Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Creeping
Most recents (8)
Which is the greater military power: #PRC with 60,000 troops massed on India’s border(for ~2 years) or #RF with 100,000 troops massed on Ukraine border(for ~ 2 months)?
Progress on restoring April 2020 status quo ante in Ladakh, was interrupted by IA thwarting 2 aggressive PLA patrols across LOC & Xi's fear of ultra-nationalist reaction (before elevation to top pantheon of CCP), resumes. 60% probability of PLA, Hot-spring withdrawal, by Dec 31
3/pla Traditionally #PLA #Creeping #Acquisition has been attempted between the dotted lines(👇🏼). Since August 2020 all such attempts have been #successfully #resisted. All reported construction is in areas under PLA control for decades(ie btwn top line & next dotted line)
188/ns The urgent need for an Indian (conventionally armed) #Rocket #Force & associated #ISR to deter a decapitating strike by #PLARF 🧵
189/ns Step by step build up, to #Theaterization 🧵
#HBYN #SciMe With th availability of commercial satellite maps, is it so difficult for researchers to map #CCPPLA's history of #Creeping #Acquisition on Tibet-India border, over 30-40 yrs; so we have clear time lines, & can end th endless bickering among ourselves about facts?🤔
2/agp #SciMe The purpose of satellite based analysis is to determine & time stamp, the facts about roads, defensive/offensive structures & troop movements (if possible), of both countries; These, can then be combined with historical evidence on claims, to do FP/NS analysis!
#Hypothesis: Agreement to disengage in Pangong lake was reached in Sept-oct, but #CCP11 backtracked in Oct/nov on expectation of Biden win! Blinken's 6th Feb call to Yang Xi confirmed firm US policy towards China. #Xi gave approval for implantation of Pangong agreement thereafter
2/hy #CCPPLA will not abandon its #Creeping #Acquisition policy on India-Tibet border till there is a border settlement, or we establish #Hard #Deterrence viz #PLA, or both! Indian Nat security apparatus is working on this premise; Post-Galwan,political estblishment is on board!
3/hy Dis-engaging tanks & Heavy armor, from battle field positions, is the first step!
#PLAaggression India fired "warning shots" into the air. This is a signal that any further move towards Indian troops in "Grey zone" as part of #CcpPla #creeping #acquisition strategy would no longer be allowed. If the #CcpPla wants more #Indian #land it has to fight for it!
2/pla 🧵
3/pla The #Totalitarian #Communist #Emperor of the #Middle #Kingdom with #mandate from #heaven is convinced that only an #evil state would resist its benevolent😇 acquisition of the later's territory.
"Indian military has long recognised China as primary threat, but political leadership has been excessively focused on Pakistan, which has prevented a serious look at capabilities & Org structures required for deterring China"(#creeping #acquisition)..2/ flip.it/qnWfxA
2/lad "capabilities to neutralize the PLA's current dominance in missile technology, space, cyber, and electronic warfare. It is equally important to revise our military doctrine to handle a range of contingencies from coercion to a limited conflict(L1, L2, L3) an all-out war."
3/lad "military advice to political leadership must be professional & honest. military has "can do" spirit, but must point out dangers of under-resourcing military while expecting ambitious results. . clearly communicate capability shortfalls & avoid making exaggerated claims"
China intruded into Indian territory in 1962 & remains there. Issue since 1967 is abt perceptions of #LAC and #ability to #patrol within the #grey #zones btwn percied LACs. #CeeepingAcquisition refers to #PLA stealthily converting grey into black zones by excluding Indian patrols
#2/fp I have a problem with well informed critics (professing to be patriots), who deliberately confuse the public by treating grey areas as black, and vice versa, as it suits their narrative (raising suspicion its ideological or political)!
3/lad The #CreepingAcqusition within #Greyzones in #Ladakh since May 2020, has been apparent in satellite pictures. What was unclear till recently, was the precise limits of #GreyZones The public was therefore unable to check loosely worded assertions made in text, against maps!
