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#ExtremeWeather #Warning #SouthEastAfrica
With formation of Tropical Storm #Emnati overnight and a high confidence forecast for the next five days. We need to also pay attention to potential impacts in Southern Africa, especially in the East.
Latest GFS 10 day rain sim below.
With formation of Tropical Storm #Emnati overnight and a high confidence forecast for the next five days. We need to also pay attention to potential impacts in Southern Africa, especially in the East.
Latest GFS 10 day rain sim below.
While Tropical Storm #Dumako has lost its JTWC designation the threat it poses to Mozambique is not over - we just won't have the same level of data to watch it as it crosses the Mozambique Channel.
The current spaghetti analysis from ECMWF suggests it won't strengthen.
The current spaghetti analysis from ECMWF suggests it won't strengthen.
However in the rainfall forecast we can see that heavy rain is forecast for Southern Mozambique and across the the continent over the next 10 days. This animation is from earlier today before #Dumako was taken off the monitoring list.
There is a fairly spectacular weather pattern developing over the Middle East, currently delivering rain to the Levant and Iraq.
The pattern appeared in models a couple of weeks ago and appears to be strengthening.
#OurChangingClimate
The pattern appeared in models a couple of weeks ago and appears to be strengthening.
#OurChangingClimate
A flow of water from the Amazon/Tropical Atlantic across North Africa is interacting with a stationary cut off low pressure system located over Turkey.
Here is a view of the cut off low - 24 hour satellite animation from @zoom_earth
Here is a view of the cut off low - 24 hour satellite animation from @zoom_earth
@zoom_earth Here is a close up of the other component of the weather setup - a massive stream of airborn moisture crossing the Sahara.
Extreme weather in the Nth Hemisphere due to high levels of atmospheric water in 2021 look set to be maintained into 2022. Atmospheric river activity continues to have significant consequences now, and in the forecasts.
New #OurChangingClimate thread.
New #OurChangingClimate thread.
The satellite animation above shows the weather system that produced the devastating tornadoes on Friday and Saturday in the United States.
This 16 day simulation shows a @NOAA GFS PWAT (atmospheric river) forecast beginning 12th December, which shows extreme is far from over.
This 16 day simulation shows a @NOAA GFS PWAT (atmospheric river) forecast beginning 12th December, which shows extreme is far from over.
The consequences of this ongoing collision between tropical moisture and winter is set to bring much more precipitation through to New Year, and a very white Christmas in the North East US.
#AwesomeClimate
This edition of my weekly look at #OurChangingClimate looks at the astonishing atmospheric rivers around the planet and their impacts on us all.
We begin in the Sahara, where an Amazon powered atmospheric river is projecting water all the way to the Levant.
This edition of my weekly look at #OurChangingClimate looks at the astonishing atmospheric rivers around the planet and their impacts on us all.
We begin in the Sahara, where an Amazon powered atmospheric river is projecting water all the way to the Levant.
Each observation consists of at least 48 hours observation of the area in question - abover we see Dec 3-4, below Dec 4-5. [Satellite imagery comes from @zoom_earth]
@zoom_earth Our trip around the globe moves south to take a look at the West African Monsoon 3-5 December. The monsoon is generating an atmospheric river which heads southeast over Southern Africa.
