Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #SPX500
Most recents (20)
Asian & London Session Will can help you to prepare for the New York session.
> If Asian Session is Ranging then London will be Manipulating and New York Will be expansion (Reversal)
Thread 🧵
> If Asian Session is Ranging then London will be Manipulating and New York Will be expansion (Reversal)
Thread 🧵
> If Asian Session is Expansion then London will be consolidation and New York Will be Continuation of Asian
> If Asian Session is accumulating then London will be Expansion and New York Will be Consolidation
> If Asian Session is accumulating then London will be Expansion and New York Will be Consolidation
경기지표에는 선행경기, 순환경기, 총경제지표가 있다
이중 선행경기지표와 순환경기가 마이너스를 기록했을때 역사상 100%의 경기침체를 달성했다.
이중 선행경기지표와 순환경기가 마이너스를 기록했을때 역사상 100%의 경기침체를 달성했다.
위의 그림을 보면
경기선행은 마이너스
순환경기는 곧 마이너스를 시사하는데 4월발표된 지표를 종합하여 곧 5월쯤에 적용이되면 공식 순환경기도 마이너스를 기록하게된다.
경기선행은 마이너스
순환경기는 곧 마이너스를 시사하는데 4월발표된 지표를 종합하여 곧 5월쯤에 적용이되면 공식 순환경기도 마이너스를 기록하게된다.
현 시장은 하반기에 금리인하를
컨센시스로 잡고있다
그에 맞게 시장가격도 형성되어있다.
자료를 보면 3분기인 9/20일 쯔음 금리인하로 보고있음
컨센시스로 잡고있다
그에 맞게 시장가격도 형성되어있다.
자료를 보면 3분기인 9/20일 쯔음 금리인하로 보고있음
Sunday morning coffee after the necessary start of the day with animals is usually the time where I scroll through the weekly/daily charts and last weeks setups assessment.
#uranium
#uranium
Looking through the whole #uranium sector, its obvious that asymmetric reward vs risk is EMERGING, but not yet wide spread. Any kind of liquidity flush from here will cause a future supply restriction as large entities will use that liquidity to load up the positions.
We can only mark a bottom in hindsight. It can already be in, -10% from here or -50% from here.
My tactic is to probe it with short term long trades, diversify in non-correlating equities and if I see a possible trigger event, hedge.
My tactic is to probe it with short term long trades, diversify in non-correlating equities and if I see a possible trigger event, hedge.
This is the start of Drip Drops Knowledge!
Remember to hit that follow button if you like the content.
#SPY #SPX $ES_F #QQQ #futurestrading #OptionsTrading #options
Remember to hit that follow button if you like the content.
#SPY #SPX $ES_F #QQQ #futurestrading #OptionsTrading #options
The first official Knowledge Drop. $GME reported earnings last night and is up over 50% this morning. A short float of 24% (as reported by #Ortex) might have something to do with that. Breakdown in slide, follow me for weekly Knowledge Drops!
#GME #ShortSqueeze
#GME #ShortSqueeze
Last week, I discussed the concept of a “short squeeze.” This week let’s look at the dynamics of dealer hedging and the concept of a “gamma squeeze.”
#ShortSqueeze #GammaSqueeze #SPY #SPX $ES
#ShortSqueeze #GammaSqueeze #SPY #SPX $ES
I am certain #Bitcoin will reach 26K.
Not only from the liquidity standpoint, but also from the ECONOMICAL standpoint.
Read this thread and understand..
Not only from the liquidity standpoint, but also from the ECONOMICAL standpoint.
Read this thread and understand..
The Dollar Index...
So, from the economical standpoint..
BULLISH Dollar = Less Dollar supply circulating in the economy which is BAD for the economy.
BEARISH Dollar = More Dollar supply circulating in the economy which means people have more $ which is GOOD.
So, from the economical standpoint..
BULLISH Dollar = Less Dollar supply circulating in the economy which is BAD for the economy.
BEARISH Dollar = More Dollar supply circulating in the economy which means people have more $ which is GOOD.
At the moment, we're witnessing Bitcoin bottom out in perfect sync with the Dollar.
I'm not saying BTC will make a new All Time High, but this sure does set the stage for a Low-Risk environment for BTC to move up to 26K.
Take a look at the dollar chart.
I'm not saying BTC will make a new All Time High, but this sure does set the stage for a Low-Risk environment for BTC to move up to 26K.
Take a look at the dollar chart.
1/n Você ja ouviu falar em TTR (Tight Trading Range) e pq baseado nisso os bulls esperam um mês de alta em outubro no SPX? No final eu conto.
🧶🧶🧶🧶
🧶🧶🧶🧶
2/n Se não ouviu falar com certeza você ja viu. É uma lateralidade estreita onde mal cabem duas barras, o preço tem dificuldade em sair dela é preciso força para romper e se afastar da região de preços, e o mercado +
3/n fica alternando entre barras de baixa e barras de alta, os players operam contra o fechamento dessas barras, comprando em mínimas e vendendo em máximas, apostando que a próxima barra irá reverter o movimento da barra anterior. Iniciantes costumam ter dificuldades em +
Merhabalar,
Bull senaryo tweet'im hakkında yükselişi, geri çekilmeyi, vb etmenleri nasıl çizdiğim hakkında sorular geldi.
Hem bunlara açıklık getirmek hem de benim "analizlerimi" nasıl yorumlamanız gerektiğini öğretmek/hatırlatmak amacı ile bu yazıyı hazırladım.
1/11
Bull senaryo tweet'im hakkında yükselişi, geri çekilmeyi, vb etmenleri nasıl çizdiğim hakkında sorular geldi.
Hem bunlara açıklık getirmek hem de benim "analizlerimi" nasıl yorumlamanız gerektiğini öğretmek/hatırlatmak amacı ile bu yazıyı hazırladım.
1/11
YÜKSELİŞ FAZI
Düşüş versiyonu da çizilebilirdi ama düşük ihtimalliydi. Neden?
1) FTX mevzuları olmasa fiyat zaten 18.5K'ı dip yapmıştı ve 28K'lara gidecekti. DXY'nin düşmesi, global piyasalardaki kısa ralli bunun göstergesi. Yeni dip tespit edebilirsem long için emareydi.
2/11
Düşüş versiyonu da çizilebilirdi ama düşük ihtimalliydi. Neden?
1) FTX mevzuları olmasa fiyat zaten 18.5K'ı dip yapmıştı ve 28K'lara gidecekti. DXY'nin düşmesi, global piyasalardaki kısa ralli bunun göstergesi. Yeni dip tespit edebilirsem long için emareydi.
2/11
Learn something new everyday:
Did you know that you cannot buy #vix spot and only #vix futures via $UVXY instrument.
🧵👇
Did you know that you cannot buy #vix spot and only #vix futures via $UVXY instrument.
🧵👇
Furthermore, this instrument calculates options chain of all #vix contracts on a 30d weighted basis.
From CBOE: calculated by using the midpoint of real-time S&P 500® Index (SPX) option bid/ask quotes...cont
From CBOE: calculated by using the midpoint of real-time S&P 500® Index (SPX) option bid/ask quotes...cont
More specifically, the VIX Index is intended to provide an instantaneous measure of how much the market thinks the S&P 500 Index will fluctuate in the 30 days from the time of each tick of the VIX Index.
Remember you are only one standard deviation away from achieving your goal!!! Statisticians joke! But I am trying to crack the code, normalize it and make that joke a reality. $SPY is the greatest money making machine in the history. #SPY #SPX #SPX500
Only had time for one trade so far. Sold at 36% profit short of my 40% goal because I had to go. I will see if I can do another now. I will post here.
waiting for that spot for entry
The Elliott Wave Principle’s emotional cycles, aka mental states (actually traps), explained wave by wave.
A must read thread 🧵 below 👇
#elliottwave #tradingpsychology #TRADINGTIPS
#SPX #SPX500 $SPX #StockMarket #tradingadvice #tradingbias
#NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #NDX
A must read thread 🧵 below 👇
#elliottwave #tradingpsychology #TRADINGTIPS
#SPX #SPX500 $SPX #StockMarket #tradingadvice #tradingbias
#NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #NDX
/1 First the Bull market’s psychological cycle: W-1 to 5.
W-1 : disbelief (It’s just another Bear market rally, don’t buy it! Wait for better days.)
Morning update:
Yesterday, we saw a big dump when it comes to the stock market📉 Most stocks were deeply in red and indexes are now trading at June lows👀 This retest of June lows was expected, now the question is if we bounce or continue to drop🤔 #DOW #SPX500 #StockMarket
Yesterday, we saw a big dump when it comes to the stock market📉 Most stocks were deeply in red and indexes are now trading at June lows👀 This retest of June lows was expected, now the question is if we bounce or continue to drop🤔 #DOW #SPX500 #StockMarket
In our view, a short-term bounce may take place here but on a longer time-frames, more blood is in play until the FED starts to signal easing🤔
Thread🧵
Chart Analysis On $BTC that
Why August Month Can Be Bullish ??
• #Bitcoin Weekly close above the 200WMA✅
•MACD is about to have a #Bullish cross
•Weekly Macd Histogram is going to turn Green
#BTC #cryptocurrency #Crypto #Binance #Ethereum #ETH $ETH #BNB
1/8🧵
Chart Analysis On $BTC that
Why August Month Can Be Bullish ??
• #Bitcoin Weekly close above the 200WMA✅
•MACD is about to have a #Bullish cross
•Weekly Macd Histogram is going to turn Green
#BTC #cryptocurrency #Crypto #Binance #Ethereum #ETH $ETH #BNB
1/8🧵
$BTC Monthly closing above 50-Monthly MA
•50 Monthly MA is a great Support for #BTC
#Bitcoin #cryptocurrency #Crypto #ETH #Ethereum $ETH #BNB #binance #Binance #Solana #SOL $BNB
2/8🧵
•50 Monthly MA is a great Support for #BTC
#Bitcoin #cryptocurrency #Crypto #ETH #Ethereum $ETH #BNB #binance #Binance #Solana #SOL $BNB
2/8🧵
$BTC Broke its Weekly parabolic bearish curve ✅️
#Bitcoin #BTC #cryptocurrency #cryptocurrencies #CryptoNews #Crypto #ETH $ETH $BNB #BNB #binance #Binance #Ethereum
3/8🧵
#Bitcoin #BTC #cryptocurrency #cryptocurrencies #CryptoNews #Crypto #ETH $ETH $BNB #BNB #binance #Binance #Ethereum
3/8🧵
Official Bear Market entry of #SP500. Just about to go 20% from the top
Not all is red.. Specks of green seen.
Done
Will it sustain here?
Will it sustain here?
1/x
Sentiment check across markets. P/BV vs 10y averages. Assuming companies will perform neither better or worse fundamentally than they've shown historically, and shareholders will pay what they have on average have paid for those companies. Starting with #SPX500
Sentiment check across markets. P/BV vs 10y averages. Assuming companies will perform neither better or worse fundamentally than they've shown historically, and shareholders will pay what they have on average have paid for those companies. Starting with #SPX500
#SPX500 would need to come down to slightly above 3100 to reach its 10y average.
3/X
..And will in that case drag MSCI World with it (60% US). 23% down to average.
..And will in that case drag MSCI World with it (60% US). 23% down to average.
P/BV vs history is one of the better methods of measuring sentiment. For those concerned by the recent rout in S&P500, this chart might be helpful. To translate - There is another 32% down to neutral (not bearish) levels.
#SPX500
#SPX500
on the opposite side you have #Pakistan. To reach 10y average the market needs to rise 50%.
Valuation gaps rarely close overnight. No point in predicting car crashes. If US book values rise 10% a year over the next 5 years and S&P500 returns 3% a year (like 2001-2011) the gap will be closed in 2027. Does not have to be a drama, just likely underperformance for some time
1/17
A thread on undeniable facts and reasons for upcoming US economic collapse and its affect on crypto market.
Overview of the thread:
1. Cycle completions.
2. Shemitah year.
3. Astrology: US Pluto return
4. Technical proofs.
5. Fundament proofs.
#BTC #SPX500
A thread on undeniable facts and reasons for upcoming US economic collapse and its affect on crypto market.
Overview of the thread:
1. Cycle completions.
2. Shemitah year.
3. Astrology: US Pluto return
4. Technical proofs.
5. Fundament proofs.
#BTC #SPX500
2/17
1. Cycle completions
15 yrs from 2007 High = 2022
20 yrs from 2002 Low = 2022
22 yrs from 2000 High = 2022
49 yrs from 1973 How = 2022
60 yrs from 1962 Low = 2022
80 yrs from 1942 Low = 2022
90 yrs from 1932 Low = 2022
1. Cycle completions
15 yrs from 2007 High = 2022
20 yrs from 2002 Low = 2022
22 yrs from 2000 High = 2022
49 yrs from 1973 How = 2022
60 yrs from 1962 Low = 2022
80 yrs from 1942 Low = 2022
90 yrs from 1932 Low = 2022
3/17
100 yrs from the beginning of the very 1st multi year bull market 1922 (7years of bull market)=2022
145 yrs from SPX all time Low = 2022
77 years from world war 2 termination = 2022
All Cyclical Counts:
100 yrs from the beginning of the very 1st multi year bull market 1922 (7years of bull market)=2022
145 yrs from SPX all time Low = 2022
77 years from world war 2 termination = 2022
All Cyclical Counts:
Yaşanan krizin akut dönemi geride kalacağı, sağlıkla ilgili endişelerin azalacağı günlere 6-8 hafta içinde ulaşacağımız tahmin ediliyor. İşte o zaman krizin geride bıraktığı ekonomik enkaz ve kalıcı hasarla yüzleşeceğiz.
Bugün itibarıyla küresel ekonomide oluşan kayıp $5 trilyon olarak hesaplanıyor. Yani dünya, Japonya ekonomisi kadar kayba uğramış durumda. Bu gerçekle yüzleşmek zorunda kaldığımızda yeni durumun finansal piyasalarda ve varlık fiyatlarında kesinlikle yansımaları olacaktır.
#CBOE #VIX #volatility index, also known as #WallStreet's "fear gauge" records biggest one-day spike in 10 months
MSCI’s All-Country World Index, which tracks #shares across 47 countries, fell for a six straight day on Monday - marking its longest losing streak this year.
Fed beklendiği gibi 25 bps indirim yaptı. Powell bu indirimin, bir faiz indirimleri serisinin başlangıcı olmadığını vurguladı. Başka indirimler olabilir ama sınırlı olacak.
#EURUSD Mayıs 2017’den beri ilk defa 1,11 seviyesinin altında. Anlık olarak #SPX500 düşüşü %1,8’i buldu.
#EURUSD Mayıs 2017’den beri ilk defa 1,11 seviyesinin altında. Anlık olarak #SPX500 düşüşü %1,8’i buldu.
Piyasaların durumu yanlış değerlendirdiğini, fiyatlamaların abartılı olduğunu ve temkinli olmak gerektiğini belirtmiş, er-geç bu yanlış fiyatlamalarda bir düzeltme yaşanacağı uyarısında bulunmuştum.
Bu gözlemlediğimiz, bahsettiğim düzeltmenin sadece küçük ölçekli erken bir örneği
Bu gözlemlediğimiz, bahsettiğim düzeltmenin sadece küçük ölçekli erken bir örneği
İlk anda görülen tepki kalıcı olmayabilir. Piyasalar, aşırı likidite sarhoşluğu ile partiye devam etmek isteyecek, bu -kelimenin her manasıyla😉- “high” modu korumak için şartları sonuna kadar zorlayacaktır. Eninde sonunda gerçekle yüzleşmek kaçınılmaz olacak.
