Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Euco
Most recents (24)
Can the EU cancel the Hungarian Presidency of the Council of the EU?
A 🧵 based on the @ComMeijers study and draft forthcoming EU Parliament resolution
#EUCO #Hungary @HungaryintheEU
A 🧵 based on the @ComMeijers study and draft forthcoming EU Parliament resolution
#EUCO #Hungary @HungaryintheEU
1. Despite not being expressly foreseen, the possibility of postponing the Hungarian Presidency of the Council of the Union may reveal as one of the most effective approaches to make Hungary abide by its rule of law obligations #EUCO #RuleOfLaw
2. Considering that the Hungarian Presidency is set to kick in right after the next EU Parliament elections at the time of the top appointments, the case for postponement or suspension of the presidency is set to acquire some political momentum. The following Presidency will be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
💥 Breaking
The EU Parliament set to prevent Hungary to hold the presidency of the Council, given its well established departure from the EU foundational values and ‘rules of the game’
#euco #RuleOfLaw @GoodLobbyProfs
The EU Parliament set to prevent Hungary to hold the presidency of the Council, given its well established departure from the EU foundational values and ‘rules of the game’
#euco #RuleOfLaw @GoodLobbyProfs
There appears to be an irreconcilable conflict between holding the presidency of the Council and being subject to:
- Art 7(1) TEU procedure
- suspensions of EU funds
How can the Hungarian government guarantee the proper functioning of the Council?
#EUCO #hungarianpresidency
- Art 7(1) TEU procedure
- suspensions of EU funds
How can the Hungarian government guarantee the proper functioning of the Council?
#EUCO #hungarianpresidency
We may expect the EU Parliament asking - through as resolution - #EUCO to rearrange modalities of the Hungarian presidency, or ongoing troika (Belgium+Spain) to alter the conditions of their internal arrangements…
Towards a depotentiated semester or postponed one?
More in… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Towards a depotentiated semester or postponed one?
More in… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Yday, 650km to the east from #MSC23 in Budapest’s fancy Várkert Bazár 🇭🇺 PM #Orbán delivered his grandiose state of the nation speech
Quick #Thread 🧵 on what caught my attention as I am reading it - buckle your seats 🎡🔍
1/16
hungarytoday.hu/viktor-orban-h…
Quick #Thread 🧵 on what caught my attention as I am reading it - buckle your seats 🎡🔍
1/16
hungarytoday.hu/viktor-orban-h…
Already the greetings: 2 ex-Presidents (the current one was at the MSC) w/ their wifes, Mr. Speaker & “leaders of Hungarian communities from beyond our borders”
State of the country speech also aimed at ethnic HU minorities around 🇭🇺? (even if many dual citizenships)
2/16
State of the country speech also aimed at ethnic HU minorities around 🇭🇺? (even if many dual citizenships)
2/16
The initial 3-4 pages (!) of the speech -> PM Orban lamenting how external disruptions derailed his beautiful recovery plan for a new HU economy (covid, war, sanctions, inflation)
@dgapev @VisegradInsight
3/16
@dgapev @VisegradInsight
3/16
Was lässt sich vom #EUCO mitnehmen? Mit Grenzschutz & Rückführungen stehen die gleichen Themen im Fokus wie meistens wenn die EU Spitzen über #Migration beraten.
Warum das gerade jetzt fatal ist & wieso die EU ihre Migrationsdiplomatie erneuern muss 🧵👇
consilium.europa.eu/media/61997/20…
Warum das gerade jetzt fatal ist & wieso die EU ihre Migrationsdiplomatie erneuern muss 🧵👇
consilium.europa.eu/media/61997/20…
1/ Zwei Punkte stehen wie vorher erwartet im Fokus: die Forderung nach dem Bau von Zäunen entlang der EU-Außengrenze & der Einsatz negativer Sanktion in der Visa- und Handelspolitik für Drittstaaten die nach Ermessen der EU nicht ausreichend im Bereich Rückführungen kooperieren.
2/ Die Forderung nach Grenzzäunen ist nicht neu & hat hohen symbolischen Wert. Seit 2014 ist die Länge von Grenzmauern in der EU von 315km auf 2.048km gestiegen.
Tatsächlich können Zäune/Mauern die Zahl irregulärer Grenzübertritte kurzfristig reduzieren.
Tatsächlich können Zäune/Mauern die Zahl irregulärer Grenzübertritte kurzfristig reduzieren.
Have you also wondered how much funding the EU would need to “match” the US’ Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) subsidies to clean tech manufacturing? A quick thread with one clue #EUCO
Let’s take the production of Li-Ion battery cells, one of the most affected key sectors. Chart shows projected European demand and supply (incl. UK, Norway), from an excellent T&E report.
The US’ IRA offers a subsidy of $35/kWh for battery cells produced up to 2030, phasing down by 2032. Producers can get more with modules and critical minerals, but let’s stick with the cell subsidy.
Taoiseach @LeoVaradkar says negotiations on EU accession for Ukraine should begin by the end of the year.
2/ Arriving at the #EUCO in Brussels he said: “Obviously, Ukraine has to meet the criteria. But we've all been enormously impressed about how the Ukrainian government and the Ukrainian people are doing everything they can to meet the test or membership.
3/ “I don't think we should dilute those tests but if Ukraine satisfies the criteria for membership, then we should advance their application.”
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 295 - Iniciamos #hilo sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania.
🟥 Los 🇺🇸 #EEUU se están planteando enviar kits #JDAM 💥 a Ucrania, lo que multiplicaría la eficacia de su aviación, dada la precisión de estos 🎯.
🟥 ¡Comparte!
washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
🟥 Los 🇺🇸 #EEUU se están planteando enviar kits #JDAM 💥 a Ucrania, lo que multiplicaría la eficacia de su aviación, dada la precisión de estos 🎯.
🟥 ¡Comparte!
washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 295 - Este es, para quien no lo haya podido leer todavía, nuestro informe diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania correspondiente a la jornada 240ª de guerra, miércoles 14 de diciembre de 2022.
revistaejercitos.com/2022/12/14/gue…
revistaejercitos.com/2022/12/14/gue…
1/7 Orbán had a bad week with signs of economic meltdown and miscalculations about the fight with the EU. The consequences could be far reaching.
- On Monday, Orbán ally, National Bank boss Matolcsy blamed "mistakes" for the weakness of the "vulnerable" economy.
- On Monday, Orbán ally, National Bank boss Matolcsy blamed "mistakes" for the weakness of the "vulnerable" economy.
On Tuesday Tuesday Hungary vetoed the EU's 18bln aid plan for Ukraine. As a direct consequence, Ecofin postponed the approval of Hungary's recovery plan + also no decision on the development funds. The veto was seen in Brussels as a show of force in the budget fight.
Also on Tuesday, at 22,30 Hu gov announced the end of the domestic fuel price cap, that limited fuel prices at around 1,2 euros/litre. Keeping prices low was a cornerstone of the Orbanomics, but resulted in chaos as supplies dried up. The government is blaming EU oil sanctions.
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 287 - Comenzamos #hilo sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania con este Gepard alemán donado a Ucrania.
🟥 La compra de @EXPALSystems por @RheinmetallAG permitirá sortear la negativa #Suiza al envío de munición de 35mm para los Gepard.
🟥 La compra de @EXPALSystems por @RheinmetallAG permitirá sortear la negativa #Suiza al envío de munición de 35mm para los Gepard.
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 287 - Este es, para quien no lo haya leído, nuestro informe diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania correspondiente a la jornada de ayer, martes 6 de diciembre de 2022.
revistaejercitos.com/2022/12/06/gue…
revistaejercitos.com/2022/12/06/gue…
NOW: Hungary keeps blocking 18bn package for Ukraine
Experts (EFC) will work now to find 'Plan B' to release some funds for Kyiv in Jan. without amending EU budget rules (using headroom of budget vetoed by Budapest).
We'll wrap up this 2022 by having an Orban show next week #EUCO
Experts (EFC) will work now to find 'Plan B' to release some funds for Kyiv in Jan. without amending EU budget rules (using headroom of budget vetoed by Budapest).
We'll wrap up this 2022 by having an Orban show next week #EUCO
EU finance ministers also postponed decision on suspension of up to €7.5bn of Hungary’s EU funds. If Orban raises this issue to EUCO, he’d gain more time to keep reducing bill by concluding outstanding measures & using Pillar2/Ukraine as leverage.
Ecofin on 19? (Super tight)
Ecofin on 19? (Super tight)
But Orban needs member states’ approval of its €5.8bn recovery fund by end-year or risks losing 70% of the money. Plus markets are looking very closely. So even if he plays the victim role (EC’s disproportionate decision on €7.5bn etc…) he cannot overplay his hand.
The @EU_Commission presented its latest assessment about the #Hungarian Potemkin #AntiCorruption package on November 30. #Germany, #France & #Italy asking the #Commission a couple of days later to do the same again is a slap in the face of the Commission, @Europarl_EN
THREAD 1/7
THREAD 1/7
2/7
the German @Bundestag, which asked the #Bundesregierung to take a hard stance in this matter, and the #RuleOfLaw in general.
bundestag.de/dokumente/text…
the German @Bundestag, which asked the #Bundesregierung to take a hard stance in this matter, and the #RuleOfLaw in general.
bundestag.de/dokumente/text…
3/7
Escalating the issue to the #EUCO is also a wrong move.
The decision under the #ConditionalityRegulation about the suspension of EUR 7.5bn #CohesionFunds & the approval of the #Hungarian recovery plan should be solved in #ECOFIN with #QMV.
Escalating the issue to the #EUCO is also a wrong move.
The decision under the #ConditionalityRegulation about the suspension of EUR 7.5bn #CohesionFunds & the approval of the #Hungarian recovery plan should be solved in #ECOFIN with #QMV.
🧵Conclusioni dell'#EUCO di stanotte.
1) Acquisto congiunto volontario di gas + rinegoziazione con attuali fornitori di lungo periodo per provare ad abbassare i prezzi: bene per 🇩🇪
2) Nuovo benchmark per prezzi LNG che viene acquistato da soggetti Ue, separando così il mercato
1) Acquisto congiunto volontario di gas + rinegoziazione con attuali fornitori di lungo periodo per provare ad abbassare i prezzi: bene per 🇩🇪
2) Nuovo benchmark per prezzi LNG che viene acquistato da soggetti Ue, separando così il mercato
gasdotti dal mercato LNG: effetti sul prezzo tutti da valutare.
3) Corridoio dinamico di prezzo, temporaneo, con le condizioni capestro già fissate ex art. 23 del progetto di regolamento: se mai vedrà la luce avrà l'effetto di tagliare gli approvvigionamenti.
4) Quadro temporaneo
3) Corridoio dinamico di prezzo, temporaneo, con le condizioni capestro già fissate ex art. 23 del progetto di regolamento: se mai vedrà la luce avrà l'effetto di tagliare gli approvvigionamenti.
4) Quadro temporaneo
per price cap su generazione elettrica, come Spagna, a condizione che prevenga aumento consumi di gas e non porti turbativa ai flussi transfrontalieri: se mai vedrà la luce, favorisce chi ha tanto rinnovabile, quindi aumentano differenziali di prezzo (e di inflazione) ad esempio
Le couple franco-allemand explose. Paris et Berlin ont décidé de faire un break. Sommet annulé, reporté à l'année prochaine. En cause : la 1ère. Un manque d'affinité, de confiance entre les deux dirigeants @Bundeskanzler O. Scholz et @EmmanuelMacron #EUCO Thread 1...
Ensuite les dossiers, La Défense est le + délicat. Sur les projets communs (Mgcs, patrouille maritime, Tigre etc.), il n'en reste + qu'un (Scaf) et encore ! Berlin a fait défection sur l'hypersonique et lance son bouclier anti-missile perso avec Nord et Est Europe. 2...
Mais la question est + profonde. En injectant 100 milliards € dans son armée et donc son industrie de défense, l'Allemagne donne un coup de boost que la France a du mal à suivre. Elle prend la tête du peloton européen de La Défense. Difficile à digérer. 3...
Vom Treffen der #EPG und des #EUCO in Prag geht ein klares Signal aus: Die Staaten Europas stehen fest an der Seite der Ukraine. Niemand von uns akzeptiert die fadenscheinige Versuche Russlands, sich Teile der Ukraine völkerrechtswidrig unter den Nagel zu reißen. 1/3
Dazu passt auch der sehr verdiente #Friedensnobelpreis für @EnMemorial in Russland, das Center for Civil Liberties @ccl_ua in der Ukraine und den Menschenrechtsanwalt Ales Bjaljazki @viasna96 in Belarus. Sie kämpfen mit Mut, Leidenschaft und Klarheit für Freiheit und Recht. 2/3
Die Gaspreise müssen runter. Wir werden alle Vorschläge prüfen, die helfen. Im #EUCO habe ich erklärt, wie unser #Abwehrschirm im europäischen Kontext dasteht, um Missverständnisse auszuräumen. Er ist wichtig, um unsere Bürgerinnen und Bürger und Unternehmen zu entlasten. 3/3
🚨Breaking 🚨
The EU Commission proposes - for the 1st time in its history - to suspend the disbursement of 65% of EU funds due to #Hungary in effort to protect #ruleoflaw (loopholes remain)
Now EU-26 must approve it at QMV (unlike under Art 7 #Poland can’t veto it)
The EU Commission proposes - for the 1st time in its history - to suspend the disbursement of 65% of EU funds due to #Hungary in effort to protect #ruleoflaw (loopholes remain)
Now EU-26 must approve it at QMV (unlike under Art 7 #Poland can’t veto it)
Why does the EU suddenly threaten #Hungary with (partial) suspension of EU funds?
(Spoiler: To save everyone’s face)
1. EU leaders show to the public to remain in control vis-à-vis autocratic #Hungary
2. to then approve #Hungary recovery plan (only remaining unapproved)
(Spoiler: To save everyone’s face)
1. EU leaders show to the public to remain in control vis-à-vis autocratic #Hungary
2. to then approve #Hungary recovery plan (only remaining unapproved)
Today’s EU Commission proposal to suspend EU funds to #hungary originates in #EUCO back in Dec ‘20 that broke deal re: #NextGenerationEU
That ‘deal with the Devil’ put EU into a bind : gaining the power to formally suspend funds meant to turn a blind eye to major breaches
That ‘deal with the Devil’ put EU into a bind : gaining the power to formally suspend funds meant to turn a blind eye to major breaches
BREAKING: #Ukraine has just been given EU candidate status
Following the approval of candidacy status, President Zelensky has just dialed in to speak to the 27 EU leaders by video at #EUCO.
He is speaking to them now.
He is speaking to them now.
Agreement. #EUCO has just decided EU candidate status to Ukraine and Moldova.
A historic moment.
Today marks a crucial step on your path towards the EU.
Congratulations @ZelenskyyUa and @sandumaiamd and the people of Ukraine 🇺🇦 and 🇲🇩
Our future is together.
A historic moment.
Today marks a crucial step on your path towards the EU.
Congratulations @ZelenskyyUa and @sandumaiamd and the people of Ukraine 🇺🇦 and 🇲🇩
Our future is together.
Погоджено! #EUCO щойно ухвалила рішення про надання статусу кандидата до ЄС Україні та Молдові.
Історичний момент!
Сьогодні – віховий крок на вашому шляху до ЄС.
Вітаю @ZelenskyyUa і @sandumaiamd, а також народи України🇺🇦 і Молдови🇲🇩
Наше майбутнє – разом!
Історичний момент!
Сьогодні – віховий крок на вашому шляху до ЄС.
Вітаю @ZelenskyyUa і @sandumaiamd, а також народи України🇺🇦 і Молдови🇲🇩
Наше майбутнє – разом!
Am căzut de acord. Consiliul European tocmai a decis să acorde statut de candidat 🇺🇦 şi 🇲🇩.
Un moment istoric.
Este un pas extrem de important pe drumul vostru către UE.
Felicitări @ZelenskyyUa şi @sandumaiamd, precum şi popoarelor 🇺🇦 şi 🇲🇩
Viitorul nostru este împreună.
Un moment istoric.
Este un pas extrem de important pe drumul vostru către UE.
Felicitări @ZelenskyyUa şi @sandumaiamd, precum şi popoarelor 🇺🇦 şi 🇲🇩
Viitorul nostru este împreună.
It appears leaders weren't able to convince 🇧🇬#Bulgaria's PM Kiril Petkov (whose government just collapsed) to end his veto on starting 🇲🇰#NorthMacedonia's 🇪🇺 accession talks this morning
The Western Balkan applicants almost boycotted this morning's meeting over lack of progress
The Western Balkan applicants almost boycotted this morning's meeting over lack of progress
The rumour going around is that the Western Balkan leaders are very unhappy with how this morning’s mini-summit went. Several EU leaders didn’t even bother to show up.
The press conference by VDL, Michel & Macron has been cancelled, Weatern Balkan leaders about to hold their own
The press conference by VDL, Michel & Macron has been cancelled, Weatern Balkan leaders about to hold their own
This would be a pretty bad result considering the main point of this morning’s Western Balkans leaders meeting was to smooth over anger about Ukraine & Moldova being given fast-track candidate status while W Balkans have had every conceivable roadblock thrown in front of them
A quick run-through on our new @UACES @UKandEU report on "The state of the EU"
1/ ukandeu.ac.uk/research-paper…
1/ ukandeu.ac.uk/research-paper…
On this 6th anniversary of #EURef, @anandMenon1 and I thought it'd be good to reflect on the EU side of things, especially in light of the invasion of Ukraine
Our authors point up the wide-ranging impacts of that war, in addition to the other challenges facing the EU
2/
Our authors point up the wide-ranging impacts of that war, in addition to the other challenges facing the EU
2/
As you'll see from our contents page, we've covered a huge range of topics, bringing experts from across the Continent to the discussion
3/
3/
The European Council looks set to breach its treaty obligations. On 9 June @Europarl_EN made a formal proposal to revise Article 48(7) TEU so that the famous ‘passerelle’ clause will in future be triggered by QMV not unanimity. 1/ europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document…
Everyone knows that the best way to have more voting and less vetoing in the Council is through use of the passerelle. Indeed, this is openly admitted by the Council in its reaction to the conclusions of the #CoFoE data.consilium.europa.eu/doc/document/S… 2/
What the Council don’t say is that because of the national veto the existing passerelle clause is inoperable.
Under Article 48(3) #EUCO must now decide whether to examine Parliament’s proposal. That decision is taken by simple majority. What the leaders cannot do is nothing. 3/
Under Article 48(3) #EUCO must now decide whether to examine Parliament’s proposal. That decision is taken by simple majority. What the leaders cannot do is nothing. 3/
🇩🇪 will support EU candidate status for 🇺🇦 in upcoming #EUCO summit but will demand EU structural reforms to make 🇪🇺 ready! So far, so good. But let’s look at what #scholz German gov see as key points of this reform. Longish 🧵/ rant! Take a deep breath…
sueddeutsche.de/politik/bundes…
sueddeutsche.de/politik/bundes…
According to @SZ the first proposal from the chancellor’s office is the abolishment of vetos — particularly in foreign policy. Why is foreign policy mentioned? Because in most areas vetos actually don’t exist anymore. EU takes about 85-90% of legislative decisions by majority…
Most of the remaining areas are „sensitive“. States have decided to not move to majority voting bc they fear vital national interests could be compromised. Key areas beyond foreign policy are indirect taxation and justice & home affairs. Why should states feel differently now?…
The outcome of the French parliamentary elections is highly consequential for both France’s and Europe’s future. Here’s why 🧵
SPOILER: Macron will eventually have to pick either the left or the right!
#electionslegislatives2022 #France #ElectionsLegislatives
SPOILER: Macron will eventually have to pick either the left or the right!
#electionslegislatives2022 #France #ElectionsLegislatives
1. Macron’s presidential coalition (Ensemble!) came out on top and remains the largest parliamentary force in parliament, BUT lost its absolute majority
2. This leaves us with unprecedented degree of fragmentation and division in the National Assembly, with both the left wing coalition and the far right largely over-performing and squeezing the centre.
Parliamentary power is back! #Elections2022
Parliamentary power is back! #Elections2022
‼️ The EU Commission paves the way for #Ukraine to gain (conditional) candidate status in record time‼️
Yet that recognition of candidate status may be more symbolic than structural: it may never lead to full membership.
Here’s why 🧵
Yet that recognition of candidate status may be more symbolic than structural: it may never lead to full membership.
Here’s why 🧵
Today is a moment of truth one for Ukraine, which has invested so much of its political future on a closer relationship with Europe.
There’s political momentum to have #EUCO uniting behind the recognition of candidate status
There’s political momentum to have #EUCO uniting behind the recognition of candidate status
Despite the lack of a fast track procedure, the EU Commission delivered in record time a positive opinion on 🇺🇦 swift submission to candidate status, in unprecedented conditions (candidate country is at war)
📖 New publication 📖
It's been almost 100 days since Russia invaded 🇺🇦. In this new paper, @IlkeToygur & I look back at the EU's "modus operandi". We advocate for a more ambitious EU, rather than one that will put unity above everything else./1
epc.eu/en/Publication…
It's been almost 100 days since Russia invaded 🇺🇦. In this new paper, @IlkeToygur & I look back at the EU's "modus operandi". We advocate for a more ambitious EU, rather than one that will put unity above everything else./1
epc.eu/en/Publication…
The last #EUCO summit was a wonderful example of how in the EU unity prevails over ambition. After weeks of blockage, we finally have an oil embargo, but only for 75% of Russian oil, and with a temporary exemption for pipeline oil./2
We start on a positive note: Both the COVID-19 pandemic & the Russian invasion revealed that the EU institutions & leaders are capable of managing crises swiftly and decisively. The EU could use this moment of change to increase its ambition & move European integration forward./3
