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#Thread #COVIDー19 #StatePerformance
Authors: @MohanRaghavan8 @yashaswinimr23 @KousiksarathyS - @IITHyderabad
CC: @AyushmanNHA @ICMRDELHI @PrinSciAdvGoI
Authors: @MohanRaghavan8 @yashaswinimr23 @KousiksarathyS - @IITHyderabad
CC: @AyushmanNHA @ICMRDELHI @PrinSciAdvGoI
A state-wise analysis
- Underlying dynamics of the epidemic, the human factors and interventions that have resulted in the trends for each state - 10 states covered in this thread
- Reading the plots
- Underlying dynamics of the epidemic, the human factors and interventions that have resulted in the trends for each state - 10 states covered in this thread
- Reading the plots
Our customized epidemiological simulator for India-specific questions & the modelling parameters
#Thread #WuhanVirus #COVIDー19 #StatePerformance
How do you calculate the real fatality during the course of an ongoing epidemic?
Authors- @MohanRaghavan8 @KousiksarathyS @yashaswinimr23 @IITHyderabad
CC: @AyushmanNHA @ICMRDELHI @PrinSciAdvGoI
How do you calculate the real fatality during the course of an ongoing epidemic?
Authors- @MohanRaghavan8 @KousiksarathyS @yashaswinimr23 @IITHyderabad
CC: @AyushmanNHA @ICMRDELHI @PrinSciAdvGoI
That’s easy, some say – it is the fraction of the deceased over the infected!
Not so fast, hold your horses! So, it turns out the amount of time it takes for patients to progress from ‘confirmation of infection’ to ‘recovery’ or ‘deceased’ states is not the same!
Not so fast, hold your horses! So, it turns out the amount of time it takes for patients to progress from ‘confirmation of infection’ to ‘recovery’ or ‘deceased’ states is not the same!
Say, on a given day, if ‘c’ confirmed cases are reported, ‘r’ recover and ‘d’ are deceased, the confirmed, recovered and deceased all belong to different cohorts, i.e., were confirmed to be infected on different days. Calculating FR with std methods will lead to high fluctuations
