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A THREAD ON #REMAINERNOW
So it’s been one year exactly since I (Andy) started tweeting under @remainernow.
This thread will cover thank yous, some of the things the #Remainernow campaign has done over the last 12 months, what I think must happen next & how you can help.
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So it’s been one year exactly since I (Andy) started tweeting under @remainernow.
This thread will cover thank yous, some of the things the #Remainernow campaign has done over the last 12 months, what I think must happen next & how you can help.
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So 1 year ago today, having spent the previous 18 months devastated about Brexit & the ramifications it looked like it was going to have for UK, I decided I had to do more & I set up a new twitter account with a simple aim & this was the 1st tweet.
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I'd been following several #regretful leavers (e.g. @HughNorris7 & @timjn1) for a while on my personal twitter (now dormant) & decided that their voices (& many others like them) must be amplified & they must know others feel the same..@remainernow was the result of that.
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@andrew_lilico Okay @andrew_lilico, you need to download the tables from the Ipsos Mori survey you cited in reply to @Sime0nStylites. You need Table 43 and Table 46 from here: ipsos.com/sites/default/…
#CPC18
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#CPC18
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@andrew_lilico @Sime0nStylites Let's look at the detail with some carpet charts. All are prefaced with "If Britain votes to leave the European Union, to what extent do you think it would be better or worse for each of the following, or would it make no difference?"
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@andrew_lilico @Sime0nStylites We're testing if voters voted for Brexit, despite expecting to be worse off after 5 years and about even after 20 years. So we're looking at the Leave breakdown.
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‘We’re leaving EU at 11pm on 29 March,’ booms the funereally unamusing Attorney-General like an MC at a golf-club auction. Cut to a stony-faced Philip Hammond. You tell ‘em, Phil #CPC18
Geoffrey Cox would have made rather a good general in a 1950s British war film. Sadly in this case the war is on the British economy, but the compliment stands #CPC18
That was the most resonant enunciation of the word ‘differences’ since about 1943. This man is pompous-Tory central casting. I’m honestly astounded he actually exists
Re-issuing, but as single thread, 11 tweets from over last 3 days, each one linking to different commentator, but all justifiably criticising May's Tories for their abject failure to come up with any ideas to counter hard-Left Corbynite-Labour.
Judge for yourselves. . .
#CPC18
Judge for yourselves. . .
#CPC18
Yet another VG diagnosis of May's Vichy-'Conservatives' combined political ineptitude & ideological vacuum, by Janet Daley.
Corbyn's apparent supporters are inveterate consumers, not marxists, but Miliband-Lite May Tories have totally failed to notice it.
bit.ly/2y4pYt5
Corbyn's apparent supporters are inveterate consumers, not marxists, but Miliband-Lite May Tories have totally failed to notice it.
bit.ly/2y4pYt5
Another who totally understands the political cul-de-sac in which the Vichy-'Conservative' Party has voluntarily trapped itself.
Dominic Lawson in @thesundaytimes on the impossibility of their credibly opposing Corbyn policies which are also their own.
bit.ly/2zGAx80
Dominic Lawson in @thesundaytimes on the impossibility of their credibly opposing Corbyn policies which are also their own.
bit.ly/2zGAx80
At our #CPC18 fringe event #Brexit Secretary @DominicRaab tells @HenryNewman that there is "no such thing as pure independence," and the UK recognises its interdependence with EU in trade and security
Raab says there is a distinction to make: does the EU reject Chequers because it cannot separate goods and services or because it does not want to? #CPC18
Raab on possibility of extension of CU beyond 2020: We recognise the need for backstop as a bridge to future arrangements...but it would need to be short and time-limited... If this is a ruse to keep UK in a CU, that's not acceptable #CPC18
What's happening in #Brexit...lots of noise about on the post Salzburg plan... here's what I know, with inputs from both sides.
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So let's start with the post-Salzburg plan. Multiple versions about - I've written on Chequers 2.0, as has @SamuelMarcLowe and @JohnSpringford of @CER_EU whose paper is here: cer.eu/insights/after… /2
@SamuelMarcLowe @JohnSpringford @CER_EU The shorter version is this:
1) All-UK for customs on NI backstop, but accept SM checks unique to NI, with some de-dramatised checks (for regs) on NI-GB border.
2) To move to park the NI customs backstop stand-off by agreeing a "Temporary Customs Arrangement" /3
1) All-UK for customs on NI backstop, but accept SM checks unique to NI, with some de-dramatised checks (for regs) on NI-GB border.
2) To move to park the NI customs backstop stand-off by agreeing a "Temporary Customs Arrangement" /3
Lots of ppl seeing the crass, belligerent pro-Brexit speeches at CPC18 as part of a strategy to engineer no-deal while shifting the blame onto the EU. I'm not sure: I think short-term polling is driving this. Keep the base fired up and unified; court the nationalist vote. #CPC18
As Trump & Brexit both show, in representative democracies with voting systems that can be 'gamed'*, the winner isn't whoever 51% of ppl would opt for if forced to choose between two alternatives: it's whoever can get most people fired up in support of the cause. Sad but true.
* By "voting systems that can be 'gamed'", I mean voting systems where you can win a disproportionate share of power/parliamentary representation by piling up support in certain areas e.g. FPTP, US electoral college. Contrast with variants of PR or French-style 2-round voting.
Philip Hammond: "The Conservative Party is and always will be the party of business"
What are your experts telling you Brexit does to UK business?
What have UK businesses been screaming at you about Brexit for 3 years?
#CPC18
What are your experts telling you Brexit does to UK business?
What have UK businesses been screaming at you about Brexit for 3 years?
#CPC18
Wow, Philip Hammond has been non-stop with the empty promises today. Sorry I'm late to the party. (Haircut) I'm going through it all now...
Philip Hammond: They say it won't work... Well they said that about the light bulb.
Sorry Phil... The light bulb works because it's backed up by the experts in the field. BREXIT IS NOT!!!
#CPC18
Sorry Phil... The light bulb works because it's backed up by the experts in the field. BREXIT IS NOT!!!
#CPC18
To everyone who wants a vote on the Brexit 'deal'. Please stop blindly bashing Tories. Remember: Carrot and Stick! We need them to know that questioning Brexit isn't betraying the party. It's protecting the party from being blamed for destroying the country.
#CPC18
#CPC18
You must decide what's more important to you. Venting your anger at the Tories, or doing what is strategically necessary to protect the UK from harm. We regularly criticise those who won't accept there's anything wrong with Brexit due to personal emotion (pride). SO BE BETTER!
The only way this works is if we criticise / politically pressure MPs OF ALL PARTIES who don't support a People's Vote and we praise and support those who do.
Bashing the entire Tory party an expecting to win over Tories is just bad strategy. (I'm not innocent of this, but still)
Bashing the entire Tory party an expecting to win over Tories is just bad strategy. (I'm not innocent of this, but still)
At #greenerUK #CPC18 fringe, @michaelgove in conversation with WWF’s @TanyaMSteele. Needless to say, the room is creaking at the seams! 
First time we’re hearing more detail on PM’s promised #environmentbill. Gove: as well as addressing #AirPollution it will tackle waste & resources to move us towards a #CircularEconomy
At the time of #climatechange Act, people were worried its ambitious targets would harm economic growth - quite the opposite has happened, says Gove #cpc18 #greenerUK
Mood #CPC18
Grassroots members who heard PM not convinced by Chequers, but want to stay loyal to PM and not impressed by Operation Boris and “deranged”, want to give her a chance after she said EU had to respond to her plans... one said “till October” - which is tomorrow.
Grassroots members who heard PM not convinced by Chequers, but want to stay loyal to PM and not impressed by Operation Boris and “deranged”, want to give her a chance after she said EU had to respond to her plans... one said “till October” - which is tomorrow.
Mood 2:
Two Tory MPs in Birmingham have now volunteered their fears about the effectiveness of that slick Labour ad/video on towns “Our Town” - being discussed on the Whatsapp group
Two Tory MPs in Birmingham have now volunteered their fears about the effectiveness of that slick Labour ad/video on towns “Our Town” - being discussed on the Whatsapp group
Mood 3:
Surprised by presence of more than a few Tories at nearby “People’s Vote” march - thought it would be mainly Libdems... adamant what appears self evident - theyve entirely lost their party - can be overturned... Number of their MPs backing is creeping up, tho still small.
Surprised by presence of more than a few Tories at nearby “People’s Vote” march - thought it would be mainly Libdems... adamant what appears self evident - theyve entirely lost their party - can be overturned... Number of their MPs backing is creeping up, tho still small.
At the “How can the Conservatives win back the under-45s?” Fringe. Average age of audience: 55. Number of bow ties: 2. #cpc18
Neil O’Brien says the Tories are now some 40 points behind Labour among young people. Says young voters were attracted by Corbyn’s offer of a “moon on a stick”. #cpc18
O’Brien says the Tories’ support among young voters is like a branch that has been rotting for years and has now finally broken. #CPC18
It's the main event at #cpc18 — the policy plenary. I'm going to do a few updates as interesting things come up.
Policy 1: Bring back Energy East. Big endorsement.
2: No national carbon price, leave environment policies to the provinces, no "federal interference or federal penalties or incentives." Basically the entire room votes for it.
2: No national carbon price, leave environment policies to the provinces, no "federal interference or federal penalties or incentives." Basically the entire room votes for it.
There's gonna be lots of other policies that are perfectly reasonable, but not terribly exciting — give the North more power to develop itself, simplify the tax code — if you want updates on those, I recommend watching CPAC.
Policy voting part of #CPC18 is about to get underway! Lots of excitement as delegates get in place. There'll be debate on @ErinOTooleMP's fav: CANZUK agreement and @denisebatters will speak in favour of resolution on MAID/euthanasia. Also on agenda: abortion, Energy East, etc.
@ErinOTooleMP @denisebatters Of course, a Tory favourite, delegates will be asked to weigh in on Liberal plan for a national price on carbon. Not to prejudge the outcome, but that one might be as sure a thing as any of them ;)
There are 30 policy proposals to get through so @CandiceBergenMP says they're going to run this "like a really tight ship," not a lot of time for chit-chat. #CPC18
Sharing my positive Conservative vision for Canada where taxes are low, government is limited, opportunity is equal, freedom is shared, and people are put first.
Canada’s Conservatives are strong, ready and here for Canada. #CPC18 pscp.tv/AndrewScheer/1…
Canada’s Conservatives are strong, ready and here for Canada. #CPC18 pscp.tv/AndrewScheer/1…
Thank you to the dozens of conservative leaders and elected officials from all parts of the country who are here.
We are certainly one big, strong, united, national Conservative party.
And next year, we will be a strong, stable, national Conservative majority government.
We are certainly one big, strong, united, national Conservative party.
And next year, we will be a strong, stable, national Conservative majority government.
If we can win a fair fight on our principles in Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, there is nowhere in this country we can’t win!
Good morning sports fans it's day two of the #cpc18. I'm not there yet, but my coverage is starting early thanks to internet feelers I put out yesterday. I'm hearing that axing supply management has been scheduled as the last policy vote in it's session.
And that because it's the last vote in the session party members are going to try and run the clock on the policy session so it never comes to a vote, and therefore is shot down without being explicitly voted against.
I'll try and chase that down once I'm actually there.
