Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ATACMSForUkraine
Most recents (13)
@POTUS @SecDef @JakeSullivan46 #AuthorizeUkraineNow!
Enough over the border attacks on Ukraine without @TDF_UA @CinC_AFU being able to take out these daily Russian threats with US weapon systems already given. #HIMARS
Enough over the border attacks on Ukraine without @TDF_UA @CinC_AFU being able to take out these daily Russian threats with US weapon systems already given. #HIMARS
This is f*cking nuts!
We all pressure our governments to give Ukraine more & better weapons, but we don’t do a damn thing to pressure them to give AFU & Territorial Defenses what they really need…
Authorization to use what we are already providing them!
Wake the fuck up!
We all pressure our governments to give Ukraine more & better weapons, but we don’t do a damn thing to pressure them to give AFU & Territorial Defenses what they really need…
Authorization to use what we are already providing them!
Wake the fuck up!
Ukraine’s defenders are forced to sit with their thumbs up their asses along 900km of their northern border as Russian rockets rain down nightly bc @POTUS won’t #AuthorizeUkraineNow!
Add another 800 km once the counter offensive starts & they regain ground.
And we say nothing!
Add another 800 km once the counter offensive starts & they regain ground.
And we say nothing!
1/ While 🇩🇪 defence minister did not say no yesterday, rather not yet, I think the #Leopard Plan as we conceived it in September 4 @ecfr is dead.
Why? A longer thread.
ecfr.eu/article/the-le…
Why? A longer thread.
ecfr.eu/article/the-le…
2/ The #Leopard2 is arguably the most prolific tank in Europe. However surplus and reserve tanks make up only a small part of the force.
They could be used to start training and introduce the tank into 🇺🇦 services, but to achieve a real effect in a long war, more ...
They could be used to start training and introduce the tank into 🇺🇦 services, but to achieve a real effect in a long war, more ...
3/ ... deliveries over the long run would be necessary.
This is still possible as the Leoprd is still in production, theoretically 3 sites (🇩🇪🇬🇷🇪🇦) could produce it and there are 🇪🇺 funds for joint procurement, hence states could replace donated vehicles.
But will they?
This is still possible as the Leoprd is still in production, theoretically 3 sites (🇩🇪🇬🇷🇪🇦) could produce it and there are 🇪🇺 funds for joint procurement, hence states could replace donated vehicles.
But will they?
Balance of power
This is a comparison of the available military power of Ukraine and Russia (according to open data) 1/17
#UkraineRussiaWar #RussiaInvadedUkraine #ATACMSForUkraine #OSINT
This is a comparison of the available military power of Ukraine and Russia (according to open data) 1/17
#UkraineRussiaWar #RussiaInvadedUkraine #ATACMSForUkraine #OSINT
2/17 Now I only have electricity for 4-6 hours a day, so I can't spend as much time on Twitter as I used to.
But I finally got to my calculations and clarified them to give you a clear picture (it may not be perfect and contain errors, like any analytics).
But I finally got to my calculations and clarified them to give you a clear picture (it may not be perfect and contain errors, like any analytics).
3/17 In general, the gap between Ukraine and Russia in military power is gradually decreasing.
This happens both because Russia has heavy losses and because Ukraine maintains or even strengthens its power due to the help of allies and war trophies.
This happens both because Russia has heavy losses and because Ukraine maintains or even strengthens its power due to the help of allies and war trophies.
1-7
Some people got *way* too anxious about the incident in Poland. Our govts take their time and consider scenarios before using force.
Decisions to use force are the decisions that are the most controlled in any state machinery.
Some people got *way* too anxious about the incident in Poland. Our govts take their time and consider scenarios before using force.
Decisions to use force are the decisions that are the most controlled in any state machinery.
2-7
We did not come close to some runaway escalation, because escalation is not an unpredictable volcano, but a sequence of deliberate state decisions that one can easily back out of if one doesn't want to pursue them.
We did not come close to some runaway escalation, because escalation is not an unpredictable volcano, but a sequence of deliberate state decisions that one can easily back out of if one doesn't want to pursue them.
3-7
The reason why some people get very nervous around Russia is not because there's a magical force of nature called "escalation" that can burst into flames if you sneeze the wrong way.
People get nervous around Russia because it is a massively aggressive and criminal state.
The reason why some people get very nervous around Russia is not because there's a magical force of nature called "escalation" that can burst into flames if you sneeze the wrong way.
People get nervous around Russia because it is a massively aggressive and criminal state.
1-7
Why we should supply #ATACMS to Ukraine now.
Every era brings forth new threats and new responses to them.
In 1942, Britain responded to German terror with massive retaliatory air raids.
Today, Ukraine needs a response against Russian terror, too.
Why we should supply #ATACMS to Ukraine now.
Every era brings forth new threats and new responses to them.
In 1942, Britain responded to German terror with massive retaliatory air raids.
Today, Ukraine needs a response against Russian terror, too.
2-7
There must come a day when a Ukrainian leader is able to say:
"The Russians entered this war under the rather childish delusion that they were going to bomb everybody else, and nobody was going to bomb them. At Kharkiv, Kyiv, Odesa, and half a hundred other places..."
There must come a day when a Ukrainian leader is able to say:
"The Russians entered this war under the rather childish delusion that they were going to bomb everybody else, and nobody was going to bomb them. At Kharkiv, Kyiv, Odesa, and half a hundred other places..."
3-7
"... they put that rather naive theory into operation. They sowed the wind. And now they are going to reap the whirlwind."
"... they put that rather naive theory into operation. They sowed the wind. And now they are going to reap the whirlwind."
The number of weapons that the West has/supplies to Ukraine
How many Western countries have weapons and how many of these weapons were transferred to Ukraine during the 8 months of the war?
1/17
#russianinvasion #UkraineRussiaWar #Artillery #atacmsforukraine
How many Western countries have weapons and how many of these weapons were transferred to Ukraine during the 8 months of the war?
1/17
#russianinvasion #UkraineRussiaWar #Artillery #atacmsforukraine
2/17 NATO transferred 1.4-3.6% of its heavy weapons systems to Ukraine. The highest percentage is for artillery - about 3.6%.
3/ The need for artillery remains the most acute because Ukraine has minimal stocks of shells for Soviet artillery systems of 122/152mm caliber.
The transition to NATO artillery began in April. And in half a year, Ukraine received about 400 artillery systems of 105/155mm caliber
The transition to NATO artillery began in April. And in half a year, Ukraine received about 400 artillery systems of 105/155mm caliber
1/12 Update 🧵 about the suspected drone launch site in Mayak, Crimea.Two weeks ago i published an article about Mayak radar station in which research & sat. images showed Mayak radar station in Crimea was the most likely source of drone attacks on Odessa
2/12 in this 🧵 further evidence was found to support the claim of this being the launch point of the Shahed-136 drones, further information (#OSINT & #HUMINT) revealed that Iranian instructors/operators are also present at Dzankoj airport (read 🧵 ⬇️)
3/12 We were able to obtain new high res. 🛰 imagery(30 cm) from the Mayak site, which indefinitly proves the presence of the launchers there. It also shows the kind of setup they will probably use when they know they are out of reach of UA forces and under the umbrella of 🇷🇺 AD
short RAGE thread: there is a video going around of Ukrainian soldiers getting ambushed. it's fine. nobody dies. they react and deal with it. it's uneventful. it still makes my fucking blood boil. they dismount from a wooden truck bed. aaaaand...
THAT RESEMBLES MYANMAR REBELS MORE THAN A NATO PARTNER. for some reason western governments are incredibly BITCHMADE about supplying decent armored personnel carriers & infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine. modern ones. good ones. vehicles that protect & fuck shit up.
so you have Ukrainians dismounting from wooden truck beds & charging into the flatlands of Kherson with Humvees & M113s. Oh and MRAPs. it's kind of shameful.
The massed attacks on #Ukraine today again raises the question about different approaches to managing the long-range ballistic and cruise missile threat. 🧵
I am not claiming to have written the book on the topic, but I did write a chapter with that headline for the Swedish Defence Research Agency (@FOIresearch) a few years ago, so I have given it some thought. The tl;dr version is that it's hard. foi.se/en/foi/news-an…
Gigachad Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi and Lieutenant General Mykhailo Zabrodskyi call for ATACMS and other long-range strike assets in order to negate Russia's true "Center of Gravity" and end the war.
Nothing else will do it. ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/356…
Nothing else will do it. ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/356…
"It’s precisely this [long-range strike] capability that should be considered as the Russian army’s Center of Gravity from a military standpoint. As long as the current situation persists, this war can last for years."
"Russia’s...Center of Gravity...lies in the war’s 'remote' nature for most average Russians. Thanks to this lack of proximity, they perceive not so painfully all the losses, failures, and...costs of this war in all its senses."
#ATACMSforUkraine
#ATACMSforUkraine
1/17 A war that the world has not seen for a long time...
#RussianUkrainianWar #ATACMSForUkraine #OSINT @TheStudyofWar @McFaul @AlexKokcharov @KofmanMichael @shashj @general_ben @apmassaro3 #Oryx
#RussianUkrainianWar #ATACMSForUkraine #OSINT @TheStudyofWar @McFaul @AlexKokcharov @KofmanMichael @shashj @general_ben @apmassaro3 #Oryx
2/17 Russia's war against Ukraine seems to many people to be local and not too big on a global scale. But if we compare it with World Wars І and II, then in terms of the level of destruction of artillery, Russia is not inferior to the artillery of the USSR in 1941-1942.
3/17 If you divide it by the length of the front line, then the destruction caused by Russian artillery is comparable to the scale of the destruction of Hitler's army in 1941-1944.
We see one of the most destructive wars right now. And it is difficult to call it a local conflict.
We see one of the most destructive wars right now. And it is difficult to call it a local conflict.
1/ Actually I do have a map for that too.
I made it a while ago..but did not show because they were not confirmed.
But here you go if you want to "see" from what distance/area it would be "safe" to launched them and moving forward..
NB. This map is not
#ATACMSForUkraine #ATACMS
I made it a while ago..but did not show because they were not confirmed.
But here you go if you want to "see" from what distance/area it would be "safe" to launched them and moving forward..
NB. This map is not
#ATACMSForUkraine #ATACMS
2/ is not showing like some "civilians" ('im one now though!) tried to show back then for "attacking Russians everywhere on their territory, which makes no sense
it shows what would be a good "zone" from where u can operate (or south of Odessa if Crimea is targeted) in a relative
it shows what would be a good "zone" from where u can operate (or south of Odessa if Crimea is targeted) in a relative
3/ "safe" environnement (from the river and distance and you can create a "bubble" or an Iron Dome there if you want)
note that ATACMS would reach target in less than 7 min (4-5' for radar detection) but a Ru jet at 800km/h needs 22 minutes to do the reach the area...
even a
note that ATACMS would reach target in less than 7 min (4-5' for radar detection) but a Ru jet at 800km/h needs 22 minutes to do the reach the area...
even a
📍Ukraine, NOW
Russians are killing our children. Russians rape our women. Russians kill Ukrainian prisoners. It happens every day. Please help us stop this.
#GenocideOfUkrainians #ATACMSForUkraine #Olenivka #Kharkiv #russiaisaterrorisstate #HelpUkraine #RussianUkrainianWar
Russians are killing our children. Russians rape our women. Russians kill Ukrainian prisoners. It happens every day. Please help us stop this.
#GenocideOfUkrainians #ATACMSForUkraine #Olenivka #Kharkiv #russiaisaterrorisstate #HelpUkraine #RussianUkrainianWar
