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In the Gulf of Mexico, #99L's track will be set in part by its intensity.
An area-averaged sounding around the storm reveals subtle differences in low vs mid/upper-level steering.
A stronger storm wld feel SSE winds ~300mb and move more to the N resulting in landfall farther E.
An area-averaged sounding around the storm reveals subtle differences in low vs mid/upper-level steering.
A stronger storm wld feel SSE winds ~300mb and move more to the N resulting in landfall farther E.
With ocean temperatures approaching 30C, no dry air in sight and near total command of the upper-level wind field, it's honestly hard to see a scenario where #99L doesn't rapidly intensify in the Gulf.
So watch out for potential further shifts east in the forecast track.
So watch out for potential further shifts east in the forecast track.
