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2023 #abvotes Prediction:
Some explanations first. There are 22 ridings āin-playā. 15 in Calgary and 7 elsewhere.
For safe ridings, UCP leads 37-28.
#ableg #abpoli
Some explanations first. There are 22 ridings āin-playā. 15 in Calgary and 7 elsewhere.
For safe ridings, UCP leads 37-28.
#ableg #abpoli
With decent confidence, I feel NDP will take Slave Lake, Banff-Kan, Sherwood Park, Strathcona-SP, Lethbridge East, Morinville-StA and 6 more in Calgary. UCP takes FtSk-Veg and 3 more in Calgary.
This brings us down to a virtual tie and 6 tight Cgy seats up for grabs.
#abvote
This brings us down to a virtual tie and 6 tight Cgy seats up for grabs.
#abvote
To call the next 6, I assumed the UCP are up by 3 in Calgary. I looked at 2019 results plus Abacus data on vote retention from 2019.
Hereās the thing. All of these ridings had strong Alberta Party support in 2019. With ABP vote collapsing, I see all 6 being close, but going NDP
Hereās the thing. All of these ridings had strong Alberta Party support in 2019. With ABP vote collapsing, I see all 6 being close, but going NDP
Thinking of voting UCP ābecause of the economyā? Think again! New study shows UCPās ātrickle downā policies have hurt, not helped the Alberta economy. Wage growth, economic growth, investment all dismal under UCP. #abvotes #FireTheUCP #abpoli #abvote action.afl.org/press-release-ā¦
Under the UCP, Alberta had the lowest wage growth in Canada.
Under the UCP, wages fell farther behind inflation than any other province.
š§µI may be just a second grade teacher, but Iām also an Albertan who has thoughts and experiences with public education. Check them out here: bit.ly/3q4Y9zJ #abed #ableg #abvote #firetheucp #abetterfuture
Over four years in government, the UCP have failed to lower surgery wait times and theyāve actually increased, according to data available from the Government of Alberta. š§µ
#ableg #abhealth #abvote #abelxn23 #cdnhealth
#ableg #abhealth #abvote #abelxn23 #cdnhealth
According to the Governmentās own data:
More than 70,000 Albertans were waiting for surgeries in May 2019. That number has increased to 74,000 as of February 2023.
More than 70,000 Albertans were waiting for surgeries in May 2019. That number has increased to 74,000 as of February 2023.
According to the Governmentās own data:
From April 2019 to January 2023, median wait times have increased for hip replacements from 18.7 to 26.3 weeks and knee replacements have increased from 20.6 weeks to 36.9 weeks.
From April 2019 to January 2023, median wait times have increased for hip replacements from 18.7 to 26.3 weeks and knee replacements have increased from 20.6 weeks to 36.9 weeks.
With #ResignKenney continuing to trend, I want to talk a bit about what realistic options Albertans have for holding this govt accountable.
Let's be clear about one thing - there is no way Kenney will choose to resign. There are, however, other ways to take down a leader [1/8]
Let's be clear about one thing - there is no way Kenney will choose to resign. There are, however, other ways to take down a leader [1/8]
that has lost the moral authority to govern.
The typical process is to simply vote their party out in the next election. Unfortunately, the next #abvote is not until spring 2023, so w/ their legislative majority, we are likely stuck with the UCP for another 2 full years [2/8]
The typical process is to simply vote their party out in the next election. Unfortunately, the next #abvote is not until spring 2023, so w/ their legislative majority, we are likely stuck with the UCP for another 2 full years [2/8]
BUT WAIT!
That doesn't mean it isn't possible to force an election sooner or remove Kenney as Premier! Let's talk about how this could work.
There are 2 feasible scenarios, both of which involve UCP MLA's breaking ranks with their party.
To force an early election, we [3/8]
That doesn't mean it isn't possible to force an election sooner or remove Kenney as Premier! Let's talk about how this could work.
There are 2 feasible scenarios, both of which involve UCP MLA's breaking ranks with their party.
To force an early election, we [3/8]
Congratulations Alberta on another democratic process. Moving forward into the next 4 years will likely be an interesting time. We welcome back our MLA @SPhillipsAB and look forward to another 4 years working with you! #ABVOTE
We know that party politics create interesting discourse. Whether you are a fan of tonight's results or not, the citizenry still has a job to do: hold our elected officials accountable to their promises.
We hope our new government will continue the good works of environmental programs and sustainability incentives started under previous governments. We hope that sound economic policies will lead AB to a prosperous future.
Today all Albertans will have an opportunity to decide who they would like to serve them for the next four years.
This decision should not be taken lightly. The people we elect to serve us will send a clear message to others what our collective priorities are. #abvote #abpoli
This decision should not be taken lightly. The people we elect to serve us will send a clear message to others what our collective priorities are. #abvote #abpoli
For many, the primary issue will be the economy. I canāt fault someone for prioritizing that. There are some communities that have been hit harder than others and addressing that concern may be the most important and immediate issue for them.
I completely understand why someone would focus on the economy because for most of my life, I have put the economy above any other issue.
1/14 This is the last post Iāll write on the Alberta election before we know the outcome. There will of course be a lot to say after the results come in tomorrow, and we can analyze exit polls and voting demographics in the days and weeks that follow. #ABvote #ABPoli
2/14 Iāll start by saying that I respect Stephen Mandel and David Khan as party leaders. I have friends working and volunteering on the @AlbertaParty, Green Party, and @ABLiberal campaigns, and I know they care as much about this province as I do.
3/14 Still, I voted without hesitation in advance polls for @RachelNotley and @albertaNDP.
When we intentionally vote for ppl we know are corrupt, what do we say to politicians about whatās allowable?
When we then complain about the inevitable corruption, where will our firm footing be? We are the one who lifted them to office.
Vote how you want, of course.
#abvote
When we then complain about the inevitable corruption, where will our firm footing be? We are the one who lifted them to office.
Vote how you want, of course.
#abvote
And of course, if you think Iām targeting a particular party, note that I havenāt.
Your interpretation may tell you all you need to know about your #abvote choices.
Iām happy to support both compassion & a growing economy. It can be both. It needs to be for our communities.
Your interpretation may tell you all you need to know about your #abvote choices.
Iām happy to support both compassion & a growing economy. It can be both. It needs to be for our communities.
A quick tip from our fine @EndPovertyYEG folks ā who have numbers:
It is far cheaper to deal with social issues than to NOT deal with them.
Want a strong economy? Give strength to your neighbour.
These are the sensible values that built our province.
#abvote
It is far cheaper to deal with social issues than to NOT deal with them.
Want a strong economy? Give strength to your neighbour.
These are the sensible values that built our province.
#abvote
Iām calling BS on Jason Kenney. This chart shows the REAL cause of our economic pain: the US fracking boom, which has transformed global oil markets. Anyone who ignores this reality is either a grifter or an idiot. (THREAD) #ableg #abpoli #abvote
OK Alberta, come with me for an explainer on how Overtime works in Alberta... and how @jkenney @Alberta_UCP is lying to you when they say their overtime changes won't cost you and your family.
This is important to every single hardworking Albertan. 1/?
#ableg #abvote
This is important to every single hardworking Albertan. 1/?
#ableg #abvote
Overtime rules in Alberta are pretty basic, for the most part. Overtime is all hours worked in excess of eight hours a day, or 44 hours a week, whichever is greater. (Toolkit, Page 21) #ableg #abvote
alberta.ca/assets/documenā¦
alberta.ca/assets/documenā¦
There are some jobs in some industries where exceptions make sense, either for safety or for our economy. Ambulance attendants for example. (Toolkit, Page 27) alberta.ca/assets/documenā¦ #ableg #abvote
All right, so this is gunna be a bit of a long thread. Because at this point, I'm really kind of pissed off. So bear with me.
Would a few people voting UCP maybe like to look again in that mirror that Premier Prentice offered us in 2015? No. Really. #ableg #abvote
Would a few people voting UCP maybe like to look again in that mirror that Premier Prentice offered us in 2015? No. Really. #ableg #abvote
1) Where do people get the idea that Jason Kenney and the UCP are the strongest ballot choice in terms of Albertaās economic future? A thread. #abpoli #vote2019
2) World price of oil has swung up / down from US$28Ā to more than $110/barrel in recent yrs, yet Kenney pins oil-producing AB economic struggles squarely on Notley. Thatās an easy claim to make, & convenient that he need not prove how he or his Party would have done any better.
Funny story: this is the first time I will be voting. Why? I took the idea of journalistic integrity as a reporter & news director seriously. Even though it's a secret ballot, I felt it was important to not let my personal beliefs affect my coverage. #ABvote #ABleg
THREAD (1/10) During last nightās debate, NDP leader Rachel Notley again denied any responsibility for the failure of Enbridgeās Northern Gateway, and claimed the Federal Court of Appeal is why the pipeline didnāt go ahead.
This is all false. Here are the facts #ableg #abvote
This is all false. Here are the facts #ableg #abvote
(2/10) Rachel Notley opposed the Northern Gateway pipeline. She specifically told the Calgary Heraldās editorial board in April 2015 that she wouldnāt fight for it, saying "I don't think there's any point to it." This was well before the FCA decision: calgaryherald.com/news/politics/ā¦
(3/10) Justin Trudeau had already committed to scrapping the project. In 2014, on the day the former federal Conservative government approved the project, he announced that heād stop the 525,000 barrel per day pipeline:
THREAD
After looking at the platforms, additional information and the leaders debate this is what I am let with. ALL parties will be running a deficit. Oil revenue paid for a lot of things which allowed us to have low taxes 1/ 18
#abvote #abpoli #shpk #yeg #yyc #strathco
After looking at the platforms, additional information and the leaders debate this is what I am let with. ALL parties will be running a deficit. Oil revenue paid for a lot of things which allowed us to have low taxes 1/ 18
#abvote #abpoli #shpk #yeg #yyc #strathco
Oil prices crash, we have been through this often. And every time it happens it is the same. Jobs are lost, people's lives go off the rails and the Alberta economy crashes. This time is no different than the last time or the time before. We have some hard choices to make 2/18
Hi again, Duncan.
As I just told you on the phone, Iām grateful that you picked up & took my call but I was pretty surprised when you hung up on me.
As I said, I would like to ask you to please post the financial statements for @ProgressAlberta at your website.
@duncankinney
As I just told you on the phone, Iām grateful that you picked up & took my call but I was pretty surprised when you hung up on me.
As I said, I would like to ask you to please post the financial statements for @ProgressAlberta at your website.
@duncankinney
Duncan,
As I said on the phone, I notice that @ProgressAlberta has been funded via Tides as part of The Tar Sands Campaign to LAND-LOCK Canadian oil & keep it out of overseas markets.
2016: US$38,599
2017: US$24,282
Tax records attached.
My questions are ...
As I said on the phone, I notice that @ProgressAlberta has been funded via Tides as part of The Tar Sands Campaign to LAND-LOCK Canadian oil & keep it out of overseas markets.
2016: US$38,599
2017: US$24,282
Tax records attached.
My questions are ...
.... Duncan,
1) Has @ProgressAlberta received $ from:
- New Venture Fund
- Tides Canada Initiatives
- Renew Canada
2) Would you pls post financial statements for @ProgressAlberta on-line?
Given that you are campaigning hard, these are fair questions, no?
@duncankinney #abvote
1) Has @ProgressAlberta received $ from:
- New Venture Fund
- Tides Canada Initiatives
- Renew Canada
2) Would you pls post financial statements for @ProgressAlberta on-line?
Given that you are campaigning hard, these are fair questions, no?
@duncankinney #abvote
This is an interesting poll, and like all the other more-recent polls, it has some wrinkles that deserve to be unpacked.
#ableg #abvote #abpoli
#ableg #abvote #abpoli
Kenney is in Turner Vallery today to speak on energy sector job creation. As is the trend with #abvote campaign events from all parties (I believe Notley was 40 min late the other day? Quite the dillydallying), he is late. And no, I will never tire of pointing this out. #ableg
Hello #abvote pals! This afternoon, ex-@Alberta_UCP leadership candidate Jeff Callaway (& others) will ask a judge to halt the election commissionerās investigation into his campaign. Iāll tweet from court, follow along here. Background: thestar.com/calgary/2019/0ā¦ #ableg #abpoli
The hearing is set for 2 p.m. If youāre wondering what the heck Iām talking about, you can get caught up with the latest on this here: thestar.com/edmonton/2019/ā¦ #abvote #abpoli #ableg
Of note: this hearing is about the election commissionerās investigation. We know the RCMP are also looking into aspects of Callawayās campaign, but as far as I know, weāre not here to talk about that. Just election commissioner.
2/ Every year, the Canadian Energy Research Institute publishes its annual Oil Sands Supply Cost study, often with meagre fanfare and media coverage. You can find their studies here:
ceri.ca/studies
ceri.ca/studies
Do you like having money? Then you definitely want to vote for *anyone* other than Jason Kenneyās UCP. Kenneyās just-released platform confirms that he intends to take a boatload of money out of *your* wallet and give to his friends:
#ableg #abvote #abpoli
#ableg #abvote #abpoli
So, it looks like itās not going to be a coronation, after all! A large poll conducted by EKOS for Unifor suggests that the wheels are starting to fall off Kenneyās wagon. #ableg #abpoli #abvote #yyc #yeg
The NDP has strengthened its lead in Edmonton and closed the gap in Calgary.
Also, a clear majority of Albertans now pick Notley as the ābest Premierā over Kenney.
Now Iām over at the Alberta Teachers Association where theyāll be addressing some issues in the @Alberta_UCP education platform. #ableg #abvote
