideas, #aspirations + #values #ToryLeadership 2/
A pleasure to help @michaelgove
- the best minister since 2010 in @Conservatives govt
- best debater in @HouseofCommons + feared by #Corbyn + co
- with great policy ideas for the future
+ a track record of investing in #Hexham schools 3/
- the best minister since 2010 in @Conservatives govt
- best debater in @HouseofCommons + feared by #Corbyn + co
- with great policy ideas for the future
+ a track record of investing in #Hexham schools 3/
Important result that Tories lost twice as many seats to #Remain parties than #BrexitParty. BXP swapped for 23 UKIP and gained extra 5 to get 28. Tories lost 15 seats - 5 to BXP and 10 to Remain.
#EUelections2019 #EP2019
#EUelections2019 #EP2019
Conservative MPs must be aware that it's too late for new members to join & vote in #ToryLeadershipContest. However, if a general election is coming, there will probably be time to take part in selections/deselections of MP. This may be by #Remain voters.
#EUelections2019
#EUelections2019
6M plus signed a petition to revoke Article 50. If 2.5% of them joined the Conservatives, then they would be likely bigger than the current membership. Won't be enough time for #ToryLeadership in the #ToryLeadershipContest but possibly enough time before any General Election.
