Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #CartoonClimate
Most recents (1)
I’m writing a #CartoonClimate 2nd ed, and the draft has our best guess for BAU as SSP3-7.0. Here’s my case, but I invite #ClimateTwitter and #EnergyTwitter to disagree! @hausfath @ramez @DrKateMarvel @AdrianRaftery1 @RogerPielkeJr @KHayhoe @JosephMajkut @RobertStavins [Thread] 
2/ Context: The draft mentions the possibility of a low-emissions future (“electrify everything”) and a high-emissions future (fossil-fueled catch-up) and specifies key issues—economic growth, technology, policy—before laying out our best guess for a no-more-policy BAU.
3/ A good part of my case comes from this chart from EIA’s IEO 1994, modified to include 2010 actuals. One modification was to move the legend because China 2010 was almost off the chart! (Note that this shows C; multiply by 3.67 to get CO2.) Take-off growth is unpredictable.
