Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #GermanElection2021

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#GermanElection2021 FDP and Greens have begun to negotiate, FDP leaders underline that a Jamaica coalition is not excluded at this stage. While most Germans favor an "Ampel" with the SPD, a majority of FDP voters prefers governing with CDU.

tagesschau.de/inland/btw21/v…
Patterns of policy convergence and divergence look very different on socio-economic and other issues, as shown by this summary of emblematic positions I have taken from party manifestos.
While the FDP's economic and social policy is closer to the CDU, the party shares multiple stances with the Greens (and SPD) in other matters.
Read 5 tweets
First exit poll out as voting ends in #GermanElection2021, from Infratest-Dimap

⬛️CDU/CSU: 25%
🟥SPD: 25%
🟩Greens: 15%
🟦FDP: 11%
🟫AFD: 11%
🟪Linke: 5%

If these are accurate, it's disappointing for centre-left and encouraging for centre-right. But it's only an exit poll.
This is effectively too close to call, and leaves open the crucial question of who will come first and have the 1st mandate to try to form a government.

It's going to be a long night.
Not just a long night, but potentially a long several months.

This exit poll suggests that the result will be even more unclear than people expected. A tie or near-tie gives no clear mandate for government formation.

Means #Merkel may remain chancellor as caretaker till 2022.
Read 5 tweets
NEW: Polls have closed in the German elections. Exit poll suggests it’s going to be nailbitingly close for the top spot.

SPD: 25%
CDU/CSU: 25%
GREEN: 15%
FDP: 11%
AfD: 11%
LINKE: 5%

#GermanElection2021
Though this would suggest that CDU/CSU has done a little better than some polls suggested, it’s still a significant reduction on their 2017 performance of 33% (and way down on 2013 of 41.5%). SPD are down a touch but basically static. AfD down and Greens up.
Different exit poll SPD slightly ahead. Either way looks like worst CDU/CSU performance since 1949.
Read 9 tweets
Voting has begun in Germany to elect a new parliament (polls open 8am – 6pm CET). It’s almost the end of the Merkel era in German politics after 16 years as Chancellor BUT .. #GermanElection2021 /1
Today’s vote is just stage one in the process to form Germany’s next government. The country is preparing itself for lengthy and possibly fractious coalition negotiations. Angela Merkel will remain caretaker chancellor in the interim /2
The What Next after Merkel has proved hard to predict. Race to replace her is expected to be tight: between Armin Laschet a Europhile conservative from her CDU party and Olaf Scholz – a centrist Social Democrat + Germany’s current Finance Minister. The Green Party is tipped.. /3
Read 5 tweets
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Holyrood and the Bundestag 🇩🇪

A comparison of Scotland's Additional Member System (AMS) and Germany's Mixed-Member Proportional system (MMP).

*A thread as Germany goes to the polls today *

#GermanElection2021 #wahl2021 #ProportionalRepresentation

1/
The Scottish Parliament has 129 seats in total.

73 of these are single-member districts where the candidate with the most vote wins.

The other 56 are list seats designed to reduce the inherent disproportionality of the FPTP element.

Voters get one ballot for each.

2/
Scotland is divided into 8 electoral regions with each region providing 7 list MSPs, meaning that everyone in Scotland is represented by 8 MSPs.

The list seats in each region are distributed once all the constituency seats in that region are counted.

3/
Read 20 tweets
Important reporting by @emilyrs in the run up to the #GermanElection2021. There is no reason to question the integrity of Germany's upcoming election and this piece does a nice job addressing why. A few additional thoughts. 🧵
1/Any method of voting carries risks -- whether its mail-in voting or in-person voting -- that election officials must manage. Risks to mail-in voting can be managed through various policies, procedures, and controls, many of which Germany already has.
2/Many countries, including Germany, have run successful elections during #COVID19, in part, by expanding the # of ways voters can vote. Doing this doesn't only make it safer for voters; it can also make the voting process more accessible, easier to administer and more secure.
Read 5 tweets

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