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🧵Few observations from #Riga after talking with several senior officials from across the Alliance at the #NATO #ForMin meeting:
• the scale of Russian military build up is unprecedented - this is NOT a repeat of the spring built up. The talk of war in Ukraine is in the air.
• the scale of Russian military build up is unprecedented - this is NOT a repeat of the spring built up. The talk of war in Ukraine is in the air.
• Russia’s ultimate intentions are not clear - but the scale and capabilities that are being prepared would allow it to strike Ukraine from three directions, perhaps including from the north through Belarus.
• The broader strategic community, including think tanks, for the moment deeply underestimates the severity of the situation due to classification of the specific information presented to the Allies.
