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Austrian newspaper @derStandardat has some interesting data on voter motivations by party. #Thread #Austrianelections derstandard.at/story/20001091…
1.Although less prominently as in 2017, ÖVP is still very much the Kurz Party. Only party where leader is main reason for vote. Extremely strong mandate for Kurz, who can by and large do whatever he wants. 
2. SPÖ only has its traditional base left. No inspiring leader, no campaign themes, no new blood. It barely profits from opposition to failed right-wing government.
This prediction of #AustrianElections shows bigger loss for FPÖ (-10%) and, related, smaller gain for ÖVP (+5.7%) than earlier polls showed. Some quick thoughts. #Thread
1. Far right is not immune to scandals. FPÖ loses more than one-third of its 2017 support. That said, it has lost little compared to European elections of May (usually lower turnout).
2. Kurz is Teflon, like his Dutch idol Mark Rutte. Both brought far right into government, saw government break because of scandal (in Dutch case manufactured), and profited from it.
