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Inflation: it's "complicated"
What's been causing inflation is important. Get it wrong, and we get the wrong policies. And we learn the wrong lessons for the future.
What's been causing inflation is important. Get it wrong, and we get the wrong policies. And we learn the wrong lessons for the future.
Today’s post is my reaction to “What Caused the U.S. Pandemic-Era Inflation?“ by Ben Bernanke and Olivier Blanchard @ojblanchard1. Any errors here are my own.
Go to the authors, too: here’s the paper, news coverage, a video, and a tweet thread.
Go to the authors, too: here’s the paper, news coverage, a video, and a tweet thread.
My high-level summary:
Both inflation optimists and inflation pessimists were right and wrong about inflation in different ways. There's something for everyone in the debate here.
Both inflation optimists and inflation pessimists were right and wrong about inflation in different ways. There's something for everyone in the debate here.
Worried about new variants?
We got you 🙌🏾
🔬🧬We are the Coronavirus Variants Rapid Response Network @CoVaRR_Net working to accelerate & facilitate our understanding and management of #SARSCoV2 variants of concern!
Visit covarrnet.ca
#TeamCanada #GoTeam #GoScience
We got you 🙌🏾
🔬🧬We are the Coronavirus Variants Rapid Response Network @CoVaRR_Net working to accelerate & facilitate our understanding and management of #SARSCoV2 variants of concern!
Visit covarrnet.ca
#TeamCanada #GoTeam #GoScience
Science doesn’t happen in silos & is not one dimensional!
@Covarrnet is founded on the belief that the best science is one that is collaborative & #EDII-centred.
Here are some of the brilliant people who make up @CoVaRR_Net:
@langlois_ma @ninan_abraham1 @JenGommerman @gingraslab1
@Covarrnet is founded on the belief that the best science is one that is collaborative & #EDII-centred.
Here are some of the brilliant people who make up @CoVaRR_Net:
@langlois_ma @ninan_abraham1 @JenGommerman @gingraslab1
This is your daily pension update: LAPP, SFPP, and PSPP are watching the ATA pension court case with bated breath. It is possible, depending on the decision, that we could see mucho legal action on behalf of these plans. #AbLeg #goteam
I would caution you that their situation is a bit different because those plans already use AIMCO as an investment manager. #AbLeg #handsoffmypension
I will remind everyone (again) that the Teachers' Pension Plan Act gives the responsibility for investing the assets of the plan to the ATRF Board not AIMCO and certainly not Travis. What kind of advice is he getting? #AbLeg #handsoffmypeension
Welcome to your council livetweet thread! This is #AceReporting as always, welcoming you back to the main event. As always tips are appreciated!
Venmo: houstonace
CashApp: $Archstar
Today's tips are going towards my health ins, and A/D meds b/c it's still a thing in a pandemic.
Venmo: houstonace
CashApp: $Archstar
Today's tips are going towards my health ins, and A/D meds b/c it's still a thing in a pandemic.
Reminder that the vote on overriding the veto is currently not on the docket today, HOWEVER I am assuming most comments in the first 20 minutes will be related to the Mayor's veto of the amended 2020 budget.
And that is where we start today!
#SeattleProtests #SeaCouncil
And that is where we start today!
#SeattleProtests #SeaCouncil
And now we have an amendment to the introduction and referral calendar, for two bills not provided by 5pm last Friday. The first amendment 119878, is approval to enter a collective bargaining agreement between the City and the local machinists union.
There are no saviors in democracy. That’s fascism (and there the promise fails).
Perfect politicians don’t create progress, because perfection does not exist.
➡️ WE secure progress w/ political partners, flawed, but who hold common values and are willing to be pushed & shaped.
Perfect politicians don’t create progress, because perfection does not exist.
➡️ WE secure progress w/ political partners, flawed, but who hold common values and are willing to be pushed & shaped.
This is a political lesson I learned a long time ago in my 22 years of working in presidential politics.
It’s what President Obama meant when he said “We are the change we seek”. Even he knew he wasn’t perfect, but he sought to be an honest partner - willing to be pushed.
It’s what President Obama meant when he said “We are the change we seek”. Even he knew he wasn’t perfect, but he sought to be an honest partner - willing to be pushed.
I’m incredibly (incredibly) excited about the Biden/Harris ticket - not because they’re perfect, but because I know them to be honest partners whom advocates can needle, cheer, criticize, strategize alongside, call out their failings, and support towards success.
Take #COVID_19 seriously.
For over a week I was feeling excellent again. I’ve been going on long, hilly walks for exercise.
On Monday, I again developed deep chest congestion. I was emotionally devastated. Then, a friend who also has been dealing with COVID-19 helped me out...
For over a week I was feeling excellent again. I’ve been going on long, hilly walks for exercise.
On Monday, I again developed deep chest congestion. I was emotionally devastated. Then, a friend who also has been dealing with COVID-19 helped me out...
My symptoms onset was over a month ago. Yet, I just can’t seem to shake the effects of this virus.
My friend (whose father is an epidemiologist) reminded me that my immune system has been weakened by this virus. He also noted that exercise can tax weakened immune systems.
My friend (whose father is an epidemiologist) reminded me that my immune system has been weakened by this virus. He also noted that exercise can tax weakened immune systems.
I was doing intense exercise (I say “hilly walks”, but our hills in San Francisco are practically mountains).
This is what walking up the street to the adjacent neighborhood looks likes like in elevation change - 200ft (61 meters).
My friend reminded me I was doing too much.
This is what walking up the street to the adjacent neighborhood looks likes like in elevation change - 200ft (61 meters).
My friend reminded me I was doing too much.
Auticon claims to have between 200 and 300 autistic employees (which it continuously touts to sell its services through well-placed PR pieces like this).
Yet, to my knowledge, it has ZERO autistic people in its management or leadership.
cnbc.com/2020/04/16/our…
Yet, to my knowledge, it has ZERO autistic people in its management or leadership.
cnbc.com/2020/04/16/our…
Companies who follow this practice exploit the social capital of the autistic community in order to gain profit. I’m fine with making profit, but that’s our social capital they’ve used to make it - not theirs.
It’s time to start paying that capital back.
It’s time to start paying that capital back.
Operating a business that trades in the social capital of the autistic community to make profit, but fails to incorporate the autistic community in the leadership, management, or profit structure of that enterprise is simply theft.
It’s exploitation as well.
It’s exploitation as well.
I just told a class of autistic #DataScience students that they “regressed” from last week.
I MEANT their story-telling wasn’t as strong as last week’s presentation. But, being autistic myself, I cringed at my accidental word choice.
They WERE amazing this week, though.
🙌❤️♾
I MEANT their story-telling wasn’t as strong as last week’s presentation. But, being autistic myself, I cringed at my accidental word choice.
They WERE amazing this week, though.
🙌❤️♾
If you’re unfamiliar, as children, autistic kids are often measured by how they progress or “regress” based on neurotypical milestones.
So, “regressed” is not not exactly the preferred word I’d want to use.
So, “regressed” is not not exactly the preferred word I’d want to use.
BTW...the adaptability of this cohort has been amazing (amazing). #COVID_19 meant we had to switch from in-person instruction to online teaching mid-way through.
Never accept that autistic people are “inflexible”. We can be wildly flexible when people meet us where we are.
Never accept that autistic people are “inflexible”. We can be wildly flexible when people meet us where we are.
It’s hard to find the right balance of assuring people I’ll be fine and scaring people so that they take #COVID_19 seriously. I WILL be fine, but I was also sent back to the hospital yesterday. This is serious stuff.
My doctor sent me back to the hospital after I was experiencing chest pains. She feared it was cardiac. There’s an increasing worry about heart issues with #COVID_19 patients like me.
khn.org/news/mysteriou…
khn.org/news/mysteriou…
The good news: My EKG was great. It turns out that it is pneumonia in my left lung which is causing me chest pain.
The GREAT news: I am out of the “danger window” for #COVID_19. I’m actually out of the symptom window too. I am now dealing with COVID-19 induced pneumonia.
The GREAT news: I am out of the “danger window” for #COVID_19. I’m actually out of the symptom window too. I am now dealing with COVID-19 induced pneumonia.
It’s April. Autism Speaks is encouraging non-autistic people to #LightItUpBlue. I am encouraging autistic people to #FuckSomeShitUp.
Take this month to stand in #SelfAdvocacy. That can be big. It can be small. This month’s about you.
#NothingAboutUsWithoutUs
#ActuallyAutistic
Take this month to stand in #SelfAdvocacy. That can be big. It can be small. This month’s about you.
#NothingAboutUsWithoutUs
#ActuallyAutistic
And let me loudly recognize that this is a stressful time. We’re all exhausted. I’m there too.
Autistic people need to resist frames which try to control us, infantilize us, speak on our behalf. But, that can be in loud protest or simply in taking time to rest & value yourself.
Autistic people need to resist frames which try to control us, infantilize us, speak on our behalf. But, that can be in loud protest or simply in taking time to rest & value yourself.
The first step in #SelfAdvocacy is #SelfAcceptance. It’s from there you begin to love yourself and claim your normalcy & full worth.
If the action you take is simply to recognize “I’m ok. I’m normal. I’m fine,” that’s a powerful one. You indeed are beginning to #FuckSomeShitUp.
If the action you take is simply to recognize “I’m ok. I’m normal. I’m fine,” that’s a powerful one. You indeed are beginning to #FuckSomeShitUp.
My doctor just confirmed my having a mild case of #COVID19 (“high probability”). The reason why San Francisco only has 51 official cases is because there’s only capacity to test severe cases. I don’t qualify for testing. Our national number is much higher than the reported one.
I’m fine. However, not being able to be tested because of a mild case means I won’t show up in the statistics. Most people who have #COVID19 therefore won’t show up in the statistics. So, ACT AS IF YOU HAVE IT. Wash your hands. Keep your distance. Clean surfaces.
#GoTeam
#GoTeam
I can personally expect about three more days of symptoms. My doctor is having me tack-on an extra three days or quarantine to be safe (but all of San Francisco is in quarantine for at least two more weeks).
I’M FINE, but this is our public health. Take precautions for others.
I’M FINE, but this is our public health. Take precautions for others.
Here’s a secret about campaigns:
In the months ahead, we’ll have a nominee. By then, that campaign will have in it the senior leadership of the campaigns of Warren, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, etc.
Biden and Sanders right now are scrambling to bring Warren people on first...
In the months ahead, we’ll have a nominee. By then, that campaign will have in it the senior leadership of the campaigns of Warren, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, etc.
Biden and Sanders right now are scrambling to bring Warren people on first...
For a moment, it’s a weird marriage as you welcome your counterpart whom you’ve been competing against (like when the Klingons joined the Federation...apologies to fans if I got that example incorrect). That disappears quickly and you start to become family and to work ahead...
Warren’s people (and others) will be shaping policy for the nominee. Warren (and others) will as well.
There will be daily calls, lots of meetings, former candidates traveling for and with whomever is the nominee. They’ll be pressing them, molding them, shaping them positively.
There will be daily calls, lots of meetings, former candidates traveling for and with whomever is the nominee. They’ll be pressing them, molding them, shaping them positively.
This is absolutely not how to go about writing a bill. Who are the #ActuallyAutistic stakeholders you worked with?
#NothingAboutUsWithoutUs
#DisabilityJustice
PS - You’re still amazing. LOTS of autistic people think so. Keep it up (just not this bill). We’re here to help.
#NothingAboutUsWithoutUs
#DisabilityJustice
PS - You’re still amazing. LOTS of autistic people think so. Keep it up (just not this bill). We’re here to help.
HB1722 isn’t an autism bill. It’s an ABA industry bill (an industry that autistic people who’ve gone through it have strong objections to).
@pwcdanica isn’t evil. She isn’t being malicious. She’s a smart, empathetic, much-needed official.
So, what happened? Let me explain.
@pwcdanica isn’t evil. She isn’t being malicious. She’s a smart, empathetic, much-needed official.
So, what happened? Let me explain.
ABA (as applied to us) operates on false assumptions about autistic people. That’s the root of why it so often causes such damage and trauma. Yet, it’s promoted by leading autism groups. Why?
Well, those groups were built with good intent but not with autistic people. So...
Well, those groups were built with good intent but not with autistic people. So...
Why just meet for coffee when you can stim and watch elevators? I credit @autsomesmiles as the person who helped me come out as autistic. She credits me as the person who helped her come out as a lesbian. #GoTeam!
Watching elevators at the Hyatt Regency in Arlington, VA.
❤️♾
Watching elevators at the Hyatt Regency in Arlington, VA.
❤️♾
We met as adults, but soon discovered that we had a lifelong special interest elevators at hotels designed by the late Atlanta architect #JohnPortman (@portman_arch). As autistic kids, we’d make our parents take us to watch the mesmerizing glass elevators he put in his hotels.
It was #JohnPortman who invented the atrium hotel. As an autistic kid, whenever I’d visit family in Atlanta, the first thing I’d make them do is take me to watch elevators in the cavernous 53-story high @AtlMarriottMarq. It was heaven for an autistic child. I’d watch for hours.
Amen! Non-disabled often see disabled people simply as individuals with individual conditions. In reality, we’re people with shared history, language, culture & consensus. We’re a person, yes, but also a people.
Via @ThinkingAutism Cc: @PivotDiversity
tsl.news/opinion-disabi…
Via @ThinkingAutism Cc: @PivotDiversity
tsl.news/opinion-disabi…
Most programs or services which work with disabled populations get this wrong. That’s understandable, but must change to ensure success. This is crucial. It will not only ensure better individual outcomes, but will grow the impact and influence of the group. It’s also fun to do.
I’ve noticed when disabled professionals and advocates make a point about disability, they’re often countered with “Well, this other disabled person thinks this.” Whenever that’s said, that tells me the person does not get this crucial aspect of disability.
